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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats11%9095
5Thunder89%107122
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
30.6
31.9
21
68%
2
3
0
1
0
0
1
1
7-8
88%
4-8
5-11
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.5
28.8
27.7
6
29%
8
0
1
1
1
0
4
4
0-1
0%
3-10
2-5
30%
44%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.3
28.8
27.4
22
62%
4
7
0
1
0
1
2
2
4-4
100%
3-9
2-6
33%
42%
4-7
57%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
28.7
31.6
7
32%
4
4
2
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-10
5-12
30%
44%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
21.0
9.7
6
38%
6
0
1
0
1
2
3
3
2-2
100%
2-7
1-3
29%
42%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
22.3
12.2
10
63%
5
0
2
0
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.8
21.8
21.8
4
29%
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
3-7
29%
39%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
19.2
20.0
12
75%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
6-8
3-8
75%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
17.4
14.9
7
58%
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
47%
1-3
33%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.5
12.5
15.1
0
0%
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
5.0
3.9
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
4.0
18.5
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.7
2.2
0
0-1
39%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.4
31.2
38.0
26
84%
7
2
1
1
2
3
0
7
8-8
100%
6-8
8-14
75%
55%
2-4
50%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
26.8
35.2
23
77%
1
4
0
2
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
9-12
8-15
75%
50%
1-2
50%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.3
25.3
26.0
1
13%
4
5
0
0
3
2
0
4
1-4
25%
0-2
2-3
0%
56%
0-0
-
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
18.9
29.4
6
104%
5
0
0
1
3
2
0
5
2-2
100%
2-2
4-8
100%
56%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
14.2
15.1
6
50%
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
45%
2-5
40%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.5
28.8
32.7
33
81%
0
3
1
1
1
2
0
0
7-10
70%
7-7
3-6
100%
58%
4-9
44%
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
22.7
16.2
3
75%
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
1-2
50%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
21.3
12.0
6
50%
3
7
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
48%
0-1
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
17.7
20.1
4
67%
5
4
1
1
2
1
3
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
60%
0-0
-
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
13.3
9.6
4
67%
3
1
2
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
10.1
4.4
6
75%
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
0-1
75%
56%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
5.0
2.6
4
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
5.0
0.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
53%
0-0
-
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.