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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Rockets57%99112
26Nets43%97106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
37.3
22.5
23
75%
5
8
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-3
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
4-7
57%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
32.6
30.3
12
55%
8
2
0
1
1
3
2
6
0-2
0%
6-10
6-12
60%
52%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
30.8
29.4
16
73%
5
6
1
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
8-11
3-6
73%
53%
0-0
-
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
26.7
31.1
15
57%
4
1
0
1
2
1
3
1
5-5
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
17.3
26.7
5
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
30.8
25.3
17
57%
2
4
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
6-11
2-4
55%
48%
1-3
33%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
26.9
23.4
5
64%
4
2
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
2-3
4-7
67%
51%
0-0
-
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
17.7
4.2
15
94%
5
1
0
0
1
0
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
51%
3-3
100%
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
10.7
2.7
2
20%
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
43%
0-0
-
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
9.4
10.4
2
100%
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
52%
0-0
-
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
7.7
0
1-2
43%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
2.0
0
0-0
49%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.1
1.1
0
0-0
54%
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
37.4
36.1
10
45%
7
1
0
1
1
1
2
5
0-0
-
5-11
5-10
45%
49%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
35.2
26.5
10
85%
4
1
0
1
2
2
2
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-5
80%
46%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
33.6
18.5
18
79%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-1
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
45%
3-5
60%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
32.5
29.7
23
72%
5
7
0
1
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
10-13
3-8
77%
46%
1-3
33%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
19.2
23.8
3
50%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
38%
1-3
33%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
23.4
16.9
26
80%
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
2-3
67%
6-7
2-5
86%
47%
4-8
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
21.5
20.2
3
22%
9
0
0
1
0
0
4
5
1-2
50%
1-6
2-5
17%
44%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
21.4
20.3
12
51%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
4-4
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
0-4
0%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
14.4
7.4
1
10%
1
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
0-3
1-2
0%
45%
0-1
0%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
1.5
5.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
26.4
1
4-8
48%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
10.2
0
2-5
48%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
7.2
0
1-1
46%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.