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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets53%10083
30Bobcats47%9874
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
45.0
31.6
20
54%
15
1
1
1
3
1
6
9
6-8
75%
7-15
4-9
47%
51%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
29.8
30.1
8
31%
1
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
2-4
50%
3-9
4-7
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
29.1
25.5
6
61%
13
2
1
1
0
1
6
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
25.8
23.0
6
75%
4
0
0
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
2-4
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
15.1
33.6
7
41%
3
3
1
1
1
2
0
3
0-1
0%
2-4
5-10
50%
50%
1-4
25%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
25.7
14.1
11
38%
4
7
1
1
0
1
0
4
5-6
83%
3-8
2-3
38%
47%
0-4
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
20.9
19.9
0
0%
4
1
0
1
0
1
2
2
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
20.9
19.9
17
54%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
4-4
100%
5-9
2-4
56%
49%
1-5
20%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
20.1
15.2
8
42%
6
1
0
0
3
1
1
5
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
7.7
6.8
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
12.2
0
3-6
51%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
7.6
0
1-2
49%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
7.0
0
1-1
49%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
34.9
30.9
19
53%
7
2
2
1
0
3
2
5
3-4
75%
8-15
5-11
53%
49%
0-1
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.2
33.4
30.9
7
25%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-12
5-11
8%
49%
1-1
100%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.3
31.9
24.7
6
36%
0
8
1
1
0
2
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-2
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.5
31.4
25.6
11
47%
11
1
1
1
2
1
3
8
3-4
75%
4-10
2-5
40%
50%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
16.7
4.8
6
43%
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
1-2
43%
46%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
23.3
15.8
9
51%
5
2
3
1
0
0
3
2
0-2
0%
3-5
1-2
60%
50%
1-3
33%
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
17.6
21.6
0
0%
6
1
0
0
3
1
1
5
0-0
-
0-8
4-8
0%
49%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.8
16.1
25.4
3
22%
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
1-4
3-8
25%
44%
0-2
0%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
14.7
14.9
5
37%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-4
25%
2-3
2-3
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.5
13.9
15.5
2
50%
5
0
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
6.3
15.7
6
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
53%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
5.0
0
0-1
45%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.7
2.2
0
0-1
46%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.