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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 10, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks56%9887
20Warriors44%96111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
33.3
27.3
15
52%
1
5
1
1
0
7
0
1
1-1
100%
1-5
3-7
20%
49%
4-9
44%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
30.2
31.6
22
56%
4
0
1
1
0
2
1
3
7-8
88%
6-15
6-13
40%
50%
1-1
100%
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.3
27.4
23.7
9
49%
9
0
1
1
0
2
4
5
3-5
60%
3-7
3-5
43%
55%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
25.9
6.2
8
60%
4
5
0
0
0
3
0
4
4-6
67%
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.8
23.7
31.9
4
40%
6
1
1
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
5-10
40%
50%
0-0
-
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.0
34.4
23.3
12
89%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
24.1
21.3
7
35%
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
46%
1-4
25%
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.3
18.9
20.8
3
25%
4
2
0
0
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
3-5
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
8.8
4.3
3
75%
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
1-2
50%
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
7.8
10.5
4
67%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
49%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
5.5
6.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
26.5
1
1-1
41%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
8.6
0
1-2
55%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
32.8
31.3
25
69%
9
1
2
1
0
1
1
8
5-5
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
51%
0-0
-
Ekpe Udoh
C-F · 6'10" 245 · 24.8
32.0
28.3
6
60%
4
0
1
1
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
3-5
3-6
60%
44%
0-0
-
Monta Ellis
G · 6'3" 185 · 26.4
31.2
32.8
20
81%
2
8
3
1
0
4
0
2
2-3
67%
3-6
7-14
50%
48%
4-5
80%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
25.2
17.0
2
25%
5
4
1
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
16.3
14.1
10
71%
2
2
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
24.9
20.6
21
83%
5
1
3
1
0
3
0
5
6-6
100%
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
3-6
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
24.7
29.1
2
20%
5
2
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
45%
0-4
0%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
20.5
20.1
13
52%
3
3
2
1
0
0
1
2
6-8
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
1-4
25%
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
17.2
24.1
2
50%
6
1
2
1
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
40%
0-0
-
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.4
5.5
3.6
2
114%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
4.8
4.9
2
41%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
4.8
4.4
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
42%
0-0
-
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
7.2
0
0-1
56%
Kwame Brown
C · 6'11" 290 · 30.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.