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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 8, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks56%9994
15Suns44%9796
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
35.5
32.1
18
57%
7
2
1
1
0
1
1
6
2-2
100%
8-13
6-13
62%
51%
0-2
0%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
32.6
20.1
4
53%
2
0
0
1
0
2
0
2
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
31.9
33.0
12
52%
8
3
0
1
1
2
0
8
1-1
100%
4-9
5-10
44%
50%
1-2
50%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
30.3
28.6
12
64%
4
3
3
2
1
2
1
3
1-1
100%
1-4
1-1
25%
42%
3-5
60%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
29.9
20.7
18
43%
5
4
1
1
0
1
3
2
0-0
-
6-16
2-4
38%
47%
2-5
40%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
22.3
19.2
15
61%
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-5
40%
5-9
2-5
56%
51%
1-1
100%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
22.1
22.3
5
28%
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
1-4
25%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
20.3
31.9
6
43%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
15.2
2.2
4
67%
4
2
0
0
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-3
0-0
67%
49%
0-0
-
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
12.9
0
1-3
55%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
9.3
0
1-3
42%
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
4.4
0
1-1
44%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
1.8
0
0-0
40%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
37.3
35.5
18
65%
8
0
0
1
3
1
1
7
2-4
50%
5-7
4-8
71%
51%
2-5
40%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
36.2
29.0
15
55%
5
2
1
1
1
0
0
5
1-4
25%
7-12
3-7
58%
47%
0-0
-
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
34.9
35.2
11
66%
3
11
1
1
0
1
0
3
3-3
100%
4-5
4-7
80%
52%
0-2
0%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
33.4
34.8
16
54%
12
2
0
1
1
5
1
11
2-2
100%
7-14
7-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
31.7
28.3
5
30%
3
5
2
1
1
0
1
2
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
18.3
22.7
7
41%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
3-7
3-7
43%
44%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
17.1
2.9
9
48%
4
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
7-10
70%
1-5
0-1
20%
47%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.7
13.2
11.2
5
50%
4
3
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
1-4
25%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
7.8
11.4
6
75%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
2-3
75%
47%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
5.7
15.2
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
41%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.5
4.5
9.3
4
106%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
3.4
0
0-1
56%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
3.3
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.