Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Pacers	26%	92	91	97.8	93	86.2
	1	Heat	74%	101	93	98.9	94	83.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 29	42.9	19	48%	7	0	1	1	2	4	1	6	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 25	38.5	14	64%	1	6	2	0	7	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 25	35.6	5	21%	7	1	0	2	0	4	4	3	1-2	50%	2-11	18%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 32	35.0	15	34%	10	1	0	0	2	1	5	5	7-8	88%	4-18	22%	0-0	-
Paul George G · 6'8" 230 · 22	32.3	12	67%	2	3	4	0	0	5	2	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-2	100%

Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31	22.3	11	69%	1	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 26	21.9	9	56%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
AJ Price G · 6'2" 195 · 25	14.5	2	25%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 29	13.4	4	50%	5	0	1	1	1	2	5	0	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 22	8.6	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 26	\| DND - Sprained Left Shoulder
Jeff Foster F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35	\| NWT - Sore Lower Back
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	91	45%	40	17	9	4	13	0	17	23	18-25	72%	26-71	37%	7-17	41%

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15 Indiana Pacers

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Granger F · 6'9" 222 · 29	42.9	19	48%	7	0	1	1	2	4	1	6	4-6	67%	6-12	50%	1-5	20%
Darren Collison G · 6'2" 185 · 25	38.5	14	64%	1	6	2	0	7	1	0	1	0-1	0%	4-8	50%	2-3	67%
Roy Hibbert C · 7'2" 270 · 25	35.6	5	21%	7	1	0	2	0	4	4	3	1-2	50%	2-11	18%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 32	35.0	15	34%	10	1	0	0	2	1	5	5	7-8	88%	4-18	22%	0-0	-
Paul George G · 6'8" 230 · 22	32.3	12	67%	2	3	4	0	0	5	2	0	0-0	-	3-7	43%	2-2	100%

Dahntay Jones G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31	22.3	11	69%	1	1	0	0	1	5	0	1	3-4	75%	1-2	50%	2-4	50%
Tyler Hansbrough · 6'9" 250 · 26	21.9	9	56%	2	0	0	0	0	3	0	2	3-3	100%	3-7	43%	0-0	-
AJ Price G · 6'2" 195 · 25	14.5	2	25%	1	4	1	0	0	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Lou Amundson F · 6'9" 220 · 29	13.4	4	50%	5	0	1	1	1	2	5	0	0-1	0%	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Lance Stephenson G · 6'6" 230 · 22	8.6	0	0%	4	1	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-1	0%
George Hill G · 6'3" 188 · 26	\| DND - Sprained Left Shoulder
Jeff Foster F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35	\| NWT - Sore Lower Back
Jeff Ayres F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	91	45%	40	17	9	4	13	0	17	23	18-25	72%	26-71	37%	7-17	41%

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1 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LeBron James F · 6'9" 250 · 27	47.1	27	52%	8	4	4	1	4	1	1	7	9-15	60%	6-16	38%	2-3	67%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 28	43.6	13	46%	6	1	2	2	1	3	1	5	1-2	50%	6-12	50%	0-1	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 30	39.6	28	67%	4	7	1	1	5	2	2	2	8-9	89%	10-15	67%	0-1	0%
Mario Chalmers G · 6'2" 190 · 26	26.5	5	42%	3	0	0	1	2	4	0	3	0-1	0%	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Joel Anthony C · 6'9" 245 · 30	17.7	5	42%	7	0	0	2	1	2	4	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-

Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 32	31.7	4	50%	11	1	0	1	2	4	4	7	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Norris Cole G · 6'2" 175 · 23	23.8	6	75%	3	1	0	0	2	3	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Shane Battier F · 6'8" 220 · 34	21.4	2	20%	4	1	1	0	3	1	1	3	0-0	-	1-1	100%	0-4	0%
Mike Miller G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32	6.9	0	0%	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Dexter Pittman C · 6'11" 285 · 24	6.7	3	38%	4	1	0	0	0	4	3	1	1-2	50%	1-3	33%	0-0	-
James Jones G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Juwan Howard F · 6'9" 250 · 39	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Eddy Curry C · 7'0" 295 · 29	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Terrel Harris #14 · G · 6'4" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	265	93	51%	51	17	8	9	20	0	16	35	20-31	65%	32-62	52%	3-13	23%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	IND	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

IND

0.89 44.6%

MIA

1.01 50.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

IND

15

35

43%

MIA

20

33

61%

Midrange

IND

11

36

31%

MIA

12

29

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

IND

7

10.5

17

41%

62%

MIA

3

4.5

13

23%

35%

Free Throws

IND

18

25

72%

MIA

20

31

65%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

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Pacers

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Granger	19	48%	9.5 / 20
D. West	15	34%	7.5 / 22
D. Collison	14	64%	7.0 / 11
P. George	12	67%	6.0 / 9
D. Jones	11	69%	5.5 / 8
T. Hansbrough	9	56%	4.5 / 8
R. Hibbert	5	21%	2.5 / 12
L. Amundson	4	50%	2.0 / 4
A. Price	2	25%	1.0 / 4
L. Stephenson	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	28	67%	14.0 / 21
L. James	27	52%	13.5 / 26
C. Bosh	13	46%	6.5 / 14
N. Cole	6	75%	3.0 / 4
M. Chalmers	5	42%	2.5 / 6
J. Anthony	5	42%	2.5 / 6
U. Haslem	4	50%	2.0 / 4
D. Pittman	3	38%	1.5 / 4
S. Battier	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	8 106.4 6 106.6	IND 97.8 MIA 98.9 +1.1
Pace	17 91.1 15 91.3	IND 86.2 +3.0 MIA 83.2
Avg. Poss. Time	18 15.7 15 15.8	IND 16.7 −0.6 MIA 17.3
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	23 47.4% 6 50.5%	IND 41.5% MIA 48.7% +7.2%
TO %	4 14.4% 25 15.9%	IND 11.6% −6.8% MIA 18.4%
ORB %	5 29.3% 19 26.6%	IND 32.7% MIA 41.0% +8.3%
FTrt	3 32.1 5 30.7	IND 28.4 MIA 41.3 +12.9
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	28 52.2% 24 53.8%	IND 51.5% +2.9% MIA 48.6%
STL %	12 8.7% 3 9.6%	IND 9.7% +1.2% MIA 8.5%
BLK %	5 8.8% 4 9.0%	IND 6.5% MIA 12.7% +6.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	19 50.9% 4 53.5%	IND 44.6% MIA 50.5% +5.9%
Rim FG%	29 53.6% 1 61.1%	IND 42.9% MIA 60.6% +17.7%
Mid FG%	19 38.3% 10 40.0%	IND 30.6% MIA 41.4% +10.8%
3P %	6 36.8% 10 35.9%	IND 41.2% +18.1% MIA 23.1%
FT %	3 78.3% 8 77.5%	IND 72.0% +7.5% MIA 64.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	7 37.8% 12 36.7%	IND 39.8% MIA 44.0% +4.2%
Mid Att. %	17 42.4% 21 43.6%	IND 40.9% MIA 38.7% −2.2%
3P Att. %	21 19.8% 22 19.8%	IND 19.3% +2.0% MIA 17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	IND	MIA
Possessions	93	94
Possession Minutes	25.9	27.1
Points	91	93
Rebounds	40	51
Assists	17	17
Steals	9	8
Blocks	4	9
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	17 (4)	16 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	23 (2)	35 (3)
Field Goals	33-88	35-75
At-the-Rim FG	15-35	20-33
Midrange FG	11-36	12-29
2-Point FG	26-71	32-62
3-Point FG	7-17	3-13
Free Throws	18-25	20-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg