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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz16%9097
2Bulls84%104111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
35.5
29.4
26
68%
7
1
4
1
0
1
4
3
4-5
80%
11-16
5-11
69%
49%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
33.5
32.2
16
42%
8
2
1
1
1
2
3
5
0-0
-
8-19
7-16
42%
46%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
27.3
25.2
15
66%
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-3
33%
7-10
3-8
70%
42%
0-0
-
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
27.1
26.4
10
64%
4
1
0
1
0
3
2
2
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.7
24.9
20.8
3
52%
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
23.1
2.7
6
27%
0
10
1
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
3-10
0-0
30%
40%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
22.5
16.3
4
25%
1
1
0
1
3
1
1
0
2-2
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.6
19.1
12.0
11
56%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
4-8
2-4
50%
41%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
18.0
18.0
2
53%
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
47%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
7.2
9.3
4
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
2.0
6.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
24.2
1
2-5
45%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
1.4
0
0-0
42%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
41.4
28.5
27
74%
8
2
1
1
0
5
2
6
1-3
33%
13-17
7-13
76%
54%
0-0
-
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
39.5
19.5
26
81%
7
6
1
0
1
0
0
7
0-0
-
4-5
1-2
80%
48%
6-11
55%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
35.4
35.0
24
67%
2
13
1
1
1
6
0
2
10-11
91%
7-11
7-14
64%
51%
0-2
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
33.4
11.1
4
40%
6
3
2
0
2
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
55%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
28.5
24.8
11
43%
5
3
1
1
0
0
2
3
3-4
75%
4-10
3-5
40%
52%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
27.8
4.1
8
60%
5
1
0
0
0
1
3
2
4-6
67%
2-4
0-1
50%
51%
0-0
-
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
19.1
19.6
4
50%
5
1
1
0
2
0
3
2
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
12.8
9.6
7
58%
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
1-3
33%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
2.2
0.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
39.6
1
4-8
49%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
34.1
1
4-8
53%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
8.5
0
1-2
45%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
7.9
0
1-3
47%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.