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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 12, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Timberwolves34%101127
15Suns66%106124
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
36.8
31.8
30
60%
7
1
0
1
0
0
1
6
3-5
60%
6-14
6-11
43%
48%
5-9
56%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
36.1
32.9
24
64%
8
1
2
1
0
3
5
3
2-4
50%
11-17
6-11
65%
54%
0-0
-
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
32.7
37.0
10
51%
4
9
0
1
1
4
1
3
2-2
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
23.1
23.7
9
65%
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
1-2
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
20.0
22.4
2
50%
2
6
0
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
34.2
10.3
15
83%
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
3-4
75%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
21.3
28.4
19
81%
8
0
2
1
2
0
1
7
3-4
75%
5-7
4-7
71%
49%
2-3
67%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
15.6
15.4
15
107%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
46%
3-3
100%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
15.4
19.9
3
32%
3
8
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-4
25%
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
4.9
4.0
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-3
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
3.5
0
0-0
48%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
3.0
0
0-1
44%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
36.2
34.9
28
79%
9
1
1
1
1
1
2
7
6-6
100%
8-10
4-8
80%
53%
2-5
40%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
32.3
34.2
25
72%
3
10
0
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
8-13
4-6
62%
54%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
32.1
29.0
18
82%
5
4
2
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
4-6
67%
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
31.8
32.7
10
51%
2
4
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-9
44%
49%
0-0
-
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
19.6
32.0
8
46%
4
0
1
1
0
0
1
3
2-6
33%
3-6
6-11
50%
56%
0-0
-
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
27.9
20.3
11
38%
5
3
0
1
0
0
3
2
3-3
100%
4-10
3-6
40%
46%
0-3
0%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 23.9
24.2
12.7
10
59%
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2
6-8
75%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-0
-
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
20.0
8.3
4
25%
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-3
0%
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
15.7
11.9
10
78%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-3
60%
43%
1-1
100%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
10.7
0
2-3
49%
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
5.6
0
1-1
47%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
3.2
0
0-1
56%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
3.1
0
0-1
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.