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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Clippers51%100105
16Rockets49%99103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.8
42.2
34.1
28
53%
4
10
1
2
0
2
1
3
8-10
80%
10-19
5-11
53%
50%
0-3
0%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
40.9
24.9
14
51%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
4-4
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
46%
2-3
67%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
38.1
33.6
14
41%
11
3
2
1
1
4
4
7
4-7
57%
5-14
8-15
36%
52%
0-0
-
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
28.0
22.3
8
74%
11
0
0
0
1
0
4
7
0-1
0%
4-5
3-4
80%
63%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.4
24.2
24.1
15
107%
1
1
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
2-5
100%
43%
3-4
75%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.2
36.2
27.1
14
57%
1
2
1
1
0
2
0
1
3-3
100%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
1-3
33%
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.2
26.4
21.6
10
42%
7
0
1
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
48%
0-1
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.8
13.6
14.6
0
0%
9
0
0
1
0
1
1
8
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.8
8.6
18.7
0
0%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
44%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.2
6.9
7.6
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
2.5
0
0-0
46%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-1
47%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.2
1.2
0
0-0
42%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.4
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 21.9
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
42.3
32.2
25
47%
3
8
1
1
0
2
0
3
10-10
100%
3-13
3-7
23%
47%
3-9
33%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 25.9
41.1
32.3
14
55%
5
2
1
1
0
3
0
5
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.8
40.5
30.5
16
61%
12
1
2
1
0
3
4
8
4-5
80%
6-11
6-13
55%
50%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
36.5
23.8
17
57%
12
1
1
1
3
0
5
7
1-2
50%
8-14
3-6
57%
50%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
20.3
25.2
11
85%
1
2
1
1
0
0
1
0
0-1
0%
4-5
2-5
80%
50%
1-1
100%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
29.0
26.4
13
108%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
3-3
100%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
20.7
24.6
2
25%
3
1
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-4
4-8
25%
50%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
14.5
3.9
5
28%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-5
0-1
0%
43%
1-3
33%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
11.9
23.0
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
8.3
3.1
0
0%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
9.3
0
1-2
49%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
2.7
0
0-1
42%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.