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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks63%9785
28Pistons37%9286
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
35.7
33.7
18
63%
2
4
3
1
0
2
1
1
5-5
100%
5-7
5-9
71%
49%
1-5
20%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
35.6
36.9
21
47%
7
3
1
1
2
2
1
6
4-8
50%
7-17
7-15
41%
50%
1-2
50%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
35.5
29.6
16
65%
4
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
2-3
67%
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
4-7
57%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.7
30.6
33.4
4
40%
2
3
2
2
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
4-9
40%
49%
0-0
-
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
14.7
34.6
2
26%
2
0
2
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
0-3
4-7
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
30.5
15.0
10
63%
4
2
5
1
0
1
2
2
0-2
0%
5-7
2-5
71%
48%
0-0
-
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
17.4
22.4
9
77%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-1
100%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
16.0
9.8
0
0%
0
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
10.6
16.5
3
25%
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-4
2-4
0%
42%
1-2
50%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
8.3
5.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
57%
0-0
-
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
5.1
10.1
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
45%
0-1
0%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
15.1
0
1-3
42%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
6.7
0
1-2
49%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
37.3
35.5
11
60%
3
7
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-5
60%
4-6
5-12
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
35.4
27.4
20
67%
7
2
0
1
1
6
1
6
0-2
0%
10-14
6-11
71%
51%
0-0
-
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
34.6
28.3
6
51%
0
4
1
1
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
3-7
67%
42%
0-2
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
31.8
33.5
17
57%
5
2
0
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
6-12
5-11
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
28.7
28.0
19
77%
12
2
0
1
0
0
5
7
1-3
33%
9-11
3-7
82%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
23.7
26.9
3
20%
2
3
0
1
0
3
0
2
1-1
100%
1-6
3-8
17%
44%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
19.3
17.5
10
71%
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-5
2-4
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
16.6
13.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
12.7
17.9
0
0%
3
1
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
3.0
0
0-1
41%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
1.8
0
0-0
37%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.