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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
29Wizards14%9497
3Spurs86%108112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jordan Crawford
· 6'4" 195 · 23.4
35.0
27.3
19
50%
4
5
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
4-12
4-9
33%
43%
3-6
50%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
33.5
34.9
12
40%
3
5
1
1
1
2
0
3
2-2
100%
5-14
5-13
36%
43%
0-0
-
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 24.3
31.7
32.1
11
40%
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
5-13
4-8
38%
52%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.1
29.0
23.5
21
71%
15
1
1
0
1
1
7
8
3-4
75%
9-13
4-8
69%
51%
0-0
-
Chris Singleton
F · 6'9" 228 · 22.3
23.8
25.4
3
150%
5
1
0
1
2
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-4
-
41%
1-1
100%
Nick Young
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 26.8
24.3
25.6
18
90%
2
0
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
3-8
60%
43%
4-5
80%
Andray Blatche
C-F · 6'11" 260 · 25.6
17.4
14.1
9
38%
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
3
3-4
75%
3-10
2-5
30%
43%
0-0
-
Jan Vesely
F · 7'0" 242 · 21.9
16.3
7.2
0
0%
3
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 21.9
14.5
11.3
2
33%
2
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
0-2
0%
Roger Mason Jr.
G · 6'5" 205 · 31.5
13.0
14.7
2
20%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
40%
0-3
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 22.3
1.6
16.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
9.1
0
1-1
55%
Maurice Evans
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 33.3
5.7
0
0-1
45%
Rashard Lewis
F · 6'10" 235 · 32.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 29.8
34.0
33.5
31
78%
3
7
1
1
1
6
0
3
4-4
100%
12-16
8-14
75%
53%
1-2
50%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 35.9
28.4
27.9
14
54%
9
3
0
1
1
0
1
8
0-0
-
7-13
6-12
54%
52%
0-0
-
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 22.9
26.4
17.2
11
45%
12
1
0
1
0
1
7
5
1-5
20%
5-10
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
25.0
24.8
5
30%
3
3
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
1-3
33%
50%
1-5
20%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 34.6
19.8
25.0
8
57%
1
7
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
52%
0-1
0%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 20.7
27.4
20.9
7
58%
7
0
2
1
0
0
2
5
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
53%
1-4
25%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 31.9
21.6
20.7
9
64%
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
3-7
43%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 27.4
21.1
27.8
4
34%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
1-2
50%
0-3
3-6
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 27.2
19.6
18.5
17
76%
7
2
1
1
0
0
2
5
3-5
60%
7-9
3-6
78%
59%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 24.7
13.5
26.3
6
61%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
1-1
100%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 23.0
1.6
7.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 20.6
1.6
2.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
48%
0-0
-
T.J. Ford
G · 6'0" 165 · 29.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.