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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Raptors42%9784
28Nets58%9998
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
39.0
28.1
16
63%
4
10
1
1
0
2
0
4
4-4
100%
6-10
3-7
60%
45%
0-1
0%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
35.1
35.5
12
36%
5
1
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
5-14
6-12
36%
47%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
33.0
27.6
10
36%
2
3
1
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
5-10
36%
49%
0-2
0%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
28.3
21.9
16
68%
4
2
0
1
4
2
1
3
4-4
100%
6-10
3-6
60%
48%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
25.4
22.8
6
38%
9
0
1
1
0
2
4
5
2-2
100%
2-7
3-5
29%
58%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
27.2
23.2
11
48%
4
2
1
1
0
1
2
2
0-1
0%
4-8
4-8
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
21.9
23.5
8
84%
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
12.1
20.1
2
17%
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
9.1
15.6
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.0
9.1
12.1
3
32%
0
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
4.4
0
0-1
46%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.4
0
0-0
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
0.8
0
0-0
50%
Anthony Carter
G · 6'1" 190 · 36.7
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
38.4
37.1
16
42%
21
3
3
1
3
3
7
14
2-2
100%
7-18
5-11
39%
51%
0-0
-
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
27.2
26.8
10
46%
1
3
1
1
0
5
0
1
4-4
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
47%
0-3
0%
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 30.9
22.8
20.6
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
40%
0-1
0%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
21.7
25.1
2
100%
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
48%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
20.8
31.2
9
41%
2
5
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-8
4-8
38%
49%
1-3
33%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
27.2
21.7
15
75%
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-5
43%
49%
3-3
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
24.7
22.3
26
77%
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
7-9
78%
8-11
3-6
73%
52%
1-2
50%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
24.0
20.4
10
73%
6
0
0
1
1
1
3
3
2-2
100%
4-6
2-5
67%
45%
0-0
-
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
21.7
10.5
8
50%
3
5
2
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
2-5
40%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
11.5
3.3
2
50%
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
47%
0-0
-
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
14.7
0
2-4
50%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
8.4
0
2-4
50%
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
7.1
0
1-1
49%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.