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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 9, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
5Mavericks65%10197
24Kings35%96110
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
32.0
32.4
14
58%
8
2
1
1
0
4
2
6
0-0
-
7-11
5-10
64%
50%
0-1
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
28.9
33.1
13
45%
9
1
1
1
1
3
1
8
3-3
100%
5-13
7-13
38%
51%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
22.7
24.5
12
64%
7
0
0
1
1
1
6
1
2-3
67%
5-8
3-5
63%
56%
0-0
-
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
21.6
29.0
6
38%
2
4
0
2
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
2-7
29%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
16.9
23.8
0
0%
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
26.4
27.8
23
64%
3
3
2
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
49%
3-6
50%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
25.3
22.4
5
32%
4
4
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
22.1
20.3
4
29%
4
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
51%
0-3
0%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
19.3
6.9
7
90%
2
0
0
0
2
2
2
0
1-2
50%
3-3
1-1
100%
49%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
9.8
4.0
7
90%
1
2
2
0
1
2
0
1
1-2
50%
3-3
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
8.9
1.8
3
150%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
33%
1-1
100%
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
6.0
6.6
3
40%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-1
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
10.1
0
1-2
55%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
30.8
18.6
15
61%
4
5
3
1
2
5
1
3
3-3
100%
6-11
4-9
55%
44%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
29.6
31.7
17
51%
9
2
1
1
1
0
2
7
4-4
100%
5-12
6-12
42%
46%
1-3
33%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
29.5
32.0
17
79%
2
2
0
1
0
0
2
0
4-4
100%
5-6
4-9
83%
47%
1-3
33%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
24.0
22.9
14
88%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
42%
4-6
67%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.0
20.4
14.7
11
80%
1
2
0
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-4
1-3
75%
47%
1-2
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
22.2
23.5
10
63%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
44%
0-2
0%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
21.3
17.2
10
56%
0
0
3
1
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
47%
2-4
50%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.7
19.1
18.8
4
67%
5
4
0
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
18.6
26.1
4
29%
8
2
0
0
0
2
4
4
0-0
-
2-7
3-6
29%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
17.9
18.5
8
50%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-4
100%
40%
2-7
29%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
3.4
5.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
46%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
3.4
0.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
5.9
0
1-1
41%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.