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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 7, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Suns29%97104
3Thunder71%105115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
39.8
31.1
28
57%
11
2
1
1
3
4
5
6
10-13
77%
9-19
6-11
47%
54%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
39.2
32.4
12
64%
2
13
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-1
0%
6-8
3-6
75%
52%
0-1
0%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
38.3
34.1
17
48%
11
1
2
1
0
2
4
7
2-4
50%
6-11
4-8
55%
51%
1-5
20%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
28.6
28.7
13
69%
8
2
0
1
0
3
1
7
1-1
100%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
2-4
50%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
26.6
32.0
10
74%
3
2
1
1
1
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-4
4-8
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
25.9
20.1
12
45%
2
2
0
1
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
5-9
3-6
56%
44%
0-3
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
13.3
17.0
1
27%
1
2
0
1
3
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-5
0%
41%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
11.3
7.2
8
40%
4
1
0
0
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-4
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
8.8
13.8
0
0%
3
3
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
41%
0-1
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
8.2
14.4
3
54%
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
0-1
2-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
3.4
0
1-1
48%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
3.2
0
0-1
40%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
3.2
0
0-1
55%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
41.9
39.1
30
48%
6
3
3
1
2
2
2
4
9-10
90%
9-22
7-14
41%
53%
1-5
20%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
40.6
35.9
31
63%
3
10
4
2
0
3
1
2
6-8
75%
8-15
8-16
53%
48%
3-6
50%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
40.0
30.9
18
60%
20
1
0
1
3
3
9
11
0-0
-
9-15
4-7
60%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
18.2
26.8
6
47%
5
2
1
0
1
2
2
3
2-3
67%
2-5
2-3
40%
54%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
12.0
16.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-4
0%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
36.0
31.0
30
89%
4
1
2
1
2
1
0
4
10-11
91%
4-5
3-6
80%
55%
4-7
57%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
17.1
13.1
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-4
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
16.2
22.0
0
0%
2
1
1
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
58%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
7.4
10.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
6.1
1.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
4.5
5.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.3
6.2
0
1-1
53%
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
0.5
0
0-0
45%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.