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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
20Jazz28%9191
1176ers72%99104
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
32.3
32.8
14
47%
6
1
0
1
3
2
0
6
2-2
100%
6-14
8-16
43%
47%
0-0
-
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
28.8
29.8
15
60%
9
4
3
1
1
1
4
5
7-8
88%
4-8
6-11
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
28.1
21.9
10
73%
2
1
0
1
1
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
45%
0-1
0%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
21.1
28.3
2
13%
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0
2-4
50%
0-6
4-9
0%
43%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
17.6
22.4
2
20%
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
43%
0-2
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
28.2
25.5
13
82%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
2-2
100%
4-6
3-5
67%
47%
1-1
100%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.7
19.9
21.6
7
44%
3
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
2-7
1-2
29%
43%
1-1
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
19.2
17.3
14
64%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-11
3-6
64%
47%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
19.0
14.0
8
34%
5
1
3
0
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
1-5
2-4
20%
44%
1-5
20%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
11.8
2.5
0
0%
5
0
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.6
10.1
13.0
6
51%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
41%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
3.9
12.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
44%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
3.4
0
0-1
39%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 23.4
43.1
28.3
16
62%
12
6
1
1
1
3
0
12
2-2
100%
7-11
4-9
64%
46%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.1
36.3
34.0
10
100%
7
10
1
1
0
1
0
7
0-0
-
5-5
4-8
100%
50%
0-0
-
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 33.0
32.4
28.0
8
31%
9
1
0
1
3
3
2
7
0-0
-
4-13
5-10
31%
50%
0-0
-
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 21.7
31.5
32.3
16
70%
3
4
3
1
0
4
1
2
0-1
0%
5-9
5-9
56%
48%
2-2
100%
Tony Battie
C · 6'11" 240 · 36.1
11.5
6.8
4
67%
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
47%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 23.7
33.4
21.0
21
51%
6
1
1
1
0
0
4
2
5-8
63%
8-17
5-9
47%
53%
0-0
-
Lou Williams
G · 6'1" 175 · 25.4
25.6
27.3
21
73%
2
1
0
1
0
2
0
2
8-10
80%
5-8
4-9
63%
46%
1-2
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 21.4
18.0
22.1
6
44%
5
1
1
1
1
0
2
3
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
53%
0-0
-
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 24.6
7.6
20.8
2
35%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-3
-
49%
0-2
0%
Lavoy Allen
F-C · 6'9" 260 · 23.1
0.8
15.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
50%
0-0
-
Andres Nocioni
· 6'7" 225 · 32.3
2.5
0
0-0
45%
Craig Brackins
F · 6'10" 230 · 24.4
2.3
0
0-1
51%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 23.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.