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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Magic33%9199
1Bulls67%9794
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.2
41.7
37.2
29
62%
18
0
0
1
3
4
7
11
7-10
70%
11-19
7-13
58%
56%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
38.7
30.6
13
53%
6
6
1
1
0
1
1
5
5-5
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
2-6
33%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
32.3
30.3
9
51%
4
7
0
1
0
4
1
3
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
45%
1-3
33%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.1
31.4
28.5
18
60%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-9
3-5
33%
46%
4-6
67%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.8
24.5
31.1
11
56%
10
0
1
1
0
2
4
6
2-2
100%
0-1
2-5
0%
45%
3-8
38%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
29.8
19.5
8
41%
7
1
1
1
1
0
4
3
2-4
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
42%
0-0
-
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
19.4
26.4
9
68%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
4-6
67%
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
1-2
50%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
15.8
16.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
43%
0-1
0%
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
6.5
13.3
2
114%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 23.9
4.9
0
0-1
42%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.1
3.7
0
0-1
40%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
2.0
0
0-1
37%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
0.8
0
0-0
44%
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.6
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
39.3
40.5
5
25%
4
4
1
1
0
2
2
2
2-2
100%
0-4
4-9
0%
47%
1-5
20%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
36.5
34.9
17
36%
4
9
1
1
1
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-16
7-14
25%
49%
2-6
33%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
34.9
26.1
26
62%
7
0
4
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
12-20
6-11
60%
52%
0-0
-
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
34.5
34.6
9
51%
10
2
3
1
3
0
4
6
3-4
75%
3-7
4-8
43%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
18.5
28.4
3
35%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-3
33%
1-3
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
29.5
15.0
9
40%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
2-3
67%
2-3
1-1
67%
46%
1-7
14%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
17.9
20.7
14
89%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
6-7
3-6
86%
49%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
11.6
8.8
5
42%
2
5
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
8.8
12.4
1
57%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-2
50%
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
8.7
1.8
5
66%
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
0-0
100%
50%
0-1
0%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
10.3
0
1-2
43%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
9.7
0
2-3
45%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.2
0
0-0
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.