Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	22	Warriors	48%	98	75	84.3	89	91.4
	25	Raptors	52%	99	83	91.2	91	88.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 29	39.2	22	85%	12	2	1	0	2	5	3	9	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 26	38.9	20	43%	4	7	1	1	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	6-16	38%	2-6	33%
Dominic McGuire G · 6'9" 235 · 26	36.9	4	40%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C · 6'10" 245 · 25	31.7	7	39%	3	0	1	1	0	4	2	1	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Dorell Wright F · 6'9" 205 · 26	17.3	3	17%	6	2	1	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-5	20%

Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27	30.7	7	44%	9	2	0	1	1	0	0	9	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 28	26.6	7	25%	0	1	2	0	1	3	0	0	3-4	75%	2-9	22%	0-3	0%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 22	12.0	5	50%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 26	6.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Wright F · 6'9" 226 · 23	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charles Jenkins G · 6'3" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Tyler #3 · F · 6'10" 250 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kwame Brown #54 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	75	41%	41	17	6	3	12	0	10	31	13-19	68%	25-61	41%	4-19	21%

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22 Golden State Warriors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
David Lee F · 6'9" 245 · 29	39.2	22	85%	12	2	1	0	2	5	3	9	4-5	80%	9-13	69%	0-0	-
Monta Ellis G · 6'3" 185 · 26	38.9	20	43%	4	7	1	1	2	1	1	3	2-2	100%	6-16	38%	2-6	33%
Dominic McGuire G · 6'9" 235 · 26	36.9	4	40%	5	3	0	0	2	3	1	4	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Ekpe Udoh C · 6'10" 245 · 25	31.7	7	39%	3	0	1	1	0	4	2	1	3-4	75%	2-7	29%	0-0	-
Dorell Wright F · 6'9" 205 · 26	17.3	3	17%	6	2	1	0	1	1	3	3	0-0	-	0-4	0%	1-5	20%

Brandon Rush G-F · 6'6" 220 · 27	30.7	7	44%	9	2	0	1	1	0	0	9	1-2	50%	3-4	75%	0-3	0%
Nate Robinson G · 5'9" 180 · 28	26.6	7	25%	0	1	2	0	1	3	0	0	3-4	75%	2-9	22%	0-3	0%
Klay Thompson G · 6'5" 220 · 22	12.0	5	50%	1	0	0	0	3	0	0	1	0-0	-	1-3	33%	1-2	50%
Andris Biedrins C · 7'0" 250 · 26	6.7	0	0%	1	0	0	0	0	2	0	1	0-2	0%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Chris Wright F · 6'9" 226 · 23	0.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Stephen Curry G · 6'2" 185 · 24	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Charles Jenkins G · 6'3" 215 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jeremy Tyler #3 · F · 6'10" 250 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Kwame Brown #54 · C · 6'11" 290 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	75	41%	41	17	6	3	12	0	10	31	13-19	68%	25-61	41%	4-19	21%

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25 Toronto Raptors

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
DeMar DeRozan G · 6'6" 220 · 23	45.8	25	63%	3	4	0	0	1	1	1	2	6-6	100%	8-16	50%	1-1	100%
James Johnson F · 6'8" 240 · 25	32.0	12	50%	12	4	2	1	3	3	4	8	4-4	100%	4-10	40%	0-0	-
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 25	30.5	11	55%	13	1	0	3	2	1	0	13	3-4	75%	4-8	50%	0-0	-
Jose Calderon G · 6'3" 200 · 30	26.0	2	20%	4	3	0	0	2	2	0	4	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-2	0%
Aaron Gray C · 7'0" 270 · 27	12.5	4	50%	0	0	1	0	1	2	0	0	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-0	-

Leandro Barbosa G · 6'3" 194 · 29	31.6	18	53%	0	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	1-2	50%	4-11	36%	3-5	60%
Jerryd Bayless G · 6'3" 200 · 24	25.2	5	28%	4	4	2	0	2	2	1	3	5-6	83%	0-5	0%	0-1	0%
Ed Davis F-C · 6'10" 245 · 23	21.9	2	25%	12	2	2	1	0	2	5	7	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Linas Kleiza F · 6'8" 234 · 27	14.5	4	22%	3	0	0	0	2	4	3	0	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-1	0%
Jamaal Magloire C · 6'11" 265 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Anthony Carter G · 6'1" 190 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Gary Forbes F · 6'7" 220 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrea Bargnani #7 · C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Solomon Alabi #50 · C · 7'1" 252 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	83	43%	51	19	8	5	14	0	14	37	21-24	88%	25-68	37%	4-10	40%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	TOR
Clock	Team	Event	GSW	TOR

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW

0.82 41.2%

TOR

0.86 43.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

GSW

13

28

46%

TOR

14

28

50%

Midrange

GSW

12

33

36%

TOR

11

40

28%

3PT | Effective 3PT

GSW

4

6.0

19

21%

32%

TOR

4

6.0

10

40%

60%

Free Throws

GSW

13

19

68%

TOR

21

24

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Warriors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Lee	22	85%	11.0 / 13
M. Ellis	20	43%	10.0 / 23
E. Udoh	7	39%	3.5 / 9
B. Rush	7	44%	3.5 / 8
N. Robinson	7	25%	3.5 / 14
K. Thompson	5	50%	2.5 / 5
D. McGuire	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. Wright	3	17%	1.5 / 9
A. Biedrins	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Raptors

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan	25	63%	12.5 / 20
L. Barbosa	18	53%	9.0 / 17
J. Johnson	12	50%	6.0 / 12
A. Johnson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
J. Bayless	5	28%	2.5 / 9
A. Gray	4	50%	2.0 / 4
L. Kleiza	4	22%	2.0 / 9
J. Calderon	2	20%	1.0 / 5
E. Davis	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	16 105.0 29 100.5	GSW 84.3 TOR 91.2 +6.9
Pace	9 92.7 25 89.6	GSW 91.4 +2.8 TOR 88.7
Avg. Poss. Time	23 15.4 1 16.6	GSW 15.8 −0.5 TOR 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	5 50.5% 22 47.5%	GSW 38.8% TOR 39.7% +0.9%
TO %	5 14.4% 26 16.1%	GSW 13.7% −1.6% TOR 15.3%
ORB %	29 23.0% 22 26.0%	GSW 21.3% TOR 31.1% +9.8%
FTrt	29 22.7 16 27.4	GSW 23.8 TOR 30.8 +7.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	11 59.1% 7 60.9%	GSW 58.6% TOR 65.5% +6.9%
STL %	14 8.6% 26 7.2%	GSW 6.7% TOR 8.8% +2.1%
BLK %	8 8.7% 13 8.2%	GSW 4.4% TOR 8.2% +3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	5 52.7% 22 50.2%	GSW 41.2% TOR 43.2% +2.0%
Rim FG%	18 57.2% 11 59.1%	GSW 46.4% TOR 50.0% +3.6%
Mid FG%	6 40.6% 23 37.2%	GSW 36.4% +8.9% TOR 27.5%
3P %	2 38.8% 19 34.0%	GSW 21.1% TOR 40.0% +18.9%
FT %	11 77.0% 12 77.0%	GSW 68.4% TOR 87.5% +19.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 33.5% 22 34.1%	GSW 35.0% TOR 35.9% +0.9%
Mid Att. %	14 41.7% 25 45.1%	GSW 41.3% −10.0% TOR 51.3%
3P Att. %	11 24.8% 19 20.9%	GSW 23.8% +10.9% TOR 12.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	GSW	TOR
Possessions	89	91
Possession Minutes	23.4	24.6
Points	75	83
Rebounds	41	51
Assists	17	19
Steals	6	8
Blocks	3	5
Turnovers (Team)	12 (2)	14 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	10 (4)	14 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	31 (2)	37 (3)
Field Goals	29-80	29-78
At-the-Rim FG	13-28	14-28
Midrange FG	12-33	11-40
2-Point FG	25-61	25-68
3-Point FG	4-19	4-10
Free Throws	13-19	21-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg