Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

All Games Monday, March 12, 2012

Final			Win Prob.	pScore
	30	Bobcats	31%	91	73
	25	Hornets	69%	97	71

	ORTG	#Poss	Pace
Bobcats	83.0	88	85.0
Hornets	82.6	86	89.2

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+14

-17

NOH

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.86 42.9%

NOH

0.85 42.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / WinProb
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	NOH
Q4 - 0:00.0	CHA		73	71
Q4 - 0:00.0	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)	73	71
Q4 - 0:01.0	NOH	MISS Ariza 3' Layup	73	71
Q4 - 0:05.0	CHA	SUB: Brown FOR Diaw	73	71
Q4 - 0:05.0	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 2)	73	71
Q4 - 0:05.0	CHA	Henderson Personal Take Foul (P3.T2)	73	71
Q4 - 0:10.0	CHA	SUB: Biyombo FOR Mullens	73	71
Q4 - 0:10.0	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Short (Full 5 Short 1)	73	71
Q4 - 0:10.0	NOH	Jack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	73	71
Q4 - 0:11.0	CHA	MISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot	73	71
Q4 - 0:31.0	CHA	SUB: Mullens FOR Biyombo	73	71
Q4 - 0:31.0	CHA	Bobcats Timeout: Short (Reg.4 Short 1)	73	71
Q4 - 0:31.0	NOH	Jack Foul Turnover (P6.T17)	73	71
Q4 - 0:31.0	NOH	Jack OFF.Foul (P2)	73	71
Q4 - 0:44.0	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	73	71
Q4 - 0:47.0	CHA	MISS Williams 11' Jump Shot	73	71
Q4 - 1:04	NOH	Jack 6' Floating Jump Shot (15 PTS)	73	71
Q4 - 1:12	NOH	SUB: Belinelli FOR Vasquez	73	69
Q4 - 1:12	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 5 Short 0)	73	69
Q4 - 1:12	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)	73	69
Q4 - 1:12	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	73	69
Q4 - 1:12	CHA	MISS Henderson 13' Jump Shot	73	69
Q4 - 1:36	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)	73	69
Q4 - 1:36	NOH	MISS Aminu 8' Fadeaway Jumper	73	69
Q4 - 1:40	NOH	Aminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	73	69
Q4 - 1:41	NOH	MISS Ariza 4' Jump Shot	73	69
Q4 - 2:05	CHA	Diaw 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 3 AST)	73	69
Q4 - 2:22	NOH	Aminu 4' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)	71	69
Q4 - 2:43	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	71	67
Q4 - 2:44	CHA	MISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot	71	67
Q4 - 3:08	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	71	67
Q4 - 3:10	NOH	MISS Aminu 21' Jump Shot	71	67
Q4 - 3:17	CHA	SUB: Augustin FOR Walker	71	67
Q4 - 3:17	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 0)	71	67
Q4 - 3:35	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:14)	71	67
Q4 - 3:37	CHA	MISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot	71	67
Q4 - 3:49	NOH	Aminu 3' Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Jack 9 AST)	71	67
Q4 - 4:07	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	71	65
Q4 - 4:08	CHA	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	71	65
Q4 - 4:28	NOH	Jack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)	71	65
Q4 - 4:52	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:13)	71	62
Q4 - 4:53	CHA	MISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot	71	62
Q4 - 5:08	CHA	SUB: Biyombo FOR Brown	71	62
Q4 - 5:08	CHA	SUB: Henderson FOR Mullens	71	62
Q4 - 5:08	CHA	SUB: Diaw FOR White	71	62
Q4 - 5:08	CHA	Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)	71	62
Q4 - 5:09	NOH	Kaman 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jack 8 AST)	71	62
Q4 - 5:22	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)	71	60
Q4 - 5:26	CHA	MISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot	71	60
Q4 - 5:41	NOH	Aminu 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Jack 7 AST)	71	60
Q4 - 5:54	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	71	58
Q4 - 5:56	CHA	MISS Mullens 19' Jump Shot	71	58
Q4 - 6:17	NOH	SUB: Vasquez FOR Belinelli	71	58
Q4 - 6:17	NOH	Ariza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)	71	58
Q4 - 6:33	CHA	Bobcats Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)	71	58
Q4 - 6:33	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	71	58
Q4 - 6:33	CHA	MISS Walker 41' 3PT Jump Shot	71	58
Q4 - 6:57	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	71	58
Q4 - 6:59	NOH	MISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot	71	58
Q4 - 7:04	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	71	58
Q4 - 7:05	CHA	MISS Walker 20' Jump Shot	71	58
Q4 - 7:18	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	71	58
Q4 - 7:19	NOH	MISS Belinelli 27' 3PT Jump Shot	71	58
Q4 - 7:44	CHA	Walker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)	71	58
Q4 - 7:49	NOH	SUB: Jack FOR Vasquez	69	58
Q4 - 7:49	NOH	SUB: Ariza FOR Ayon	69	58
Q4 - 7:49			69	58
Q4 - 7:49	NOH	Vasquez P.FOUL (P3.T1)	69	58
Q4 - 7:55	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)	69	58
Q4 - 7:56	CHA	MISS Brown 6' Jump Shot	69	58
Q4 - 8:05	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	69	58
Q4 - 8:07	NOH	MISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Jump Shot	69	58
Q4 - 8:35	CHA	Mullens 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)	69	58
Q4 - 8:48	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	67	58
Q4 - 8:49	NOH	MISS Kaman 6' Jump Shot	67	58
Q4 - 9:09	CHA	Mullens 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)	67	58
Q4 - 9:25	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	65	58
Q4 - 9:26	NOH	MISS Aminu 18' Jump Shot	65	58
Q4 - 9:36	CHA	Walker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)	65	58
Q4 - 9:50	NOH	Belinelli Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)	65	58
Q4 - 9:53	NOH	Ayon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	65	58
Q4 - 9:54	CHA	MISS Mullens 3' Layup	65	58
Q4 - 10:10	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)	65	58
Q4 - 10:11	NOH	MISS Belinelli 3' Layup	65	58
Q4 - 10:20	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)	65	58
Q4 - 10:21	CHA	MISS White 13' Jump Shot	65	58
Q4 - 10:35	CHA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	65	58
Q4 - 10:36	NOH	MISS Belinelli 17' Jump Shot	65	58
Q4 - 10:54	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	65	58
Q4 - 10:54	CHA	Brown 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	65	58
Q4 - 10:55	CHA	Williams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)	63	58
Q4 - 10:55	CHA	MISS Williams 2' Tip Shot	63	58
Q4 - 10:56	CHA	MISS Brown 2' Layup	63	58
Q4 - 11:01	CHA	Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	63	58
Q4 - 11:04	CHA	MISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot	63	58
Q4 - 11:27	NOH	Belinelli Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)	63	58
Q4 - 11:27	CHA	SUB: Williams FOR Henderson	63	57
Q4 - 11:27	CHA	Mullens S.FOUL (P1.T1)	63	57
Q4 - 11:27	NOH	Belinelli 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)	63	57
Q4 - 11:45	CHA	Walker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)	63	55
Q4 - 12:00			61	55
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH		61	55
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	61	55
Q3 - 0:00.0	NOH	MISS Jack 44' 3PT Jump Shot	61	55
Q3 - 0:03.0	CHA	Henderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)	61	55
Q3 - 0:03.0	NOH	Thomas S.FOUL (P2.PN)	60	55
Q3 - 0:03.0	CHA	Henderson Dunk (14 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)	60	55
Q3 - 0:07.0	NOH	Jack Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T14)	58	55
Q3 - 0:28.0	CHA	Walker 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	58	55
Q3 - 0:34.0	CHA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56	55
Q3 - 0:35.0	NOH	MISS Ayon 20' Jump Shot	56	55
Q3 - 0:57.0	CHA	Brown P.FOUL (P2.T3)	56	55
Q3 - 0:58.0	NOH	Jack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	56	55
Q3 - 0:58.0	CHA	Ayon BLOCK (1 BLK)	56	55
Q3 - 1:02	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)	56	55
Q3 - 1:03	CHA	MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot	56	55
Q3 - 1:10	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	56	55
Q3 - 1:11	NOH	MISS Jack 15' Jump Shot	56	55
Q3 - 1:24	CHA	Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)	56	55
Q3 - 1:24	CHA	SUB: Brown FOR Williams	55	55
Q3 - 1:24	NOH	SUB: Aminu FOR Ariza	55	55
Q3 - 1:24	CHA	SUB: Mullens FOR Biyombo	55	55
Q3 - 1:24	NOH	SUB: Ayon FOR Kaman	55	55
Q3 - 1:24	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	55	55
Q3 - 1:24	CHA	MISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2	55	55
Q3 - 1:24	NOH	Jack S.FOUL (P1.T1)	55	55
Q3 - 1:27	NOH	Jack Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)	55	55
Q3 - 1:42	CHA	Walker 2' Layup (8 PTS)	55	55
Q3 - 1:48	NOH	Thomas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)	53	55
Q3 - 2:05	CHA	Biyombo Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Henderson 2 AST)	53	55
Q3 - 2:17	NOH	Ariza 4' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS)	51	55
Q3 - 2:33	CHA	Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)	51	53
Q3 - 2:33	CHA	Thomas P.FOUL (P2.T2)	51	53
Q3 - 2:36	CHA	Walker 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	51	53
Q3 - 2:47	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)	49	53
Q3 - 2:48	NOH	MISS Jack 4' Floating Jump Shot	49	53
Q3 - 2:58	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)	49	53
Q3 - 3:00	CHA	MISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot	49	53
Q3 - 3:25	NOH	Ariza 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Kaman 3 AST)	49	53
Q3 - 3:41	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)	49	51
Q3 - 3:41	CHA	MISS Henderson 16' Jump Shot	49	51
Q3 - 3:57	NOH	Thomas Foul Turnover (P1.T11)	49	51
Q3 - 3:57	NOH	Thomas OFF.Foul (P1)	49	51
Q3 - 4:07	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)	49	51
Q3 - 4:08	NOH	MISS Kaman 3' Layup	49	51
Q3 - 4:24	CHA	Biyombo 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)	49	51
Q3 - 4:44	CHA	SUB: Walker FOR Augustin	47	51
Q3 - 4:44	NOH	SUB: Henry FOR Belinelli	47	51
Q3 - 4:44	CHA	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	47	51
Q3 - 4:46	NOH	MISS Belinelli 2' Layup	47	51
Q3 - 4:51	CHA	Ariza STEAL (2 STL)	47	51
Q3 - 5:09	NOH	Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jack 6 AST)	47	51
Q3 - 5:22	CHA	Williams 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)	47	48
Q3 - 5:27	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	45	48
Q3 - 5:29	NOH	MISS Ariza 3' Layup	45	48
Q3 - 5:34	NOH	Jack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	45	48
Q3 - 5:36	CHA	Kaman BLOCK (3 BLK)	45	48
Q3 - 5:52	NOH	Jack 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS)	45	48
Q3 - 6:03	CHA	Thomas Dunk (4 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)	45	46
Q3 - 6:22	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)	43	46
Q3 - 6:25	NOH	MISS Belinelli 26' 3PT Jump Shot	43	46
Q3 - 6:33	NOH	SUB: Thomas FOR Ayon	43	46
Q3 - 6:33	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 0)	43	46
Q3 - 6:46	CHA	Biyombo 3' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)	43	46
Q3 - 6:54	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	41	46
Q3 - 6:56	NOH	MISS Ayon 2' Layup	41	46
Q3 - 7:15	CHA	Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	41	46
Q3 - 7:15	CHA	Williams 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)	41	46
Q3 - 7:16	CHA	MISS Thomas 13' Jump Shot	39	46
Q3 - 7:38	NOH	Kaman 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (10 PTS) (Jack 5 AST)	39	46
Q3 - 7:54	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	39	44
Q3 - 7:55	CHA	MISS Thomas 20' Jump Shot	39	44
Q3 - 8:11	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	39	44
Q3 - 8:12	NOH	MISS Belinelli 2' Layup	39	44
Q3 - 8:27	CHA	Augustin Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)	39	44
Q3 - 8:35	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	39	44
Q3 - 8:37	NOH	MISS Kaman 3' Layup	39	44
Q3 - 8:48	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	39	44
Q3 - 8:48	CHA	Kaman BLOCK (2 BLK)	39	44
Q3 - 9:03	NOH	Jack 5' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)	39	44
Q3 - 9:13	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	39	42
Q3 - 9:14	CHA	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	39	42
Q3 - 9:19	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	39	42
Q3 - 9:21	NOH	MISS Kaman 3' Layup	39	42
Q3 - 9:39	CHA	Thomas 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)	39	42
Q3 - 9:45	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	37	42
Q3 - 9:46	NOH	MISS Belinelli 12' Jump Shot	37	42
Q3 - 10:00	CHA	Henderson Personal Block Foul (P2.T1)	37	42
Q3 - 10:13	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)	37	42
Q3 - 10:14	CHA	Jack BLOCK (1 BLK)	37	42
Q3 - 10:41	NOH	Jack 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Kaman 2 AST)	37	42
Q3 - 10:53	CHA	Henderson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)	37	40
Q3 - 11:12	NOH	Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jack 4 AST)	35	40
Q3 - 11:22	CHA	Ayon STEAL (4 STL)	35	37
Q3 - 11:41	NOH	Ayon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)	35	37
Q3 - 12:00			35	37
Q2 - 0:00.0	NOH		35	37
Q2 - 0:00.0	CHA	Ariza STEAL (1 STL)	35	37
Q2 - 0:03.0	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)	35	37
Q2 - 0:04.0	NOH	MISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot	35	37
Q2 - 0:09.0	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	35	37
Q2 - 0:11.0	NOH	MISS Jack 10' Jump Shot	35	37
Q2 - 0:29.0	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)	35	37
Q2 - 0:30.0	CHA	MISS Diaw 22' Jump Shot	35	37
Q2 - 0:49.0	NOH	Jack Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)	35	37
Q2 - 0:56.0	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)	35	37
Q2 - 0:57.0	CHA	MISS Augustin 20' Jump Shot	35	37
Q2 - 1:20	NOH	Belinelli Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)	35	37
Q2 - 1:36	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)	35	37
Q2 - 1:37	NOH	MISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot	35	37
Q2 - 1:52	CHA	Henderson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)	35	37
Q2 - 1:55	NOH	SUB: Aminu FOR Ayon	33	37
Q2 - 2:09	CHA	Brown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	33	37
Q2 - 2:10	NOH	MISS Kaman 2' Layup	33	37
Q2 - 2:25	CHA	Henderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)	33	37
Q2 - 2:25	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	32	37
Q2 - 2:25	CHA	MISS Henderson Free Throw 1 of 2	32	37
Q2 - 2:25	NOH	Kaman S.FOUL (P1.T3)	32	37
Q2 - 2:44	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	32	37
Q2 - 2:45	NOH	MISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2	32	37
Q2 - 2:45	NOH	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)	32	37
Q2 - 2:45	CHA	Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)	32	36
Q2 - 2:45	CHA	Henderson S.FOUL (P1.T3)	32	36
Q2 - 3:00	CHA	Biyombo 1' Dunk (6 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)	32	36
Q2 - 3:12	NOH	SUB: Belinelli FOR Aminu	30	36
Q2 - 3:16	NOH	Jack Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)	30	36
Q2 - 3:23	CHA	Aminu STEAL (2 STL)	30	36
Q2 - 3:46	NOH	Kaman 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)	30	36
Q2 - 3:59	CHA	Diaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)	30	34
Q2 - 3:59	CHA	SUB: Augustin FOR Walker	30	34
Q2 - 4:09	CHA	SUB: Brown FOR Maggette	30	34
Q2 - 4:09	NOH	SUB: Jack FOR Vasquez	30	34
Q2 - 4:09	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	30	34
Q2 - 4:09	NOH	MISS Kaman 3' Layup	30	34
Q2 - 4:19	NOH	Ayon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	30	34
Q2 - 4:20	CHA	Ariza BLOCK (1 BLK)	30	34
Q2 - 4:27	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	30	34
Q2 - 4:28	NOH	MISS Kaman 5' Jump Shot	30	34
Q2 - 4:50	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	30	34
Q2 - 4:52	NOH	MISS Kaman 13' Jump Shot	30	34
Q2 - 5:06	CHA	Henderson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS)	30	34
Q2 - 5:10	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	28	34
Q2 - 5:13	CHA	MISS Maggette 20' Jump Shot	28	34
Q2 - 5:29	NOH	Kaman 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)	28	34
Q2 - 5:50	CHA	Biyombo 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)	28	32
Q2 - 5:58	NOH	SUB: Kaman FOR Henry	26	32
Q2 - 5:58	CHA	SUB: Maggette FOR Brown	26	32
Q2 - 5:58	CHA	SUB: Diaw FOR Mullens	26	32
Q2 - 5:58	CHA	SUB: Henderson FOR Williams	26	32
Q2 - 5:58	CHA	SUB: Biyombo FOR White	26	32
Q2 - 5:58	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 0)	26	32
Q2 - 5:58	NOH	Aminu P.FOUL (P1.T2)	26	32
Q2 - 6:09	NOH	Ayon 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Henry 2 AST)	26	32
Q2 - 6:24	CHA	Brown 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)	26	30
Q2 - 6:45	NOH	Aminu Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)	24	30
Q2 - 6:51	NOH	Ariza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	24	28
Q2 - 6:52	CHA	MISS Mullens 13' Jump Shot	24	28
Q2 - 7:02	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)	24	28
Q2 - 7:06	NOH	MISS Ayon 3' Layup	24	28
Q2 - 7:24	NOH	SUB: Ariza FOR Thomas	24	28
Q2 - 7:24	CHA	Walker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)	24	28
Q2 - 7:42	NOH	Vasquez 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)	24	28
Q2 - 8:07	CHA	Mullens 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)	24	26
Q2 - 8:16	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	22	26
Q2 - 8:18	NOH	MISS Thomas 2' Layup	22	26
Q2 - 8:39	CHA	Walker 8' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	22	26
Q2 - 8:59			20	26
Q2 - 8:59	NOH	Vasquez Foul Turnover (P1.T6)	20	26
Q2 - 8:59	NOH	Vasquez OFF.Foul (P2)	20	26
Q2 - 9:06	NOH	SUB: Ayon FOR Foote	20	26
Q2 - 9:06	CHA	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)	20	26
Q2 - 9:08	NOH	Foote Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)	20	26
Q2 - 9:10	NOH	Foote REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	20	26
Q2 - 9:11	NOH	MISS Foote 2' Layup	20	26
Q2 - 9:35	CHA	Walker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	20	26
Q2 - 9:35	CHA	Walker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	19	26
Q2 - 9:35	NOH	Vasquez S.FOUL (P1.T1)	18	26
Q2 - 9:42	CHA	Mullens REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18	26
Q2 - 9:43	NOH	MISS Henry 7' Jump Shot	18	26
Q2 - 9:51	NOH	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	18	26
Q2 - 9:52	CHA	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	18	26
Q2 - 10:13	NOH	Henry 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)	18	26
Q2 - 10:18	CHA	Brown P.FOUL (P1.T2)	18	24
Q2 - 10:33	CHA	White 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)	18	24
Q2 - 10:47	NOH	Aminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	16	24
Q2 - 10:47	NOH	Aminu Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	16	23
Q2 - 10:47	CHA	Williams Shooting Block Foul (P1.T1)	16	22
Q2 - 10:52	CHA	Thomas STEAL (1 STL)	16	22
Q2 - 10:58	CHA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)	16	22
Q2 - 11:00	NOH	MISS Henry 8' Jump Shot	16	22
Q2 - 11:13	CHA	White 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)	16	22
Q2 - 11:16	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	14	22
Q2 - 11:19	CHA	MISS Mullens 15' Jump Shot	14	22
Q2 - 11:44	NOH	Thomas 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Henry 1 AST)	14	22
Q2 - 12:00			14	20
Q1 - 0:00.0	NOH		14	20
Q1 - 0:00.0	CHA	Aminu STEAL (1 STL)	14	20
Q1 - 0:01.0	NOH	Kaman Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)	14	20
Q1 - 0:04.0	CHA	Walker P.FOUL (P1.T2)	14	20
Q1 - 0:11.0	NOH	Vasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	14	20
Q1 - 0:11.0	CHA	MISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot	14	20
Q1 - 0:29.0	CHA	Walker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	14	20
Q1 - 0:30.0	CHA	MISS Henderson 22' Jump Shot	14	20
Q1 - 0:53.0	NOH	Vasquez 5' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kaman 1 AST)	14	20
Q1 - 1:07	CHA	Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)	14	18
Q1 - 1:26	CHA	SUB: Walker FOR Augustin	14	18
Q1 - 1:26	NOH	Kaman Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)	14	18
Q1 - 1:26	NOH	SUB: Aminu FOR Ariza	14	18
Q1 - 1:46	CHA	Williams 9' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)	14	18
Q1 - 2:07	NOH	Kaman 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)	12	18
Q1 - 2:26	CHA	Henderson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)	12	16
Q1 - 2:37	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	10	16
Q1 - 2:38	NOH	MISS Kaman 4' Jump Shot	10	16
Q1 - 2:52	NOH	SUB: Vasquez FOR Jack	10	16
Q1 - 2:52	NOH	HORNETS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 0)	10	16
Q1 - 2:52	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	10	16
Q1 - 2:52	NOH	MISS Kaman 7' Jump Shot	10	16
Q1 - 3:07	CHA	Augustin 3' Layup (4 PTS)	10	16
Q1 - 3:13	CHA	White REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8	16
Q1 - 3:15	CHA	MISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot	8	16
Q1 - 3:26	CHA	Biyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	8	16
Q1 - 3:28	NOH	MISS Ariza 17' Jump Shot	8	16
Q1 - 3:33	NOH	SUB: Henry FOR Belinelli	8	16
Q1 - 3:49	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)	8	16
Q1 - 3:50	CHA	MISS White 16' Jump Shot	8	16
Q1 - 4:00	CHA	SUB: Williams FOR Maggette	8	16
Q1 - 4:00	NOH	Ariza L.B.FOUL (P1.T2)	8	16
Q1 - 4:16	CHA	SUB: White FOR Thomas	8	16
Q1 - 4:16	NOH	SUB: Thomas FOR Ayon	8	16
Q1 - 4:16	CHA	Bobcats Rebound	8	16
Q1 - 4:17	CHA	MISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot	8	16
Q1 - 4:34	NOH	Jack 5' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)	8	16
Q1 - 4:38	NOH	Jack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	8	14
Q1 - 4:40	NOH	MISS Belinelli 2' Layup	8	14
Q1 - 4:55	CHA	Biyombo 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)	8	14
Q1 - 5:14	NOH	Jack 6' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)	6	14
Q1 - 5:30	CHA	Augustin 2' Layup (2 PTS)	6	12
Q1 - 5:36	NOH	Ayon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)	4	12
Q1 - 5:48	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)	4	12
Q1 - 5:50	NOH	MISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot	4	12
Q1 - 5:55	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)	4	12
Q1 - 5:56	CHA	Kaman BLOCK (1 BLK)	4	12
Q1 - 6:04	NOH	Ayon P.FOUL (P1.T1)	4	12
Q1 - 6:11	CHA	Bobcats Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)	4	12
Q1 - 6:16	NOH	Ariza 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Jack 3 AST)	4	12
Q1 - 6:24	NOH	Ayon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)	4	10
Q1 - 6:25	NOH	MISS Kaman 12' Jump Shot	4	10
Q1 - 6:40	CHA	Ayon STEAL (3 STL)	4	10
Q1 - 7:00	NOH	Ariza Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)	4	10
Q1 - 7:00	NOH	Ariza Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)	4	9
Q1 - 7:00	CHA	Thomas S.FOUL (P1.T1)	4	8
Q1 - 7:22	CHA	Maggette 1' Dunk (2 PTS)	4	8
Q1 - 7:27	NOH	Jack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)	2	8
Q1 - 7:35	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)	2	8
Q1 - 7:37	CHA	MISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot	2	8
Q1 - 7:53	NOH	Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ayon 1 AST)	2	8
Q1 - 7:59	CHA	Ayon STEAL (2 STL)	2	5
Q1 - 8:26	NOH	Kaman 3' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Jack 2 AST)	2	5
Q1 - 8:38	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2	3
Q1 - 8:39	CHA	MISS Maggette 10' Jump Shot	2	3
Q1 - 8:56	NOH	Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jack 1 AST)	2	3
Q1 - 9:02	CHA	Ayon STEAL (1 STL)	2	0
Q1 - 9:16	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)	2	0
Q1 - 9:17	CHA	MISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot	2	0
Q1 - 9:41	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2	0
Q1 - 9:42	NOH	Ayon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)	2	0
Q1 - 9:42	NOH	MISS Ayon 4' Tip Shot	2	0
Q1 - 9:43	NOH	MISS Ayon 2' Layup	2	0
Q1 - 9:55	NOH	HORNETS Rebound	2	0
Q1 - 9:55	CHA	MISS Maggette 21' Jump Shot	2	0
Q1 - 10:10	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)	2	0
Q1 - 10:11	NOH	MISS Jack 11' Jump Shot	2	0
Q1 - 10:20	NOH	Kaman REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2	0
Q1 - 10:21	CHA	MISS Thomas 2' Layup	2	0
Q1 - 10:27	CHA	Thomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	2	0
Q1 - 10:30	NOH	MISS Ariza 11' Jump Bank Shot	2	0
Q1 - 10:51	CHA	Henderson 2' Layup (2 PTS)	2	0
Q1 - 10:55	CHA	Henderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 10:56	NOH	MISS Kaman 3' Layup	0	0
Q1 - 11:11	CHA	Augustin Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)	0	0
Q1 - 11:26	CHA	Augustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)	0	0
Q1 - 11:27	NOH	MISS Kaman 16' Jump Shot	0	0
Q1 - 11:39	CHA	Augustin Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)	0	0
Q1 - 12:00	NOH	Jump Ball Kaman vs. Biyombo: Tip to	0	0
Q1 - 12:00			0	0
Clock	Team	Event	CHA	NOH
			Score / WinProb

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.86 42.9%

NOH

0.85 42.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

CHA

70%

NOH

35%

Midrange

CHA

35%

NOH

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

CHA

NOH

7.5

42%

63%

Free Throws

CHA

71%

NOH

86%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

Bobcats

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
G. Henderson	15	54%	7.5 / 14
K. Walker	14	64%	7.0 / 11
B. Biyombo	12	86%	6.0 / 7
R. Williams	6	25%	3.0 / 12
B. Mullens	6	43%	3.0 / 7
D. Augustin	4	33%	2.0 / 6
T. Thomas	4	25%	2.0 / 8
D. Brown	4	40%	2.0 / 5
D. White	4	50%	2.0 / 4
C. Maggette	2	25%	1.0 / 4
B. Diaw	2	25%	1.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

Hornets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Jack	15	63%	7.5 / 12
C. Kaman	12	32%	6.0 / 19
T. Ariza	12	50%	6.0 / 12
M. Belinelli	12	40%	6.0 / 15
A. Aminu	10	63%	5.0 / 8
G. Vasquez	4	67%	2.0 / 3
G. Ayon	2	17%	1.0 / 6
L. Thomas	2	50%	1.0 / 2
X. Henry	2	33%	1.0 / 3
J. Foote	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA

+14

-17

NOH

+12

-17

Base

ORB

TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA

0.86 42.9%

NOH

0.85 42.3%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	95.4 100.9	CHA 83.0 +0.4 NOH 82.6
Pace	90.9 88.4	CHA 85.0 NOH 89.2 +4.2
Avg. Poss. Time	16.3 16.4	CHA 16.9 NOH 16.2 −0.8
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	43.9% 47.6%	CHA 43.0% +1.3% NOH 41.7%
TO %	14.9% 16.5%	CHA 18.8% NOH 17.3% −1.5%
ORB %	23.6% 27.6%	CHA 28.2% +8.2% NOH 20.0%
FTrt	27.6 27.4	CHA 8.9 NOH 9.0 +0.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	60.5% 59.5%	CHA 47.1% NOH 76.7% +29.6%
STL %	6.6% 8.3%	CHA 11.4% +0.9% NOH 10.5%
BLK %	8.5% 8.2%	CHA 10.6% +1.6% NOH 9.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.79 and 2.79.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	46.9% 50.1%	CHA 42.9% +0.6% NOH 42.3%
Rim FG%	54.8% 56.0%	CHA 70.0% +34.7% NOH 35.3%
Mid FG%	36.1% 40.6%	CHA 35.1% NOH 40.6% +5.5%
3P %	29.5% 33.3%	CHA 0.0% NOH 41.7% +41.7%
FT %	74.6% 75.7%	CHA 71.4% NOH 85.7% +14.3%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	34.4% 36.3%	CHA 38.0% NOH 43.6% +5.6%
Mid Att. %	48.8% 48.5%	CHA 46.8% NOH 41.0% −5.8%
3P Att. %	16.9% 15.2%	CHA 15.2% NOH 15.4% +0.2%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Game Totals	CHA	NOH
Possessions	88	86
Possession Minutes	24.9	23.1
Points	73	71
Rebounds	47	37
Assists	16	23
Steals	10	9
Blocks	7	6
Turnovers (Team)	17 (2)	17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	36 (1)	28 (3)
Field Goals	34-79	30-78
At-the-Rim FG	21-30	12-34
Midrange FG	13-37	13-32
2-Point FG	34-67	25-66
3-Point FG	0-12	5-12
Free Throws	5-7	6-7
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

30 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 24	35.6	15	54%	6	3	1	1	2	3	2	4	3-5	60%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 20	33.4	12	86%	7	0	1	4	0	0	0	7	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 24	25.1	4	33%	5	5	2	0	5	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 26	19.7	4	25%	7	0	1	2	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 32	9.8	2	25%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 25	32.1	6	25%	4	4	2	0	2	1	3	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-7	0%
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 22	22.9	14	64%	4	3	0	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-3	0%
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 25	18.5	4	40%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
DJ White F · 6'9" 250 · 26	17.2	4	50%	6	0	2	0	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Byron Mullens C · 7'0" 275 · 23	14.7	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30	11.0	2	25%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 32
Cory Higgins G · 6'5" 180 · 23
DeSagana Diop #7 · C · 7'0" 280 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eduardo Najera #21 · F · 6'8" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	73	43%	47	16	10	7	17	0	11	36	5-7	71%	34-67	51%	0-12	0%

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30 Charlotte Bobcats

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Gerald Henderson G · 6'5" 215 · 24	35.6	15	54%	6	3	1	1	2	3	2	4	3-5	60%	6-12	50%	0-0	-
Bismack Biyombo C · 6'8" 255 · 20	33.4	12	86%	7	0	1	4	0	0	0	7	0-0	-	6-7	86%	0-0	-
D.J. Augustin G · 6'0" 183 · 24	25.1	4	33%	5	5	2	0	5	0	0	5	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-1	0%
Tyrus Thomas F · 6'10" 225 · 26	19.7	4	25%	7	0	1	2	2	2	1	6	0-0	-	2-8	25%	0-0	-
Corey Maggette F · 6'6" 225 · 32	9.8	2	25%	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-4	25%	0-0	-

Reggie Williams F · 6'6" 205 · 25	32.1	6	25%	4	4	2	0	2	1	3	1	0-0	-	3-5	60%	0-7	0%
Kemba Walker G · 6'1" 184 · 22	22.9	14	64%	4	3	0	0	3	1	1	3	2-2	100%	6-7	86%	0-3	0%
Derrick Brown F · 6'8" 233 · 25	18.5	4	40%	4	1	0	0	0	2	1	3	0-0	-	2-5	40%	0-0	-
DJ White F · 6'9" 250 · 26	17.2	4	50%	6	0	2	0	1	0	3	3	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Byron Mullens C · 7'0" 275 · 23	14.7	6	43%	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	3-7	43%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 30	11.0	2	25%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-1	0%
Matt Carroll G · 6'6" 212 · 32
Cory Higgins G · 6'5" 180 · 23
DeSagana Diop #7 · C · 7'0" 280 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Eduardo Najera #21 · F · 6'8" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	73	43%	47	16	10	7	17	0	11	36	5-7	71%	34-67	51%	0-12	0%

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25 New Orleans Hornets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Kaman C · 7'0" 265 · 30	40.6	12	32%	16	3	0	3	2	1	2	14	0-0	-	6-19	32%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 27	36.4	12	50%	9	2	2	1	1	1	2	7	3-4	75%	3-9	33%	1-1	100%
Jarrett Jack G · 6'3" 200 · 28	33.1	15	63%	4	9	0	1	6	2	1	3	0-0	-	6-10	60%	1-2	50%
Gustavo Ayon F · 6'10" 250 · 27	25.9	2	17%	4	1	4	1	2	1	2	2	0-0	-	1-6	17%	0-0	-
Marco Belinelli G · 6'5" 210 · 26	25.8	12	40%	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1-1	100%	1-7	14%	3-8	38%

Al-Farouq Aminu F · 6'9" 220 · 21	25.6	10	63%	1	0	2	0	0	1	1	0	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	0-0	-
Greivis Vasquez G · 6'6" 217 · 25	20.0	4	67%	1	5	0	0	1	3	0	1	0-0	-	2-2	100%	0-1	0%
Lance Thomas F · 6'8" 235 · 24	15.4	2	50%	1	1	1	0	2	2	0	1	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Xavier Henry F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21	14.3	2	33%	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Jeff Foote C-F · 7'0" 265 · 25	2.9	0	0%	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Emeka Okafor C · 6'10" 255 · 29
Jason Smith F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26
Carl Landry F · 6'9" 248 · 28
Eric Gordon #10 · G · 6'3" 215 · 23	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	71	42%	37	23	9	6	17	0	9	28	6-7	86%	25-66	38%	5-12	42%

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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).

indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg

BOXSCORE