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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Nets12%9278
1Heat88%108108
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
28.3
28.9
12
55%
2
2
1
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
43%
2-4
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
26.1
34.4
16
62%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
5-8
5-11
63%
46%
2-5
40%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
25.9
22.2
7
38%
1
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
1-2
0-1
50%
36%
1-6
17%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
23.7
34.3
9
38%
6
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
3-4
75%
3-10
4-9
30%
47%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
17.5
17.3
0
0%
2
0
3
1
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-0
-
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
28.6
16.1
11
56%
8
0
2
0
0
0
1
7
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
44%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
22.0
17.5
3
21%
2
0
0
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-5
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
21.1
2.4
4
40%
2
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-5
0-1
40%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
19.7
23.6
6
38%
1
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-8
2-4
38%
45%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
17.1
5.3
7
38%
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
1-3
33%
3-6
1-1
50%
43%
0-2
0%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
9.9
11.9
3
38%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
24.1
0
6-12
47%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
7.1
0
1-1
45%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
32.3
31.2
8
50%
5
7
2
2
0
5
0
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
55%
2-3
67%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
29.6
40.5
21
88%
9
6
0
2
0
5
1
8
2-2
100%
8-10
9-16
80%
58%
1-1
100%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
24.0
31.6
20
67%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
9-14
6-12
64%
53%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
18.8
32.2
2
50%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
52%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
15.0
32.3
13
77%
2
3
0
1
0
1
1
1
1-1
100%
6-8
9-16
75%
55%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
22.1
13.7
13
82%
1
4
1
0
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-3
67%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
21.1
28.4
11
79%
1
2
0
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.0
18.6
17.0
6
50%
8
4
0
0
0
2
0
8
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
53%
2-4
50%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.7
17.7
23.6
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
49%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.0
15.2
7.4
10
63%
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
53%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
12.0
1.4
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
7.7
4.3
2
33%
1
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
47%
0-0
-
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
5.9
0.8
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
58%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
Mickell Gladness
C · 6'11" 220 · 25.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.