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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
4Lakers59%99105
19Timberwolves41%96102
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
43.0
35.4
26
70%
10
3
1
1
1
4
3
7
4-8
50%
11-15
6-12
73%
56%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.5
37.9
37.5
34
56%
4
1
1
1
2
4
1
3
10-10
100%
9-20
9-18
45%
48%
2-6
33%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
36.0
36.2
12
60%
11
4
1
1
2
3
3
8
0-0
-
6-10
6-12
60%
52%
0-0
-
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
27.0
28.8
9
55%
4
2
1
1
1
2
2
2
4-5
80%
1-3
2-4
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Derek Fisher
G · 6'1" 210 · 37.6
23.6
25.8
9
56%
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
41%
3-6
50%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.0
23.9
20.9
2
33%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
21.5
17.7
8
51%
5
1
1
1
1
0
3
2
2-2
100%
3-6
2-3
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
15.0
5.2
5
51%
7
2
0
0
1
0
3
4
1-2
50%
2-4
0-1
50%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Kapono
F · 6'8" 215 · 31.1
10.1
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
1.9
16.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
9.0
0
1-2
43%
Luke Walton
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.9
2.2
0
0-0
43%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
42.6
26.8
22
52%
10
2
1
1
0
3
3
7
3-5
60%
8-16
3-7
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
40.0
29.0
25
68%
13
2
1
1
0
0
6
7
9-10
90%
8-14
5-9
57%
53%
0-0
-
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
39.0
28.5
15
53%
4
10
2
2
1
4
1
3
4-5
80%
4-10
2-6
40%
39%
1-2
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
38.7
34.1
10
45%
0
3
1
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
4-7
33%
48%
2-5
40%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
24.8
22.6
11
69%
0
0
4
1
3
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
46%
3-5
60%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
25.4
19.8
2
21%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-2
0%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
16.1
14.4
15
69%
2
2
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
5-9
2-5
56%
46%
1-1
100%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
7.9
16.5
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
5.4
2.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-2
0%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
40.4
1
7-14
48%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
4.7
0
1-2
47%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
2.3
0
0-0
42%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.3
0
0-0
45%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.