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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors53%9886
28Pistons47%97105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
36.6
37.4
15
52%
5
1
0
1
0
3
0
5
9-10
90%
3-9
6-13
33%
48%
0-1
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
20.3
25.8
4
67%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
4-7
67%
49%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
19.5
27.7
8
41%
3
3
1
0
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-7
5-10
29%
49%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
18.4
20.9
10
63%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
53%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.4
13.3
31.8
2
14%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
50%
0-3
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
24.1
23.9
8
67%
5
1
0
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
4-6
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
24.1
17.7
12
61%
2
4
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
44%
2-7
29%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
22.9
20.1
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
51%
0-2
0%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
20.6
23.3
9
41%
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
50%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
17.1
23.4
6
80%
5
0
0
1
0
1
0
5
4-4
100%
1-2
3-5
50%
58%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
16.1
2.2
12
82%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
0-1
67%
46%
2-3
67%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
7.0
8.8
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.7
0
0-0
45%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
33.5
35.9
20
73%
4
8
2
1
0
3
1
3
3-4
75%
7-9
5-12
78%
45%
1-3
33%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
33.4
31.2
19
64%
4
7
1
1
0
3
1
3
2-4
50%
4-6
3-7
67%
44%
3-7
43%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
25.6
32.3
10
63%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
5-11
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
25.4
28.0
12
55%
7
0
1
1
1
0
2
5
0-2
0%
6-10
3-7
60%
49%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
24.1
31.3
11
89%
5
0
0
1
1
2
0
5
5-5
100%
3-4
7-12
75%
52%
0-0
-
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
22.6
18.5
13
55%
6
1
0
1
1
3
1
5
4-4
100%
3-6
2-5
50%
52%
1-4
25%
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
20.6
15.0
2
53%
8
2
1
1
0
0
2
6
2-2
100%
0-1
1-1
0%
46%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
19.3
24.8
8
57%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
4-4
3-7
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
19.1
15.0
8
68%
1
1
2
1
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
46%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
6.5
3.3
2
35%
1
1
2
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.5
3.3
3.4
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
3.3
3.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
42%
0-0
-
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
3.3
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
41%
0-0
-
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.