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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
NEW
Sunday
March 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Rockets45%99107
24Cavaliers55%101118
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 31.9
38.6
31.0
30
59%
8
1
1
1
0
0
1
7
0-1
0%
15-25
6-12
60%
50%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.8
34.4
28.5
20
84%
1
8
1
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
3-6
3-7
50%
49%
4-5
80%
Samuel Dalembert
C · 6'11" 255 · 31.8
31.5
28.7
15
59%
10
0
1
1
5
0
3
7
3-4
75%
6-11
4-8
55%
50%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 23.4
27.4
29.5
9
75%
3
3
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-3
3-6
100%
52%
1-3
33%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 29.1
15.9
22.6
3
22%
4
4
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Chase Budinger
F · 6'7" 209 · 23.8
29.8
10.8
16
68%
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
2-4
50%
4-7
1-2
57%
49%
2-3
67%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 26.4
24.2
27.4
5
50%
3
3
2
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-2
50%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 23.0
17.8
24.8
4
50%
3
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-4
4-8
50%
50%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
13.7
6.9
4
41%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
41%
0-1
0%
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
6.8
10.2
1
10%
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
1-3
0%
51%
0-0
-
Greg Smith
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.2
5.3
0
0-1
48%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 22.5
1.8
0
0-0
47%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.1
1.3
0
0-0
53%
Terrence Williams
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24.7
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 24.8
33.0
31.7
11
43%
4
2
3
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-11
4-7
36%
49%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 20.0
28.7
29.3
21
54%
6
5
0
1
0
3
1
5
10-10
100%
4-12
5-10
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Antawn Jamison
F · 6'9" 235 · 35.7
28.6
33.6
28
72%
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
8-8
100%
4-9
6-13
44%
48%
4-7
57%
Anthony Parker
G · 6'6" 210 · 36.7
21.1
24.5
5
63%
1
2
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
44%
1-1
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 27.4
18.6
19.4
4
58%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-1
0%
2-3
2-3
67%
56%
0-0
-
Daniel Gibson
G · 6'2" 200 · 26.0
26.9
22.0
11
55%
4
2
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-6
1-3
67%
40%
1-4
25%
Samardo Samuels
· 6'9" 260 · 23.2
24.2
11.2
11
71%
5
0
0
0
1
1
3
2
3-4
75%
4-6
2-4
67%
46%
0-0
-
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 21.0
23.3
22.5
4
69%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
2-2
3-7
100%
46%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
20.6
21.2
15
74%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
5-5
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
46%
2-2
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 23.7
14.9
14.3
8
51%
5
1
0
0
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
1-4
1-2
25%
48%
2-3
67%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 29.5
10.4
0
2-3
54%
Semih Erden
C · 7'0" 240 · 25.6
4.6
0
0-1
52%
Manny Harris
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.5
2.3
0
0-1
40%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
Luke Harangody
F · 6'7" 245 · 24.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.