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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 4, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Kings29%9888
15Suns71%10696
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
37.0
26.8
16
38%
14
2
1
1
0
0
6
8
2-2
100%
7-19
6-13
37%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
35.9
29.0
17
44%
7
6
1
1
0
0
0
7
1-1
100%
8-18
5-11
44%
45%
0-1
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
34.9
28.8
21
45%
5
1
0
1
1
1
3
2
2-3
67%
8-18
4-8
44%
47%
1-4
25%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
32.4
29.7
8
29%
5
2
2
1
0
2
3
2
2-2
100%
3-11
3-6
27%
44%
0-2
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.0
24.6
15.6
8
45%
3
0
1
0
1
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
48%
1-2
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
19.4
22.0
1
57%
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
44%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
14.7
24.7
7
51%
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
1
1-2
50%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
12.2
19.1
2
33%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.7
10.9
19.0
4
67%
4
2
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
10.2
14.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
7.9
1.8
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
42%
0-1
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
0.9
0
0-0
48%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.6
0.4
0
0-0
44%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
36.8
33.1
14
64%
6
2
0
1
1
2
2
4
1-2
50%
5-8
4-7
63%
54%
1-2
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
33.0
32.8
19
71%
3
7
0
1
0
3
1
2
1-1
100%
6-11
3-6
55%
55%
2-2
100%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
31.5
33.7
8
50%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
5-9
57%
50%
0-1
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.0
30.3
32.6
14
59%
17
1
1
1
2
2
3
14
0-2
0%
7-11
6-11
64%
57%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
29.3
29.0
11
38%
10
0
0
1
2
3
2
8
5-6
83%
3-11
3-7
27%
47%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
21.1
19.7
13
57%
1
0
1
1
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
47%
2-3
67%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
17.9
16.5
2
13%
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
17.7
12.0
7
44%
5
1
0
0
2
0
3
2
1-2
50%
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
14.9
13.3
8
50%
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
4-8
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
7.5
6.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
48%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
4.6
0
1-1
51%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
3.3
0
0-1
59%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
3.2
0
0-1
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.