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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 11, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Hawks58%98106
23Kings42%9699
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
42.4
20.2
12
60%
3
4
1
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
46%
2-5
40%
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
39.9
36.1
28
55%
6
3
3
1
2
0
2
4
1-6
17%
12-18
8-15
67%
50%
1-5
20%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
37.7
31.9
16
65%
2
7
3
2
1
3
0
2
1-3
33%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
1-1
100%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
37.6
34.2
21
62%
3
6
5
1
0
4
0
3
9-9
100%
3-9
5-10
33%
49%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
29.7
26.9
10
73%
13
1
1
1
0
2
3
10
2-2
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
23.6
31.6
12
49%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
2-3
67%
5-8
3-6
63%
47%
0-3
0%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
16.3
8.1
5
50%
10
0
0
0
0
1
2
8
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
46%
1-2
50%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
7.0
14.0
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-1
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
6.0
6.3
0
0%
2
1
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
57%
0-0
-
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
20.7
1
3-6
48%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
12.2
0
1-3
46%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.3
9.8
0
1-2
42%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
6.4
0
1-2
49%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
36.1
23.5
28
65%
12
2
3
1
1
4
2
10
8-10
80%
10-16
5-11
63%
44%
0-1
0%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
32.7
30.5
8
29%
5
7
0
1
1
4
1
4
0-0
-
4-11
5-12
36%
45%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
29.6
30.5
12
51%
4
0
1
1
0
3
3
1
2-2
100%
2-4
4-9
50%
47%
2-7
29%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
23.2
23.1
8
51%
3
0
1
1
1
3
1
2
2-2
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
43%
2-4
50%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
17.4
23.0
4
40%
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
49%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
26.4
18.7
5
63%
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
1-3
33%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
23.6
17.9
12
67%
1
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
40%
2-5
40%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.2
20.0
22.7
14
75%
2
4
1
1
1
1
0
2
1-3
33%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
3-4
75%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
17.1
17.0
4
50%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
48%
0-2
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
13.9
18.5
4
67%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
48%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.7
4.8
0
1-1
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
4.0
0
0-1
41%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
1.5
0
0-0
44%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.