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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
11Knicks45%94111
14Celtics55%96115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
37.7
27.8
16
45%
13
1
0
1
2
0
1
12
2-4
50%
7-16
5-11
44%
49%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
35.4
31.0
25
49%
7
2
0
1
0
3
4
3
9-10
90%
8-20
6-12
40%
45%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.5
31.8
32.7
14
41%
4
5
1
2
0
6
1
3
1-2
50%
5-14
5-10
36%
45%
1-2
50%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.4
30.6
30.7
8
51%
14
2
1
1
2
2
6
8
2-2
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
62%
0-1
0%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
15.1
23.5
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-5
0%
53%
1-1
100%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.7
30.5
22.2
14
71%
5
3
2
1
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
2-6
67%
42%
0-0
-
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.7
26.8
17.9
14
79%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
49%
4-7
57%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.9
20.6
14.3
8
80%
2
7
1
1
0
6
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
2-3
67%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
19.9
21.6
2
17%
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.3
16.7
20.5
7
93%
2
1
2
1
0
1
1
1
3-4
75%
2-2
1-3
100%
44%
0-0
-
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.1
9.6
0
1-1
46%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.0
3.6
0
0-1
43%
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
3.0
0
0-0
43%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.0
47.8
31.6
18
39%
17
20
1
2
1
4
4
13
4-7
57%
7-20
5-10
35%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
46.3
32.8
34
67%
7
3
2
1
1
3
2
5
4-5
80%
9-16
4-9
56%
49%
4-7
57%
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.6
45.0
32.9
12
61%
0
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
2-5
40%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
41.0
28.7
18
39%
10
3
4
1
2
1
3
7
2-2
100%
8-22
6-11
36%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.8
29.6
28.2
18
66%
3
0
0
0
4
2
1
2
6-6
100%
6-11
5-9
55%
50%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
24.1
20.2
5
28%
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-6
17%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
16.6
24.0
6
75%
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
55%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.8
9.4
17.9
2
50%
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
5.2
14.8
2
33%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
8.1
0
0-1
43%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.4
7.6
0
1-1
48%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.1
3.7
0
1-1
48%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
1.8
0
0-0
49%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.0
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.