Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	25	Hornets	22%	94	97	109.0	89	87.1
	9	Nuggets	78%	104	110	125.0	88	89.9

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 28	32.0	17	57%	1	4	1	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 26	26.2	12	46%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 30	21.3	10	56%	5	2	0	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 27	19.8	8	50%	2	4	1	0	1	0	0	2	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon F · 6'10" 250 · 27	18.0	6	100%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 24	30.1	18	75%	5	0	1	0	2	2	4	1	12-14	86%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21	25.0	12	38%	5	1	2	0	1	4	2	3	4-4	100%	4-13	31%	0-1	0%
Jeff Foote C-F · 7'0" 265 · 25	23.1	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 25	22.9	2	33%	2	8	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 21	21.8	8	80%	5	0	1	1	1	5	1	4	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 29	\| NWT - Sore Left Knee
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26	\| DND - Concussion
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 28	\| DND - Second-Degree MCL Sprain
Eric Gordon #10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	31	23	7	2	11	0	9	22	27-32	84%	29-61	48%	4-11	36%

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25 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 28	32.0	17	57%	1	4	1	0	2	1	0	1	2-2	100%	6-12	50%	1-2	50%
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 26	26.2	12	46%	2	3	0	0	1	0	1	1	2-2	100%	2-6	33%	2-6	33%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 30	21.3	10	56%	5	2	0	1	2	2	1	4	0-0	-	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 27	19.8	8	50%	2	4	1	0	1	0	0	2	4-4	100%	2-6	33%	0-0	-
Gustavo Ayon F · 6'10" 250 · 27	18.0	6	100%	0	1	1	0	0	3	0	0	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-0	-

Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 24	30.1	18	75%	5	0	1	0	2	2	4	1	12-14	86%	3-6	50%	0-0	-
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21	25.0	12	38%	5	1	2	0	1	4	2	3	4-4	100%	4-13	31%	0-1	0%
Jeff Foote C-F · 7'0" 265 · 25	23.1	4	67%	4	0	0	0	0	2	0	4	0-0	-	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 25	22.9	2	33%	2	8	0	0	1	3	0	2	2-2	100%	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 21	21.8	8	80%	5	0	1	1	1	5	1	4	1-4	25%	2-2	100%	1-1	100%
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 29	\| NWT - Sore Left Knee
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26	\| DND - Concussion
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 28	\| DND - Second-Degree MCL Sprain
Eric Gordon #10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	97	51%	31	23	7	2	11	0	9	22	27-32	84%	29-61	48%	4-11	36%

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9 Denver Nuggets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 24	41.8	11	55%	4	10	1	0	3	2	1	3	5-6	83%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Arron Afflalo G · 6'5" 210 · 26	36.5	28	93%	2	4	1	1	0	2	1	1	6-6	100%	5-6	83%	4-7	57%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 26	23.3	6	50%	3	4	0	0	1	4	1	2	2-2	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Kenneth Faried F · 6'8" 228 · 22	20.3	9	75%	5	0	2	1	2	5	2	3	1-2	50%	4-5	80%	0-0	-
Nene C · 6'11" 250 · 29	20.3	12	86%	5	4	2	1	3	4	3	2	2-2	100%	5-8	63%	0-0	-

Al Harrington F · 6'9" 245 · 32	26.3	20	53%	10	1	2	0	0	2	2	8	3-6	50%	7-10	70%	1-6	17%
Danilo Gallinari F · 6'10" 225 · 24	24.4	9	38%	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	3	2-4	50%	2-5	40%	1-5	20%
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 36	21.9	7	88%	1	8	0	0	2	1	1	0	1-2	50%	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 34	21.6	6	75%	2	0	1	3	0	3	0	2	0-2	0%	3-3	100%	0-0	-
Jordan Hamilton G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21	3.7	2	50%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-1	0%
Timofey Mozgov C · 7'1" 275 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Rudy Fernandez · 6'6" 185 · 27	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Julyan Stone G · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Kosta Koufos #41 · C · 7'0" 265 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	110	63%	35	33	9	6	12	0	11	24	22-32	69%	35-50	70%	6-23	26%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	DEN
Clock	Team	Event	NOH	DEN

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOH

1.02 51.1%

DEN

1.26 63.2%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

NOH

13

29

45%

DEN

31

39

79%

Midrange

NOH

16

32

50%

DEN

4

11

36%

3PT | Effective 3PT

NOH

4

6.0

11

36%

55%

DEN

6

9.0

23

26%

39%

Free Throws

NOH

27

32

84%

DEN

22

32

69%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Thomas	18	75%	9.0 / 12
J. Jack	17	57%	8.5 / 15
M. Belinelli	12	46%	6.0 / 13
X. Henry	12	38%	6.0 / 16
C. Kaman	10	56%	5.0 / 9
T. Ariza	8	50%	4.0 / 8
A. Aminu	8	80%	4.0 / 5
G. Ayon	6	100%	3.0 / 3
J. Foote	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Vasquez	2	33%	1.0 / 3

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

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Nuggets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Afflalo	28	93%	14.0 / 15
A. Harrington	20	53%	10.0 / 19
Nene	12	86%	6.0 / 7
T. Lawson	11	55%	5.5 / 10
K. Faried	9	75%	4.5 / 6
D. Gallinari	9	38%	4.5 / 12
A. Miller	7	88%	3.5 / 4
C. Brewer	6	50%	3.0 / 6
C. Andersen	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Hamilton	2	50%	1.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	25 100.9 2 109.3	NOH 109.0 DEN 125.0 +16.0
Pace	30 88.4 2 94.1	NOH 87.1 DEN 89.9 +2.8
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.4 30 14.6	NOH 16.5 DEN 16.0 −0.5
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	21 47.6% 2 51.6%	NOH 48.6% DEN 60.3% +11.7%
TO %	29 16.5% 20 15.7%	NOH 14.8% DEN 12.1% −2.7%
ORB %	14 27.6% 13 27.7%	NOH 27.3% DEN 33.3% +6.0%
FTrt	15 27.4 2 32.6	NOH 44.4 +0.6 DEN 43.8
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	10 59.5% 4 61.5%	NOH 69.7% DEN 80.5% +10.8%
STL %	17 8.3% 15 8.6%	NOH 7.9% DEN 10.2% +2.3%
BLK %	14 8.2% 16 8.1%	NOH 4.0% DEN 9.8% +5.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	23 50.1% 3 54.2%	NOH 51.1% DEN 63.2% +12.1%
Rim FG%	25 56.0% 8 59.7%	NOH 44.8% DEN 79.5% +34.7%
Mid FG%	7 40.6% 14 39.3%	NOH 50.0% +13.6% DEN 36.4%
3P %	22 33.3% 24 33.2%	NOH 36.4% +10.3% DEN 26.1%
FT %	15 75.7% 24 73.6%	NOH 84.4% +15.6% DEN 68.8%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	17 36.3% 1 48.0%	NOH 40.3% DEN 53.4% +13.1%
Mid Att. %	28 48.5% 1 27.7%	NOH 44.4% DEN 15.1% −29.4%
3P Att. %	30 15.2% 12 24.3%	NOH 15.3% DEN 31.5% +16.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.14 and 3.14.

Game Totals	NOH	DEN
Possessions	89	88
Possession Minutes	24.5	23.5
Points	97	110
Rebounds	31	35
Assists	23	33
Steals	7	9
Blocks	2	6
Turnovers (Team)	11 (4)	12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	9 (8)	11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	22 (4)	24 (1)
Field Goals	33-72	41-73
At-the-Rim FG	13-29	31-39
Midrange FG	16-32	4-11
2-Point FG	29-61	35-50
3-Point FG	4-11	6-23
Free Throws	27-32	22-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg