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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
18Bucks62%101105
28Raptors38%9799
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
44.1
35.6
31
83%
12
1
2
1
0
0
2
10
6-6
100%
8-13
5-11
62%
49%
3-3
100%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
37.5
36.4
11
34%
4
6
1
2
0
1
2
2
3-5
60%
4-11
5-11
36%
44%
0-3
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
33.7
32.0
21
70%
6
5
1
1
0
2
1
5
7-9
78%
7-11
6-12
64%
47%
0-0
-
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
28.9
30.1
5
36%
0
2
1
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
43%
1-5
20%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
11.8
10.2
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
41.1
30.6
19
58%
6
6
0
1
0
4
0
6
3-3
100%
5-9
3-6
56%
50%
2-6
33%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
25.1
22.9
11
73%
1
4
1
1
0
1
1
0
7-8
88%
2-3
3-6
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
13.9
13.4
7
74%
5
0
0
0
4
1
2
3
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
3.9
2.3
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
12.2
0
2-3
48%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
10.0
0
1-2
48%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
4.3
0
0-1
45%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
2.7
0
0-1
51%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
41.1
36.5
21
44%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
3-4
75%
9-21
6-13
43%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
30.1
25.2
11
47%
8
2
1
0
0
3
2
6
3-4
75%
4-7
5-9
57%
48%
0-3
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
28.9
20.6
16
56%
2
6
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
7-11
2-5
64%
43%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
26.4
23.2
6
38%
6
4
3
1
1
5
2
4
2-2
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
25.8
20.9
12
86%
6
2
0
1
0
1
4
2
0-0
-
6-7
3-5
86%
57%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
24.4
21.9
12
60%
2
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
2-2
100%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
21.4
23.8
4
106%
10
1
1
1
0
0
2
8
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
20.2
21.3
10
56%
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-5
3-5
40%
50%
2-4
50%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
19.1
9.1
7
40%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
2-7
1-2
29%
46%
0-0
-
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
2.6
19.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
8.1
0
1-1
47%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.5
0
0-0
45%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
0.7
0
0-0
44%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.