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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
March 6, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers74%10185
28Pistons26%9388
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
42.7
36.2
22
38%
5
7
0
1
0
3
1
4
4-6
67%
6-17
8-17
35%
50%
2-9
22%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
41.5
37.6
30
74%
14
2
0
1
3
3
6
8
4-5
80%
13-18
7-12
72%
57%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
40.4
34.7
20
63%
10
6
0
1
4
5
3
7
4-4
100%
8-14
6-12
57%
53%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
33.9
31.6
4
22%
6
1
2
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-5
0%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.6
31.7
22.4
2
50%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
23.4
19.2
0
0%
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
21.3
24.0
0
0%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
19.6
14.4
2
26%
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
1-3
0%
54%
0-2
0%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
10.3
10.5
5
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
1-3
33%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
2.4
0
0-0
43%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
1.6
0
0-0
48%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
1.5
0
0-0
44%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
1.4
0
0-0
52%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
42.3
34.2
34
74%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
7-7
100%
12-19
5-11
63%
44%
1-1
100%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
37.9
33.9
10
33%
2
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-13
5-11
38%
45%
0-2
0%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.0
36.0
23.7
10
45%
10
0
0
1
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
5-11
3-6
45%
47%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
25.9
32.7
2
10%
15
3
1
1
1
0
7
8
0-0
-
1-10
7-13
10%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
25.0
35.5
0
0%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-4
4-8
0%
43%
0-2
0%
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
38.7
19.0
15
49%
5
5
1
0
0
1
0
5
1-1
100%
7-13
2-5
54%
44%
0-2
0%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
27.1
11.2
2
50%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
17.0
20.2
10
56%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-5
3-5
20%
51%
2-3
67%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
15.1
14.2
5
36%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-6
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
4.3
0
1-1
45%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
3.6
0
0-1
41%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
2.6
0
0-1
38%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.4
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.