Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	1	Bulls	68%	100	106	117.8	90	83.4
	20	Bucks	32%	94	104	116.9	89	96.7

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 27	45.4	12	75%	2	3	1	0	4	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 23	39.3	30	52%	8	11	1	1	4	0	1	7	14-14	100%	8-17	47%	0-5	0%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 27	37.8	20	71%	10	1	2	2	1	1	6	4	0-0	-	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Ronnie Brewer G · 6'7" 235 · 27	32.5	7	50%	5	5	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 30	28.1	15	54%	6	2	0	0	5	4	0	6	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	0-0	-

Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 27	19.9	10	63%	7	0	0	2	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 31	18.1	5	63%	1	1	1	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Omer Asik C · 7'0" 255 · 26	10.2	4	100%	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 29	8.7	3	30%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 28	\| DND - Left ankle sprain
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 34	\| DND - Right shoulder
Jimmy Butler III F · 6'6" 230 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	43	26	6	7	17	0	16	27	15-17	88%	38-67	57%	5-16	31%

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1 Chicago Bulls

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 27	45.4	12	75%	2	3	1	0	4	3	0	2	0-0	-	3-4	75%	2-4	50%
Derrick Rose G · 6'3" 190 · 23	39.3	30	52%	8	11	1	1	4	0	1	7	14-14	100%	8-17	47%	0-5	0%
Joakim Noah C · 6'11" 230 · 27	37.8	20	71%	10	1	2	2	1	1	6	4	0-0	-	10-14	71%	0-0	-
Ronnie Brewer G · 6'7" 235 · 27	32.5	7	50%	5	5	0	1	0	1	2	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	1-3	33%
Carlos Boozer F · 6'9" 258 · 30	28.1	15	54%	6	2	0	0	5	4	0	6	1-2	50%	7-13	54%	0-0	-

Taj Gibson F · 6'9" 232 · 27	19.9	10	63%	7	0	0	2	1	2	4	3	0-0	-	5-8	63%	0-0	-
Kyle Korver G · 6'7" 212 · 31	18.1	5	63%	1	1	1	1	0	4	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-2	50%
Omer Asik C · 7'0" 255 · 26	10.2	4	100%	2	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0-1	0%	2-2	100%	0-0	-
John Lucas III G · 5'11" 166 · 29	8.7	3	30%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 28	\| DND - Left ankle sprain
Richard Hamilton G · 6'7" 193 · 34	\| DND - Right shoulder
Jimmy Butler III F · 6'6" 230 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Brian Scalabrine F · 6'9" 235 · 34	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	106	56%	43	26	6	7	17	0	16	27	15-17	88%	38-67	57%	5-16	31%

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20 Milwaukee Bucks

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ersan Ilyasova F · 6'9" 235 · 25	43.1	32	84%	10	1	0	1	0	2	6	4	2-3	67%	12-15	80%	2-3	67%
Brandon Jennings G · 6'1" 170 · 22	37.7	11	31%	2	6	3	1	0	5	1	1	2-2	100%	3-14	21%	1-4	25%
Drew Gooden C · 6'10" 250 · 30	37.2	27	59%	6	1	2	1	1	1	5	1	3-4	75%	9-17	53%	2-4	50%
Carlos Delfino G · 6'6" 230 · 30	24.9	8	36%	4	5	2	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	0-1	0%
Tobias Harris F · 6'8" 226 · 20	13.9	0	0%	2	2	2	0	1	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-

Mike Dunleavy G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31	33.1	8	40%	8	5	2	0	3	0	1	7	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-3	0%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 30	24.8	11	79%	2	7	1	0	1	2	2	0	3-4	75%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Larry Sanders F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23	14.2	4	67%	0	1	0	1	0	2	0	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Shaun Livingston G · 6'7" 192 · 26	9.5	3	50%	1	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	1-2	50%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Jon Leuer F-C · 6'10" 228 · 23	1.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Luc Mbah a Moute F · 6'8" 230 · 25	\| DND - Sore right knee
Stephen Jackson G-F · 6'8" 220 · 34	\| DND - Sore right hamstring
Jon Brockman F · 6'7" 255 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Andrew Bogut #6 · C · 7'0" 260 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	104	53%	35	29	12	4	10	0	16	19	15-19	79%	37-73	51%	5-15	33%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MIL
Clock	Team	Event	CHI	MIL

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHI

1.13 56.4%

MIL

1.06 53.1%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHI

28

40

70%

MIL

23

45

51%

Midrange

CHI

10

27

37%

MIL

14

28

50%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHI

5

7.5

16

31%

47%

MIL

5

7.5

15

33%

50%

Free Throws

CHI

15

17

88%

MIL

15

19

79%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Bulls

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Rose	30	52%	15.0 / 29
J. Noah	20	71%	10.0 / 14
C. Boozer	15	54%	7.5 / 14
L. Deng	12	75%	6.0 / 8
T. Gibson	10	63%	5.0 / 8
R. Brewer	7	50%	3.5 / 7
K. Korver	5	63%	2.5 / 4
O. Asik	4	100%	2.0 / 2
J. Lucas III	3	30%	1.5 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Bucks

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Ilyasova	32	84%	16.0 / 19
D. Gooden	27	59%	13.5 / 23
B. Jennings	11	31%	5.5 / 18
B. Udrih	11	79%	5.5 / 7
C. Delfino	8	36%	4.0 / 11
M. Dunleavy	8	40%	4.0 / 10
L. Sanders	4	67%	2.0 / 3
S. Livingston	3	50%	1.5 / 3
T. Harris	0	-	0.0 / 1
J. Leuer	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 108.0 11 105.7	CHI 117.8 +0.9 MIL 116.9
Pace	29 88.7 3 93.7	CHI 83.4 MIL 96.7 +13.3
Avg. Poss. Time	5 16.4 27 15.2	CHI 17.3 MIL 14.9 −2.4
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	14 49.0% 17 48.1%	CHI 54.8% +4.2% MIL 50.6%
TO %	15 15.1% 9 14.6%	CHI 15.8% MIL 9.4% −6.4%
ORB %	1 32.7% 12 27.8%	CHI 45.7% +8.5% MIL 37.2%
FTrt	24 25.5 26 25.0	CHI 20.5 MIL 21.6 +1.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	3 61.9% 2 62.0%	CHI 60.5% MIL 69.0% +8.5%
STL %	22 7.7% 8 8.8%	CHI 6.7% MIL 13.5% +6.8%
BLK %	9 8.7% 18 8.0%	CHI 9.6% +3.6% MIL 6.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.19 and 2.19.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	20 50.9% 18 51.0%	CHI 56.4% +3.3% MIL 53.1%
Rim FG%	21 57.0% 22 56.2%	CHI 70.0% +18.9% MIL 51.1%
Mid FG%	17 38.9% 18 38.6%	CHI 37.0% MIL 50.0% +13.0%
3P %	4 37.5% 16 34.5%	CHI 31.3% MIL 33.3% +2.0%
FT %	27 72.2% 7 77.5%	CHI 88.2% +9.3% MIL 78.9%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	16 36.3% 9 37.5%	CHI 48.2% MIL 51.1% +2.9%
Mid Att. %	19 43.3% 11 40.1%	CHI 32.5% MIL 31.8% −0.7%
3P Att. %	20 20.5% 17 22.4%	CHI 19.3% +2.2% MIL 17.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	CHI	MIL
Possessions	90	89
Possession Minutes	25.9	22.1
Points	106	104
Rebounds	43	35
Assists	26	29
Steals	6	12
Blocks	7	4
Turnovers (Team)	17 (0)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	16 (3)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	27 (4)	19 (3)
Field Goals	43-83	42-88
At-the-Rim FG	28-40	23-45
Midrange FG	10-27	14-28
2-Point FG	38-67	37-73
3-Point FG	5-16	5-15
Free Throws	15-17	15-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg