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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bucks55%102105
27Nets45%10099
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 22.5
38.9
36.4
34
67%
7
7
0
2
2
1
0
7
4-5
80%
6-12
5-11
50%
44%
6-11
55%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 30.5
37.1
32.3
23
61%
8
7
1
1
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
10-17
6-12
59%
47%
1-2
50%
Carlos Delfino
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 29.5
31.9
29.4
2
13%
6
1
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
43%
0-4
0%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.8
23.7
38.5
4
33%
3
0
1
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
2-6
6-12
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 19.7
17.6
11.1
4
34%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 31.5
35.8
34.3
15
54%
4
6
2
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
50%
1-5
20%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 29.7
32.6
23.4
15
63%
3
7
1
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
4-9
3-6
44%
52%
2-2
100%
Jon Leuer
F-C · 6'10" 228 · 22.8
13.3
2.5
6
60%
3
2
1
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
52%
0-0
-
Jon Brockman
F · 6'7" 255 · 25.0
8.7
3.3
2
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Larry Sanders
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 23.3
0.5
13.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 26.5
8.6
0
1-2
48%
Luc Mbah a Moute
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.5
8.0
0
1-2
48%
Stephen Jackson
G-F · 6'8" 220 · 33.9
4.7
0
0-1
45%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
41.7
35.8
31
76%
18
1
2
1
3
1
3
15
9-12
75%
11-15
5-10
73%
50%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
35.5
22.9
17
45%
3
7
0
1
0
3
0
3
1-2
50%
5-12
2-5
42%
47%
2-6
33%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
34.6
30.1
10
43%
2
3
2
1
0
5
0
2
2-4
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
49%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
19.7
28.8
6
104%
3
0
1
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
19.3
21.9
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-3
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
30.4
18.7
11
43%
6
0
0
0
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
24.8
20.3
17
74%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
7-9
2-4
78%
48%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
21.4
20.2
2
35%
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-5
0%
45%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
12.7
9.5
5
51%
2
2
3
1
0
4
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-2
50%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
19.3
1
3-6
49%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 23.9
9.2
0
2-5
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
7.0
0
1-1
48%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
4.2
0
0-1
48%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.