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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Pacers26%9291
1Heat74%10193
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
42.9
34.2
19
48%
7
0
1
1
1
2
1
6
4-6
67%
6-12
4-9
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.5
38.5
30.6
14
61%
1
6
2
1
0
7
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
3-7
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.2
35.6
30.2
5
21%
7
1
0
0
2
0
4
3
1-2
50%
2-11
5-10
18%
47%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
35.0
31.4
15
35%
10
1
0
1
0
2
5
5
7-8
88%
4-18
5-11
22%
48%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
32.3
29.8
12
67%
2
3
4
1
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
3-7
3-7
43%
47%
2-2
100%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
22.3
8.4
11
71%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.3
21.9
19.3
9
54%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-3
100%
3-7
3-6
43%
41%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.4
14.5
12.9
2
25%
1
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
13.4
9.9
4
45%
5
0
1
0
1
1
5
0
0-1
0%
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
8.6
3.7
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-1
0%
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
23.5
1
2-5
47%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.1
3.9
0
0-1
47%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
2.3
0
0-0
49%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
47.1
37.0
27
53%
8
4
4
2
1
4
1
7
9-15
60%
6-16
8-15
38%
55%
2-3
67%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
43.6
28.4
13
47%
6
1
2
1
2
1
1
5
1-2
50%
6-12
6-11
50%
51%
0-1
0%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.1
39.6
28.4
28
70%
4
7
1
1
1
5
2
2
8-9
89%
10-15
7-14
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
26.5
32.2
5
39%
3
0
0
2
1
2
0
3
0-1
0%
1-2
2-4
50%
51%
1-4
25%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
17.7
25.0
5
43%
7
0
0
0
2
1
4
3
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
50%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
31.7
21.2
4
50%
11
1
0
0
1
2
4
7
0-0
-
2-4
2-5
50%
47%
0-0
-
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
23.8
15.5
6
75%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
45%
0-0
-
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
21.4
23.9
2
20%
4
1
1
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
0-4
0%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
6.9
14.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.0
6.7
9.3
3
39%
4
1
0
0
0
0
3
1
1-2
50%
1-3
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
4.4
0
0-0
40%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
3.8
0
0-1
44%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
2.2
0
0-1
53%
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.