for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Heat41%94102
2Bulls59%97106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 27.2
39.6
37.9
35
64%
5
4
4
1
0
2
1
4
5-5
100%
12-22
8-15
55%
52%
2-3
67%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 30.2
38.9
32.8
36
65%
7
1
1
1
2
3
1
6
3-4
75%
15-23
8-15
65%
49%
1-3
33%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 28.0
36.8
36.2
12
34%
3
1
0
1
0
4
1
2
6-6
100%
3-15
6-13
20%
48%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 29.6
25.8
18.9
0
0%
4
1
1
0
2
0
3
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 25.8
23.8
28.4
4
34%
5
3
1
1
0
0
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-3
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Shane Battier
F · 6'8" 220 · 33.5
20.1
23.5
2
26%
3
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-2
0%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 23.4
19.5
17.1
3
38%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
42%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 31.8
17.8
22.6
2
20%
4
0
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
44%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 31.4
14.7
8.9
6
150%
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
38%
2-2
100%
Dexter Pittman
C · 6'11" 285 · 24.0
2.9
6.6
2
114%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
45%
0-0
-
Terrel Harris
G · 6'4" 190 · 24.6
2.0
0
0-0
41%
Juwan Howard
F · 6'9" 250 · 39.1
2.0
0
0-0
42%
Eddy Curry
C · 7'0" 295 · 29.3
1.4
0
0-0
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 32.1
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 26.9
37.1
20.9
11
42%
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
47%
3-6
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 27.0
34.2
29.2
14
60%
6
2
0
1
4
1
2
4
4-4
100%
5-10
4-7
50%
51%
0-0
-
Ronnie Brewer
F · 6'7" 235 · 27.0
34.1
27.7
12
57%
6
3
2
1
0
1
3
3
1-1
100%
4-9
3-6
44%
50%
1-1
100%
Carlos Boozer
F · 6'9" 258 · 30.3
26.6
28.4
2
25%
8
5
0
1
1
1
0
8
0-0
-
1-4
7-13
25%
52%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.9
21.0
6.5
11
57%
4
4
1
0
0
2
0
4
4-6
67%
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
1-2
50%
John Lucas III
G · 5'11" 166 · 29.3
26.9
8.6
24
90%
3
1
0
0
0
4
1
2
3-3
100%
6-7
1-2
86%
42%
3-5
60%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 31.0
18.6
29.0
12
90%
4
0
0
1
0
1
0
4
6-6
100%
0-0
1-3
-
46%
2-4
50%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.7
18.0
21.8
8
40%
8
1
0
0
2
2
4
4
0-0
-
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
0-0
-
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 22.5
12.2
18.8
8
52%
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
6-6
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
49%
0-1
0%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 25.7
11.3
14.6
4
100%
4
1
0
0
1
2
3
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
53%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.4
37.2
1
7-15
49%
Mike James
G · 6'2" 188 · 36.7
11.3
0
1-3
41%
Brian Scalabrine
F · 6'9" 235 · 34.0
1.5
0
0-0
47%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 34.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.