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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers74%102101
29Wizards26%93106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
40.3
36.9
30
43%
5
4
4
1
1
1
1
4
9-9
100%
6-22
9-18
27%
49%
3-9
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
39.7
35.3
19
60%
15
2
1
1
3
1
2
13
7-11
64%
6-11
7-12
55%
53%
0-0
-
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
33.0
37.4
19
79%
6
1
0
1
2
7
2
4
7-9
78%
6-8
7-13
75%
57%
0-0
-
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.6
28.0
25.2
9
55%
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
4-5
80%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-2
50%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
26.4
30.8
3
25%
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
45%
1-4
25%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
21.7
16.1
7
50%
3
1
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
53%
1-3
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
20.0
21.9
0
0%
1
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
11.7
1.4
6
90%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
2-3
67%
2-2
0-0
100%
54%
0-0
-
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.8
11.5
20.0
3
50%
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.2
7.7
10.1
5
50%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-2
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
2.4
0
0-1
49%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
2.4
0
0-0
45%
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
1.6
0
0-0
47%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
38.1
27.9
18
75%
17
1
1
1
1
1
8
9
3-7
43%
6-8
4-8
75%
53%
1-1
100%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
29.9
26.2
14
35%
1
5
1
1
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
6-13
4-8
46%
44%
0-6
0%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
29.6
36.8
4
20%
2
9
0
1
1
5
0
2
2-4
50%
1-8
6-13
13%
45%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
23.0
23.5
12
60%
12
1
0
1
1
2
2
10
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
20.4
22.9
3
50%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
41%
1-2
50%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
28.9
19.4
19
46%
1
6
2
0
1
2
1
0
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
45%
1-9
11%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.2
24.9
7.6
14
88%
9
0
1
0
1
1
4
5
0-0
-
7-8
1-2
88%
46%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
18.4
9.4
4
41%
2
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
12.3
16.4
14
88%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
41%
4-7
57%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.5
9.9
14.9
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
4.7
13.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
17.8
1
1-3
47%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
6.8
0
1-1
48%
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.