Final Win Prob. pScore
1822%88
86
278%98
89
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo Hawks
96.68996.1
MIA logo Heat
96.79285.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA86
89
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound86
89
Q4 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Pargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
89
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Radmanovic86
89
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLSUB: Stackhouse FOR Williams86
89
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 2)86
89
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
88
Q4 - 0:02.0ATLHinrich P.FOUL (P2.PN)86
87
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLHinrich P.FOUL (P1.T3)86
87
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLRadmanovic 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)86
87
Q4 - 0:12.0MIASUB: Battier FOR Chalmers84
87
Q4 - 0:12.0ATLHawks Timeout: Short (Reg.5 Short 1)84
87
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAHaslem 1' Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)84
87
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLPargo Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)84
85
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAChalmers S.FOUL (P2.PN)83
85
Q4 - 0:30.0ATLPargo 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)83
85
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLSUB: Radmanovic FOR Teague81
85
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLSUB: Pargo FOR Pachulia81
85
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)81
85
Q4 - 0:33.0MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)81
85
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
83
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLHawks Rebound80
83
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLMISS Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 280
83
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAWade S.FOUL (P1.T4)80
83
Q4 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)80
83
Q4 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
83
Q4 - 1:07MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)80
83
Q4 - 1:29MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
81
Q4 - 1:30ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot80
81
Q4 - 1:51MIAWade 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)80
81
Q4 - 2:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)80
79
Q4 - 2:03ATLMISS Smith 11' Fadeaway Jumper80
79
Q4 - 2:26ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)80
79
Q4 - 2:26ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
79
Q4 - 2:27MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 2:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
79
Q4 - 2:41ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
79
Q4 - 3:02MIABosh 5' Hook Shot (7 PTS)80
79
Q4 - 3:29ATLSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)80
77
Q4 - 3:55ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
77
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot77
77
Q4 - 4:19ATLTeague 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS)77
77
Q4 - 4:32ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)75
77
Q4 - 4:33MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot75
77
Q4 - 4:43MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)75
77
Q4 - 4:44ATLMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
77
Q4 - 5:07ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)75
77
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot75
77
Q4 - 5:25MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole75
77
Q4 - 5:25MIASUB: James FOR Battier75
77
Q4 - 5:25MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)75
77
Q4 - 5:26ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Hinrich 2 AST)75
77
Q4 - 5:30MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T14)73
77
Q4 - 5:47ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)73
77
Q4 - 6:10ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
77
Q4 - 6:11MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot71
77
Q4 - 6:27ATLTeague Foul Turnover (P5.T22)71
77
Q4 - 6:27ATLTeague OFF.Foul (P3)71
77
Q4 - 6:37ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
77
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup71
77
Q4 - 6:44ATLHaslem STEAL (4 STL)71
77
Q4 - 6:51ATLSUB: Williams FOR Radmanovic71
77
Q4 - 6:51ATLSUB: Smith FOR Johnson71
77
Q4 - 6:53MIASUB: Wade FOR James71
77
Q4 - 6:53MIAJames Foul Turnover (P2.T13)71
77
Q4 - 6:53MIAJames OFF.Foul (P1)71
77
Q4 - 7:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)71
77
Q4 - 7:03ATLBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)71
77
Q4 - 7:29MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (31 PTS)71
77
Q4 - 7:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
75
Q4 - 7:47ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
75
Q4 - 8:02MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
75
Q4 - 8:02ATLSUB: Hinrich FOR Stackhouse71
74
Q4 - 8:02ATLSUB: Teague FOR Pargo71
74
Q4 - 8:02MIAHEAT Rebound71
74
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 271
74
Q4 - 8:02ATLPargo S.FOUL (P3.T2)71
74
Q4 - 8:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
74
Q4 - 8:09MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot71
74
Q4 - 8:20MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
74
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Cole 2' Driving Layup71
74
Q4 - 8:27ATLHaslem STEAL (3 STL)71
74
Q4 - 8:35ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Dampier71
74
Q4 - 8:35MIASUB: Bosh FOR Pittman71
74
Q4 - 8:3571
74
Q4 - 8:35MIAPittman L.B.FOUL (P2.T3)71
74
Q4 - 8:35ATLHawks Rebound71
74
Q4 - 8:37MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
74
Q4 - 8:44MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)71
74
Q4 - 8:45ATLMISS Johnson 21' Jump Shot71
74
Q4 - 9:08MIAJames 2' Layup (29 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)71
74
Q4 - 9:14ATLBattier STEAL (2 STL)71
72
Q4 - 9:32MIABattier P.FOUL (P1.T2)71
72
Q4 - 9:32ATLHawks Rebound71
72
Q4 - 9:33MIAMISS Pittman 3' Jump Hook Shot71
72
Q4 - 9:34MIAPittman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
72
Q4 - 9:35MIAMISS Haslem Driving Dunk71
72
Q4 - 9:52ATLSUB: Radmanovic FOR Smith71
72
Q4 - 9:52ATLDampier Foul Turnover (P1.T18)71
72
Q4 - 9:52ATLDampier OFF.Foul (P1)71
72
Q4 - 10:07MIABattier 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Pittman 1 AST)71
72
Q4 - 10:25ATLPargo Foul Turnover (P3.T17)71
70
Q4 - 10:25ATLPargo Offensive Charge Foul (P2.T1)71
70
Q4 - 10:25ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
70
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Battier 8' Jump Hook Shot71
70
Q4 - 10:40MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)71
70
Q4 - 10:41ATLMISS Stackhouse 10' Jump Shot71
70
Q4 - 10:58MIAPittman P.FOUL (P1.T1)71
70
Q4 - 10:59ATLPargo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
70
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot71
70
Q4 - 11:20ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)71
70
Q4 - 11:42MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
70
Q4 - 12:0068
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL68
68
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound68
68
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLBattier BLOCK (2 BLK)68
68
Q3 - 0:16.0ATLHawks Rebound68
68
Q3 - 0:17.0ATLWade BLOCK (1 BLK)68
68
Q3 - 0:21.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
68
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
68
Q3 - 0:45.0ATLStackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)68
68
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)65
68
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLSUB: Dampier FOR Pachulia65
67
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
67
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 265
67
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)65
67
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia T.FOUL (P3.PN)65
66
Q3 - 0:52.0ATLPachulia L.B.FOUL (P3.PN)65
66
Q3 - 0:52.0MIAHEAT Rebound65
66
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup65
66
Q3 - 1:01ATLChalmers STEAL (2 STL)65
66
Q3 - 1:20MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (24 PTS)65
66
Q3 - 1:39ATLSUB: Stackhouse FOR Hinrich65
64
Q3 - 1:39ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)65
64
Q3 - 2:06MIAPittman 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)65
64
Q3 - 2:25ATLBattier STEAL (1 STL)65
62
Q3 - 2:32ATLSUB: Pargo FOR Teague65
62
Q3 - 2:32ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)65
62
Q3 - 2:35MIAWade Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)65
62
Q3 - 2:39ATLWade STEAL (3 STL)65
60
Q3 - 2:52MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)65
60
Q3 - 2:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
58
Q3 - 2:59ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot65
58
Q3 - 3:21ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)65
58
Q3 - 3:22MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 265
58
Q3 - 3:22ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Williams65
58
Q3 - 3:22MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)65
58
Q3 - 3:22ATLPachulia P.FOUL (P2.PN)65
57
Q3 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
57
Q3 - 3:25ATLJames BLOCK (2 BLK)65
57
Q3 - 3:44MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)65
57
Q3 - 3:44MIASUB: Pittman FOR Anthony65
56
Q3 - 3:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)65
56
Q3 - 3:44ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P4.T4)65
55
Q3 - 4:00ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)65
55
Q3 - 4:00MIASUB: Battier FOR Bosh64
55
Q3 - 4:00ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)64
55
Q3 - 4:00MIAAnthony S.FOUL (P1.T4)63
55
Q3 - 4:24MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)63
55
Q3 - 4:48ATLPachulia 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)63
53
Q3 - 5:12MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)61
53
Q3 - 5:24ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P3.T3)61
51
Q3 - 5:36MIA61
51
Q3 - 5:36MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)61
51
Q3 - 5:36ATLHinrich 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)61
51
Q3 - 5:41ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
51
Q3 - 5:42MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot58
51
Q3 - 6:01ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)58
51
Q3 - 6:10MIAChalmers P.FOUL (P1.T3)56
51
Q3 - 6:15ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
51
Q3 - 6:16MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup56
51
Q3 - 6:32ATLWilliams 1' Layup (7 PTS)56
51
Q3 - 6:35ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
51
Q3 - 6:36ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)54
51
Q3 - 6:47ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)54
51
Q3 - 6:48MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup54
51
Q3 - 7:16ATLWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hinrich 1 AST)54
51
Q3 - 7:39MIAChalmers 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS)51
51
Q3 - 7:48ATLSmith P.FOUL (P3.T2)51
49
Q3 - 7:51ATLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)51
49
Q3 - 8:02MIAWade 2' Reverse Layup (10 PTS)51
49
Q3 - 8:13ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)51
47
Q3 - 8:13ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)50
47
Q3 - 8:13MIABosh S.FOUL (P3.T2)49
47
Q3 - 8:31MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
47
Q3 - 8:47ATLWilliams P.FOUL (P2.T1)49
45
Q3 - 9:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)49
45
Q3 - 9:06ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)48
45
Q3 - 9:06MIABosh S.FOUL (P2.T1)47
45
Q3 - 9:10MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)47
45
Q3 - 9:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
45
Q3 - 9:26ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot47
45
Q3 - 9:36ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
45
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot47
45
Q3 - 9:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
45
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup47
45
Q3 - 9:56ATLPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T11)47
45
Q3 - 9:56ATLPachulia OFF.Foul (P1)47
45
Q3 - 10:07MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (6 PTS)47
45
Q3 - 10:11ATLWade STEAL (2 STL)47
43
Q3 - 10:28ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
43
Q3 - 10:29MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup47
43
Q3 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
43
Q3 - 10:45ATLMISS Pachulia 8' Jump Shot47
43
Q3 - 11:04ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)47
43
Q3 - 11:05MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot47
43
Q3 - 11:28ATLTeague 1' Dunk (10 PTS)47
43
Q3 - 11:30MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)45
43
Q3 - 11:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)45
43
Q3 - 11:35ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
43
Q3 - 11:39ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)45
43
Q3 - 11:41ATLMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot45
43
Q3 - 12:0045
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA45
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound45
43
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot45
43
Q2 - 0:17.0ATLStackhouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Pachulia 3 AST)45
43
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAJames 2' Layup (15 PTS)42
43
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)42
41
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Bosh 6' Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)42
41
Q2 - 0:55.0ATLMISS Hinrich 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 1:13MIASUB: Bosh FOR Anthony42
41
Q2 - 1:13ATLSUB: Radmanovic FOR Smith42
41
Q2 - 1:13ATLSUB: Hinrich FOR Teague42
41
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)42
41
Q2 - 1:20MIABattier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
41
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Stackhouse 18' Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 1:40ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)42
41
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot42
41
Q2 - 2:11ATLPachulia 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)42
41
Q2 - 2:36MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)40
41
Q2 - 2:36MIAHEAT Rebound40
40
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 240
40
Q2 - 2:36ATLSmith S.FOUL (P2.PN)40
40
Q2 - 2:43MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
40
Q2 - 2:44ATLMISS Smith 1' Alley Oop Dunk40
40
Q2 - 2:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)40
40
Q2 - 2:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)40
39
Q2 - 2:52ATLSUB: Stackhouse FOR Johnson40
38
Q2 - 2:5240
38
Q2 - 2:52ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P3.PN)40
38
Q2 - 3:03ATLTeague 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)40
38
Q2 - 3:09ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
38
Q2 - 3:10MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup38
38
Q2 - 3:35ATLSmith 5' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)38
38
Q2 - 3:59ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
38
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot36
38
Q2 - 4:22ATLSmith 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)36
38
Q2 - 4:36MIASUB: Battier FOR Miller34
38
Q2 - 4:50MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)34
38
Q2 - 5:14ATLTeague 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
36
Q2 - 5:35MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)32
36
Q2 - 5:35MIASUB: Anthony FOR Bosh32
35
Q2 - 5:35ATLSUB: Williams FOR Stackhouse32
35
Q2 - 5:35ATLSUB: Smith FOR Radmanovic32
35
Q2 - 5:35MIAHEAT Rebound32
35
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 232
35
Q2 - 5:35ATLTeague S.FOUL (P2.T4)32
35
Q2 - 5:39MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)32
35
Q2 - 5:40ATLJames BLOCK (1 BLK)32
35
Q2 - 5:51ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)32
35
Q2 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 5' Running Jump Shot32
35
Q2 - 6:09ATLJohnson 1' Layup (2 PTS)32
35
Q2 - 6:11ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
35
Q2 - 6:12ATLMISS Radmanovic 18' Jump Shot30
35
Q2 - 6:29MIAMiller 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)30
35
Q2 - 6:32ATLChalmers STEAL (1 STL)30
33
Q2 - 6:34ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
33
Q2 - 6:36ATLMISS Radmanovic 1' Driving Layup30
33
Q2 - 6:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
33
Q2 - 6:57MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
33
Q2 - 7:08MIASUB: Chalmers FOR Cole30
33
Q2 - 7:08MIASUB: James FOR Haslem30
33
Q2 - 7:08MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)30
33
Q2 - 7:16ATLTeague 12' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)30
33
Q2 - 7:23ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
33
Q2 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper28
33
Q2 - 7:32MIASUB: Wade FOR Battier28
33
Q2 - 7:54ATLStackhouse Running Dunk (4 PTS)28
33
Q2 - 7:59MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)26
33
Q2 - 8:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
33
Q2 - 8:17ATLMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Shot26
33
Q2 - 8:31MIAHaslem 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)26
33
Q2 - 8:43ATLStackhouse 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
31
Q2 - 8:58ATLSUB: Teague FOR Pargo24
31
Q2 - 8:58ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)24
31
Q2 - 9:07MIABosh 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)24
31
Q2 - 9:08MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)24
29
Q2 - 9:09MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q2 - 9:15ATLHaslem STEAL (2 STL)24
29
Q2 - 9:19MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)24
29
Q2 - 9:29MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
29
Q2 - 9:30ATLMISS Radmanovic 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
29
Q2 - 9:39MIAMiller P.FOUL (P1.T1)24
29
Q2 - 9:44ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
29
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot24
29
Q2 - 10:01ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Pargo 3 AST)24
29
Q2 - 10:19MIACole 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
29
Q2 - 10:25ATLHaslem STEAL (1 STL)22
27
Q2 - 10:36MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
27
Q2 - 10:36MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
26
Q2 - 10:36ATLPargo S.FOUL (P1.T3)22
25
Q2 - 10:37ATLCole STEAL (1 STL)22
25
Q2 - 10:40ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25
Q2 - 10:41MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
25
Q2 - 10:47MIAMISS Battier 2' Driving Dunk22
25
Q2 - 11:02ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P2.T2)22
25
Q2 - 11:04MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
25
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q2 - 11:13MIAMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25
Q2 - 11:14ATLMISS Pachulia 2' Layup22
25
Q2 - 11:34MIAMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
25
Q2 - 11:34ATLSUB: Pachulia FOR Smith22
25
Q2 - 11:34ATLJohnson P.FOUL (P1.T1)22
25
Q2 - 11:46ATLMiller STEAL (1 STL)22
25
Q2 - 12:0022
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA22
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound22
25
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Battier 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
25
Q1 - 0:06.0ATLRadmanovic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pargo 2 AST)22
25
Q1 - 0:12.0ATLHawks Rebound19
25
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLBattier BLOCK (1 BLK)19
25
Q1 - 0:13.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)19
25
Q1 - 0:14.0ATLMISS Radmanovic 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 0:32.0ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
25
Q1 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
25
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSmith 2' Layup (10 PTS)19
25
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
25
Q1 - 0:53.0ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup17
25
Q1 - 1:04ATLRadmanovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
25
Q1 - 1:05ATLMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
25
Q1 - 1:12ATLSUB: Radmanovic FOR Pachulia17
25
Q1 - 1:12MIASUB: Cole FOR Chalmers17
25
Q1 - 1:31MIAMiller 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)17
25
Q1 - 1:41MIASUB: Miller FOR Anthony17
23
Q1 - 1:41ATLSUB: Johnson FOR Williams17
23
Q1 - 1:41MIAHEAT Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)17
23
Q1 - 1:49ATLPargo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)17
23
Q1 - 2:13MIAJames 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)14
23
Q1 - 2:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
21
Q1 - 2:28ATLMISS Pargo 11' Jump Shot14
21
Q1 - 2:36MIAHaslem 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 2 AST)14
21
Q1 - 2:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
19
Q1 - 2:47ATLMISS Stackhouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
19
Q1 - 2:56ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
19
Q1 - 2:57MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup14
19
Q1 - 3:14ATLPachulia 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Pargo 1 AST)14
19
Q1 - 3:30MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)12
19
Q1 - 3:33ATLSUB: Stackhouse FOR Hinrich12
19
Q1 - 3:33MIASUB: Battier FOR Wade12
19
Q1 - 3:33MIAHEAT Rebound12
19
Q1 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 4' Floating Jump Shot12
19
Q1 - 3:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)12
19
Q1 - 3:44ATLMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot12
19
Q1 - 4:01MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)12
19
Q1 - 4:15ATLHinrich Traveling Turnover (P2.T4)12
17
Q1 - 4:19MIASUB: Haslem FOR Bosh12
17
Q1 - 4:19ATLSUB: Pargo FOR Teague12
17
Q1 - 4:19MIABosh Violation:Kicked Ball12
17
Q1 - 4:34MIAJames 1' Running Dunk (9 PTS)12
17
Q1 - 4:39ATLJames STEAL (1 STL)12
15
Q1 - 4:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
15
Q1 - 4:56MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)12
14
Q1 - 4:56ATLTeague S.FOUL (P1.T3)12
13
Q1 - 5:15ATLTeague 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
13
Q1 - 5:21MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)10
13
Q1 - 5:27MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
13
Q1 - 5:28ATLMISS Smith 1' Layup10
13
Q1 - 5:47MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
13
Q1 - 5:47MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
12
Q1 - 5:47ATLSmith S.FOUL (P1.T2)10
11
Q1 - 6:06MIAJames Violation:Defensive Goaltending10
11
Q1 - 6:06ATLHinrich 1' Layup (2 PTS)10
11
Q1 - 6:08MIAAnthony Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)8
11
Q1 - 6:22MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11
Q1 - 6:25ATLMISS Pachulia 14' Jump Hook Shot8
11
Q1 - 6:34ATLHawks Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)8
11
Q1 - 6:41MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
11
Q1 - 6:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
9
Q1 - 6:52ATLMISS Smith 4' Jump Shot8
9
Q1 - 7:05MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)8
9
Q1 - 7:05MIAHEAT Rebound8
8
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 28
8
Q1 - 7:05ATLWilliams S.FOUL (P1.T1)8
8
Q1 - 7:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 7:09MIAMISS James 13' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 7:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
8
Q1 - 7:25ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot8
8
Q1 - 7:44MIAJames 12' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)8
8
Q1 - 7:51ATLWade STEAL (1 STL)8
6
Q1 - 7:54ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
6
Q1 - 7:55ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
6
Q1 - 8:16MIAAnthony 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)8
6
Q1 - 8:34ATLSmith 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)8
4
Q1 - 8:40MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)6
4
Q1 - 9:02ATLSmith 2' Layup (6 PTS)6
4
Q1 - 9:08MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
4
Q1 - 9:20ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
4
Q1 - 9:32MIABosh P.FOUL (P1.T1)2
4
Q1 - 9:43ATLHinrich REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Bosh 12' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 9:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
4
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:04MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:05MIAMISS Bosh 8' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:15MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
4
Q1 - 10:16ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot2
4
Q1 - 10:33MIAJames 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)2
4
Q1 - 10:47ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)2
2
Q1 - 11:07MIAJames 4' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)0
2
Q1 - 11:16ATLBosh STEAL (1 STL)0
0
Q1 - 11:33MIABosh Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
0
Q1 - 11:43MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup0
0
Q1 - 11:45MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
0
Q1 - 11:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot0
0
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Anthony vs. Smith: Tip to Bosh0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventATLMIA
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.1%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
16
25
64%
MIA
20
35
57%
Midrange
ATL
11
28
39%
MIA
15
35
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
23
35%
52%
MIA
10
0%
Free Throws
ATL
8
9
89%
MIA
19
25
76%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2348%11.5 / 24
J. Teague1667%8.0 / 12
J. Stackhouse1063%5.0 / 8
Z. Pachulia945%4.5 / 10
J. Pargo990%4.5 / 5
M. Williams758%3.5 / 6
K. Hinrich563%2.5 / 4
V. Radmanovic542%2.5 / 6
I. Johnson225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3162%15.5 / 25
D. Wade1845%9.0 / 20
C. Bosh928%4.5 / 16
U. Haslem867%4.0 / 6
J. Anthony6100%3.0 / 3
M. Chalmers542%2.5 / 6
N. Cole440%2.0 / 5
M. Miller440%2.0 / 5
S. Battier225%1.0 / 4
D. Pittman250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
68
+13
-21
81
MIA
78
+17
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.06 53.1%
MIA
0.94 46.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.3
106.6
ATL 96.6
MIA 96.7 +0.1
Pace
89.9
91.3
ATL 96.1 +10.4
MIA 85.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
ATL 15.0 −1.8
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
50.5%
ATL 51.3% +7.5%
MIA 43.8%
TO %
14.5%
15.9%
ATL 21.6%
MIA 13.3% −8.3%
ORB %
23.9%
26.6%
ATL 24.3%
MIA 32.5% +8.2%
FTrt
25.9
30.7
ATL 11.8
MIA 31.3 +19.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.0%
53.8%
ATL 40.0%
MIA 45.7% +5.7%
STL %
8.8%
9.6%
ATL 10.1%
MIA 17.4% +7.3%
BLK %
7.2%
9.0%
ATL 2.9%
MIA 13.2% +10.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
53.5%
ATL 53.1% +6.3%
MIA 46.8%
Rim FG%
60.0%
61.1%
ATL 64.0% +6.9%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
38.2%
40.0%
ATL 39.3%
MIA 42.9% +3.6%
3P %
37.0%
35.9%
ATL 34.8% +34.8%
MIA 0.0%
FT %
74.0%
77.5%
ATL 88.9% +12.9%
MIA 76.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.6%
36.7%
ATL 32.9%
MIA 43.8% +10.9%
Mid Att. %
40.6%
43.6%
ATL 36.8% −6.9%
MIA 43.8%
3P Att. %
24.9%
19.8%
ATL 30.3% +17.8%
MIA 12.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLMIA
Possessions8992
Possession Minutes22.225.8
Points8689
Rebounds3641
Assists1416
Steals916
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)28 (0)
Field Goals35-7635-80
At-the-Rim FG16-2520-35
Midrange FG11-2815-35
2-Point FG27-5335-70
3-Point FG8-230-10
Free Throws8-919-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 270 · 28
41.6
9
45%
10
3
2
0
3
3
2
8
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 26
37.8
23
48%
6
2
2
1
1
3
2
4
4-4
100%
8-18
44%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 189 · 24
32.4
16
67%
4
2
1
0
5
3
1
3
0-0
-
8-9
89%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 237 · 26
31.3
7
58%
3
2
0
0
0
4
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 190 · 31
28.1
5
63%
4
2
2
0
2
2
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 255 · 28
19.3
2
25%
5
0
0
0
2
3
2
3
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 218 · 37
18.5
10
63%
0
0
1
0
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 185 · 32
14.4
9
90%
2
3
1
0
3
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'10" 235 · 31
12.4
5
42%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 265 · 37
4.3
0
0%
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 33
G · 6'3" 205 · 31
C · 7'0" 255 · 33
#15 · C-F · 6'8" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G-F · 6'7" 240 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
53%
36
14
9
2
21
0
9
27
8-9
89%
27-53
51%
8-23
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.