Final Win Prob. pScore
632%94
111
468%100
122
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo Magic
122.09189.1
SAS logo Spurs
134.19193.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL111
122
Q4 - 0:13.0SASParker 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (31 PTS)111
122
Q4 - 0:35.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)111
120
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLMISS Anderson 2' Layup111
120
Q4 - 0:38.0ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)111
120
Q4 - 0:39.0ORLMISS Nelson 9' Jump Bank Shot111
120
Q4 - 0:50.0ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)111
120
Q4 - 0:51.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
120
Q4 - 1:08ORLNelson 7' Running Bank Shot (25 PTS)111
120
Q4 - 1:15SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)109
120
Q4 - 1:15SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)109
119
Q4 - 1:15ORLAnderson P.FOUL (P4.PN)109
118
Q4 - 1:20ORLMagic Violation: Delay of game Violation109
118
Q4 - 1:20ORLMagic Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#8)109
118
Q4 - 1:20ORLSUB: Anderson FOR Liggins109
118
Q4 - 1:20ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.6 Short 0)109
118
Q4 - 1:20SASLeonard 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)109
118
Q4 - 1:27ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)109
116
Q4 - 1:27ORLSUB: Liggins FOR Anderson108
116
Q4 - 1:27ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
116
Q4 - 1:27SASGinobili S.FOUL (P3.PN)107
116
Q4 - 1:39ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)107
116
Q4 - 1:40ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot107
116
Q4 - 1:49SASParker Free Throw 1 of 1 (27 PTS)107
116
Q4 - 1:49ORLNelson S.FOUL (P5.PN)107
115
Q4 - 1:49SASParker 8' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)107
115
Q4 - 2:00ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)107
113
Q4 - 2:00ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)106
113
Q4 - 2:00SAS105
113
Q4 - 2:00SASParker S.FOUL (P1.PN)105
113
Q4 - 2:20ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
113
Q4 - 2:22SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
113
Q4 - 2:40ORLAnderson 2' Dunk (19 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)105
113
Q4 - 2:55ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.5 Short 0)103
113
Q4 - 2:58SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Parker 12 AST)103
113
Q4 - 3:15SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)103
110
Q4 - 3:16ORLMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
110
Q4 - 3:33SASDuncan 2' Layup (21 PTS)103
110
Q4 - 3:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)103
108
Q4 - 3:35SASMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot103
108
Q4 - 3:47ORLRedick P.FOUL (P3.T4)103
108
Q4 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)103
108
Q4 - 3:57SASLeonard S.FOUL (P3.T4)102
108
Q4 - 3:57ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)102
108
Q4 - 4:05SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Green100
108
Q4 - 4:05SASLeonard P.FOUL (P2.T3)100
108
Q4 - 4:16SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)100
108
Q4 - 4:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)100
105
Q4 - 4:40ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
105
Q4 - 4:49ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)100
105
Q4 - 4:50SASMISS Green 6' Jump Shot100
105
Q4 - 5:10ORLHoward 5' Jump Shot (20 PTS)100
105
Q4 - 5:32SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter98
105
Q4 - 5:32SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Neal98
105
Q4 - 5:32SASSUB: Green FOR Jefferson98
105
Q4 - 5:32ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.4 Short 0)98
105
Q4 - 5:32SASParker 14' Jump Shot (21 PTS)98
105
Q4 - 5:46SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
103
Q4 - 5:47ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
103
Q4 - 6:12SASParker 2' Layup (19 PTS)98
103
Q4 - 6:18SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)98
101
Q4 - 6:19ORLMISS Nelson 15' Jump Shot98
101
Q4 - 6:34SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
101
Q4 - 6:34ORLSUB: Redick FOR Liggins98
100
Q4 - 6:34SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)98
100
Q4 - 6:34ORLNelson S.FOUL (P4.T3)98
99
Q4 - 6:39SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)98
99
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Neal 6' Floating Jump Shot98
99
Q4 - 6:59ORLLiggins 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)98
99
Q4 - 7:15SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
99
Q4 - 7:15ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon96
98
Q4 - 7:15ORLSUB: Howard FOR Davis96
98
Q4 - 7:15SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)96
98
Q4 - 7:15ORLAnderson S.FOUL (P3.T2)96
97
Q4 - 7:15SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
97
Q4 - 7:16SASMISS Jefferson 4' Driving Jump Shot96
97
Q4 - 7:35ORLMagic Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)96
97
Q4 - 7:35ORLMagic Rebound96
97
Q4 - 7:36ORLMISS Davis 32' 3PT Jump Shot96
97
Q4 - 8:03SASParker 1' Running Layup (17 PTS)96
97
Q4 - 8:23ORLTurkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Liggins 2 AST)96
95
Q4 - 8:27ORLLiggins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)93
95
Q4 - 8:28ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
95
Q4 - 8:33ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
95
Q4 - 8:34SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
95
Q4 - 8:58SASSUB: Parker FOR Ginobili93
95
Q4 - 8:58SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Bonner93
95
Q4 - 8:58SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 4 Short 1)93
95
Q4 - 8:58ORLLiggins 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Duhon 2 AST)93
95
Q4 - 9:09ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
95
Q4 - 9:11SASMISS Neal 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
95
Q4 - 9:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
95
Q4 - 9:18ORLMISS Turkoglu 4' Driving Jump Shot91
95
Q4 - 9:36SASGinobili 1' Driving Dunk (11 PTS)91
95
Q4 - 9:47ORLLiggins Foul Turnover (P1.T6)91
93
Q4 - 9:47ORLLiggins Offensive Charge Foul (P1.T1)91
93
Q4 - 10:06SASNeal 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)91
93
Q4 - 10:20ORLAnderson 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Liggins 1 AST)91
91
Q4 - 10:39SASGinobili Personal Block Foul (P2.T2)89
91
Q4 - 10:40SASBonner Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)89
91
Q4 - 10:56ORLDuhon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)89
91
Q4 - 11:13SASSplitter 2' Dunk (10 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)86
91
Q4 - 11:27ORLDavis 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS)86
89
Q4 - 11:47SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P1.T5)84
89
Q4 - 11:47SASSplitter Offensive Charge Foul (P3.T1)84
89
Q4 - 12:0084
89
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL84
89
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS84
89
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSplitter 2' Layup (8 PTS)84
89
Q3 - 0:01.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)84
87
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Neal 7' Jump Shot84
87
Q3 - 0:11.0ORLDuhon 11' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)84
87
Q3 - 0:28.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Neal 3 AST)82
87
Q3 - 0:38.0SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
84
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
84
Q3 - 1:01SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 2 AST)82
84
Q3 - 1:15ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)82
81
Q3 - 1:15ORLHoward 1' Putback Layup (18 PTS)82
81
Q3 - 1:16ORLMISS Davis 1' Layup80
81
Q3 - 1:26ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
81
Q3 - 1:27SASMISS Bonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
81
Q3 - 1:43SASSUB: Leonard FOR Jefferson80
81
Q3 - 1:43ORLHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T5)80
81
Q3 - 1:57ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
81
Q3 - 1:58SASMISS Jefferson 3' Alley Oop Layup80
81
Q3 - 2:14SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
81
Q3 - 2:14ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 180
81
Q3 - 2:14SASSUB: Neal FOR Parker80
81
Q3 - 2:14SASSplitter S.FOUL (P2.T2)80
81
Q3 - 2:14ORLHoward 1' Layup (16 PTS)80
81
Q3 - 2:36SASSplitter 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Parker 11 AST)78
81
Q3 - 2:53ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson78
79
Q3 - 2:53SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green78
79
Q3 - 2:53SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan78
79
Q3 - 2:53SASSUB: Bonner FOR Blair78
79
Q3 - 2:53SASSPURS Rebound78
79
Q3 - 2:55ORLMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
79
Q3 - 3:22SASBlair 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parker 10 AST)78
79
Q3 - 3:30SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
77
Q3 - 3:31ORLMISS Nelson 6' Floating Jump Shot78
77
Q3 - 3:41ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
77
Q3 - 3:43SASMISS Duncan 3' Layup78
77
Q3 - 3:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)78
77
Q3 - 3:46SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
77
Q3 - 4:10ORLNelson 2' Reverse Layup (21 PTS)78
77
Q3 - 4:29SASJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Parker 9 AST)76
77
Q3 - 4:49ORLRichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)76
74
Q3 - 4:59ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
74
Q3 - 5:00SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Bank Shot73
74
Q3 - 5:20SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
74
Q3 - 5:21ORLMISS Howard 7' Jump Shot73
74
Q3 - 5:37ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Turkoglu73
74
Q3 - 5:37ORLSUB: Davis FOR Anderson73
74
Q3 - 5:37ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.3 Short 0)73
74
Q3 - 5:38SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)73
74
Q3 - 5:54SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
71
Q3 - 5:55ORLMISS Redick 11' Jump Shot73
71
Q3 - 6:17SASBlair 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)73
71
Q3 - 6:41ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)73
69
Q3 - 6:41ORLAnderson 1' Tip Shot (15 PTS)73
69
Q3 - 6:42ORLMISS Howard 3' Layup71
69
Q3 - 6:59SASJefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 8 AST)71
69
Q3 - 7:13ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
66
Q3 - 7:35SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)68
66
Q3 - 7:35SASJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)68
65
Q3 - 7:35ORLHoward S.FOUL (P2.T2)68
64
Q3 - 7:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)68
64
Q3 - 7:44ORLMISS Turkoglu 12' Step Back Jump Shot68
64
Q3 - 8:05SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)68
64
Q3 - 8:05SASDuncan Layup (19 PTS)68
64
Q3 - 8:07SASMISS Duncan 4' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 8:09SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
62
Q3 - 8:11SASMISS Green 6' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 8:20SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)68
62
Q3 - 8:23ORLMISS Turkoglu 21' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 8:29ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
62
Q3 - 8:30SASMISS Blair 5' Jump Shot68
62
Q3 - 8:39SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 3 Short 1)68
62
Q3 - 8:39ORLRedick 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)68
62
Q3 - 8:52ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)66
62
Q3 - 8:53SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot66
62
Q3 - 9:12ORLHoward 3' Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)66
62
Q3 - 9:28SASJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
62
Q3 - 9:28SASSPURS Rebound64
61
Q3 - 9:28SASMISS Jefferson Free Throw 1 of 264
61
Q3 - 9:28ORLNelson Shooting Block Foul (P3.T1)64
61
Q3 - 9:46ORLHoward 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)64
61
Q3 - 10:04SASDuncan 13' Jump Bank Shot (17 PTS) (Blair 1 AST)62
61
Q3 - 10:20ORLAnderson 3' Layup (13 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)62
59
Q3 - 10:28ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
59
Q3 - 10:29SASMISS Parker 16' Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 10:47SASBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
59
Q3 - 10:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 260
59
Q3 - 10:48ORLMagic Rebound60
59
Q3 - 10:48ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 260
59
Q3 - 10:48SASGreen S.FOUL (P1.T1)60
59
Q3 - 10:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
59
Q3 - 10:59SASMISS Jefferson 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
59
Q3 - 11:16ORLRedick 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)60
59
Q3 - 11:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
59
Q3 - 11:30SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot58
59
Q3 - 11:44SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
59
Q3 - 11:45ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot58
59
Q3 - 12:0058
59
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL58
59
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound58
59
Q2 - 0:01.0ORLMISS Redick 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
59
Q2 - 0:08.0SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)58
59
Q2 - 0:08.0SASSPURS Rebound58
58
Q2 - 0:08.0SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 258
58
Q2 - 0:08.0SASSUB: Green FOR Parker58
58
Q2 - 0:08.058
58
Q2 - 0:08.0ORLRedick S.FOUL (P2.PN)58
58
Q2 - 0:30.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
58
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Redick 3PT Jump Shot58
58
Q2 - 0:45.0SASParker 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)58
58
Q2 - 0:50.0ORLLeonard STEAL (2 STL)58
56
Q2 - 1:03ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
56
Q2 - 1:05SASMISS Leonard 12' Jump Shot58
56
Q2 - 1:16SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
56
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Howard 5' Jump Shot58
56
Q2 - 1:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
56
Q2 - 1:35SASMISS Jefferson 13' Jump Shot58
56
Q2 - 2:01ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)58
56
Q2 - 2:16ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
56
Q2 - 2:17SASMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
56
Q2 - 2:43ORLNelson 2' Layup (13 PTS)55
56
Q2 - 2:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
56
Q2 - 2:49SASMISS Ginobili 3' Layup53
56
Q2 - 2:56SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
56
Q2 - 2:57ORLMISS Howard 4' Jump Shot53
56
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
56
Q2 - 3:14ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Anderson53
55
Q2 - 3:14ORLSUB: Redick FOR Liggins53
55
Q2 - 3:14SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Green53
55
Q2 - 3:14SASSUB: Duncan FOR Splitter53
55
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)53
55
Q2 - 3:14ORLAnderson S.FOUL (P2.PN)53
54
Q2 - 3:14SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
54
Q2 - 3:14SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
54
Q2 - 3:14SASMISS Splitter 2' Putback Dunk53
54
Q2 - 3:16SASMISS Parker 1' Layup53
54
Q2 - 3:21SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
54
Q2 - 3:22ORLMISS Anderson 2' Layup53
54
Q2 - 3:31SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)53
54
Q2 - 3:53ORLLiggins 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)53
54
Q2 - 4:10ORLHoward Violation:Defensive Goaltending51
54
Q2 - 4:10SASParker 5' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)51
54
Q2 - 4:15SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
52
Q2 - 4:16ORLSplitter BLOCK (2 BLK)51
52
Q2 - 4:33ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
52
Q2 - 4:34SASMISS Parker 1' Running Layup51
52
Q2 - 4:51SASJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
52
Q2 - 4:53ORLMISS Anderson 17' Jump Shot51
52
Q2 - 5:08SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)51
52
Q2 - 5:26ORLNelson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)51
49
Q2 - 5:37ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
49
Q2 - 5:38SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
49
Q2 - 5:50SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan49
49
Q2 - 5:50SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 2 Short 1)49
49
Q2 - 5:52ORLAnderson 14' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)49
49
Q2 - 6:08SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)47
49
Q2 - 6:08SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)47
48
Q2 - 6:08ORLHoward S.FOUL (P1.PN)47
47
Q2 - 6:31ORLTurkoglu 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)47
47
Q2 - 6:50SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)44
47
Q2 - 7:03SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
47
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Nelson 17' Jump Shot44
47
Q2 - 7:21SASGreen 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 7 AST)44
47
Q2 - 7:30ORLSUB: Howard FOR Davis44
45
Q2 - 7:30ORLSUB: Nelson FOR Duhon44
45
Q2 - 7:30ORLDuhon Personal Block Foul (P2.T4)44
45
Q2 - 7:44ORLTurkoglu 11' Jump Shot (8 PTS)44
45
Q2 - 7:53SASSUB: Leonard FOR Bonner42
45
Q2 - 7:53ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.2 Short 0)42
45
Q2 - 8:02SASDuncan 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Parker 6 AST)42
45
Q2 - 8:10SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
43
Q2 - 8:11ORLGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)42
43
Q2 - 8:30ORLDuhon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
43
Q2 - 8:31SASMISS Parker Layup42
43
Q2 - 8:43ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Duhon 1 AST)42
43
Q2 - 8:52ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
43
Q2 - 8:53SASMISS Parker 2' Driving Layup39
43
Q2 - 9:00SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
43
Q2 - 9:01ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
43
Q2 - 9:10ORLMagic Rebound39
43
Q2 - 9:12SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 239
43
Q2 - 9:12SASSUB: Green FOR Ginobili39
43
Q2 - 9:12SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
43
Q2 - 9:12ORLDavis S.FOUL (P2.T3)39
42
Q2 - 9:28SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
42
Q2 - 9:29ORLMISS Liggins 1' Driving Layup39
42
Q2 - 9:42SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
42
Q2 - 9:42SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
41
Q2 - 9:42ORLDavis S.FOUL (P1.T2)39
40
Q2 - 9:51ORLSUB: Liggins FOR Richardson39
40
Q2 - 9:51SASSUB: Jefferson FOR Leonard39
40
Q2 - 9:51SASSUB: Parker FOR Neal39
40
Q2 - 9:51ORLAnderson P.FOUL (P1.T1)39
40
Q2 - 10:06SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
40
Q2 - 10:07ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
40
Q2 - 10:24ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
40
Q2 - 10:25ORLMISS Duhon 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
40
Q2 - 10:49SASNeal 8' Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
40
Q2 - 11:08ORLTurkoglu 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)39
38
Q2 - 11:23SASLeonard 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)37
38
Q2 - 11:41ORLDavis 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)37
36
Q2 - 12:0035
36
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL35
36
Q1 - 0:00.0SASNeal 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
36
Q1 - 0:06.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
33
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLMISS Redick 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
33
Q1 - 0:26.0SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)35
33
Q1 - 0:29.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
30
Q1 - 0:31.0SASMISS Ginobili 5' Driving Finger Roll Layup35
30
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)35
30
Q1 - 0:40.0ORLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)34
30
Q1 - 0:40.0SASLeonard Personal Take Foul (P1.PN)33
30
Q1 - 0:44.0SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)33
30
Q1 - 0:44.0SASSplitter Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
29
Q1 - 0:44.0ORLDuhon Shooting Block Foul (P1.PN)33
28
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLDuhon Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
28
Q1 - 0:53.0ORLDuhon Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)32
28
Q1 - 0:53.0SASNeal S.FOUL (P1.PN)31
28
Q1 - 1:04ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
28
Q1 - 1:05SASMISS Bonner 8' Jump Shot31
28
Q1 - 1:17ORLHoward Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)31
28
Q1 - 1:34ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
28
Q1 - 1:35SASMISS Neal 16' Jump Shot31
28
Q1 - 1:41ORLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)31
28
Q1 - 1:50SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)31
28
Q1 - 2:04ORLRichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
28
Q1 - 2:04ORLRichardson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)31
28
Q1 - 2:05ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 129
28
Q1 - 2:05SASBonner S.FOUL (P1.T4)29
28
Q1 - 2:05ORLHoward 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)29
28
Q1 - 2:17ORLMagic Timeout: Regular (Reg.1 Short 0)27
28
Q1 - 2:26SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Neal 1 AST)27
28
Q1 - 2:34SASNeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25
Q1 - 2:36ORLMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot27
25
Q1 - 2:55SASSplitter Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)27
25
Q1 - 3:12SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
23
Q1 - 3:12ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 127
23
Q1 - 3:12SASSUB: Neal FOR Parker27
23
Q1 - 3:12SASSplitter S.FOUL (P1.T3)27
23
Q1 - 3:12ORLHoward 1' Layup (6 PTS)27
23
Q1 - 3:34SASBonner 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Splitter 1 AST)25
23
Q1 - 3:45SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
20
Q1 - 3:46ORLMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot25
20
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
20
Q1 - 4:02ORLSUB: Davis FOR Anderson25
19
Q1 - 4:02ORLSUB: Duhon FOR Nelson25
19
Q1 - 4:02SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)25
19
Q1 - 4:02ORLNelson S.FOUL (P2.T4)25
18
Q1 - 4:14ORLAnderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)25
18
Q1 - 4:14ORLSUB: Richardson FOR Turkoglu24
18
Q1 - 4:14SASGinobili S.FOUL (P1.T2)24
18
Q1 - 4:14ORLAnderson 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)24
18
Q1 - 4:22ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
18
Q1 - 4:24SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
18
Q1 - 4:26SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
18
Q1 - 4:27SASMISS Parker 4' Layup22
18
Q1 - 4:45ORLHoward 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS)22
18
Q1 - 5:05SASParker 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
18
Q1 - 5:15SASSUB: Splitter FOR Duncan20
16
Q1 - 5:15SASSUB: Ginobili FOR Anderson20
16
Q1 - 5:15ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)20
16
Q1 - 5:32SASParker 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
16
Q1 - 5:38ORLTurkoglu P.FOUL (P1.T3)20
14
Q1 - 5:45SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14
Q1 - 5:45ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 120
14
Q1 - 5:45SASDuncan S.FOUL (P1.T1)20
14
Q1 - 5:45ORLHoward 2' Layup (2 PTS)20
14
Q1 - 6:03SASDuncan 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)18
14
Q1 - 6:13ORLNelson P.FOUL (P1.T2)18
12
Q1 - 6:26SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
12
Q1 - 6:27ORLMISS Anderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
12
Q1 - 6:45SASLeonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)18
12
Q1 - 6:56SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
9
Q1 - 6:57ORLMISS Redick 16' Step Back Jump Shot18
9
Q1 - 7:11ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
9
Q1 - 7:11SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 2 of 218
9
Q1 - 7:11SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)18
9
Q1 - 7:11ORLRedick S.FOUL (P1.T1)18
8
Q1 - 7:21SASSUB: Anderson FOR Green18
8
Q1 - 7:21SASSUB: Leonard FOR Jefferson18
8
Q1 - 7:21SASSPURS Timeout: Regular (Full 1 Short 1)18
8
Q1 - 7:22ORLTurkoglu 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)18
8
Q1 - 7:27ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
8
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Jefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
8
Q1 - 7:52ORLTurkoglu 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)16
8
Q1 - 7:57ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
8
Q1 - 7:58SASMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
8
Q1 - 8:21ORLRedick 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
8
Q1 - 8:31SASParker Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
8
Q1 - 8:38SASSUB: Bonner FOR Splitter12
6
Q1 - 8:46ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Redick 1 AST)12
6
Q1 - 8:52ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
6
Q1 - 8:54ORLSplitter BLOCK (1 BLK)9
6
Q1 - 9:11SASDuncan 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)9
6
Q1 - 9:30ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
4
Q1 - 9:40SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
4
Q1 - 9:46SASSUB: Splitter FOR Blair6
4
Q1 - 9:46SASSPURS Timeout: Short (Full 0 Short 1)6
4
Q1 - 9:57ORLAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)6
4
Q1 - 10:05ORLRedick REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Blair 4' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:21SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 10:23ORLMISS Howard 1' Layup3
4
Q1 - 10:33ORLAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
4
Q1 - 10:34SASMISS Duncan 15' Jump Shot3
4
Q1 - 10:59ORLNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)3
4
Q1 - 11:11SASDuncan 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)0
4
Q1 - 11:26SASSPURS Rebound0
2
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS Turkoglu 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
2
Q1 - 11:51SASGreen 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
2
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Parker0
0
Q1 - 12:000
0
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Score / WinProb
Live win probability requires a premium subscription for some games.

SHOOTING

Live advanced shooting dashboard requires a premium subscription for some games.

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 57.2%
SAS
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
23
36
64%
SAS
21
35
60%
Midrange
ORL
11
23
48%
SAS
9
22
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
SAS
13
19.5
26
50%
75%
Free Throws
ORL
10
16
63%
SAS
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2578%12.5 / 16
D. Howard2258%11.0 / 19
R. Anderson1963%9.5 / 15
H. Turkoglu1753%8.5 / 16
C. Duhon788%3.5 / 4
J. Redick638%3.0 / 8
D. Liggins675%3.0 / 4
Q. Richardson583%2.5 / 3
G. Davis433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker3167%15.5 / 23
T. Duncan2162%10.5 / 17
M. Ginobili1470%7.0 / 10
K. Leonard12100%6.0 / 6
T. Splitter1286%6.0 / 7
R. Jefferson1142%5.5 / 13
D. Green758%3.5 / 6
G. Neal750%3.5 / 7
D. Blair450%2.0 / 4
M. Bonner350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
85
+10
-6
95
SAS
85
+11
-6
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.14 57.2%
SAS
1.27 63.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
110.9
ORL 122.0
SAS 134.1 +12.1
Pace
88.9
93.0
ORL 89.1
SAS 93.0 +3.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.5
ORL 16.2
SAS 15.5 −0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.6%
52.8%
ORL 58.7%
SAS 59.6% +0.9%
TO %
15.7%
14.1%
ORL 7.9%
SAS 5.9% −2.0%
ORB %
26.5%
25.1%
ORL 19.0%
SAS 26.8% +7.8%
FTrt
29.2
26.1
ORL 18.6
SAS 32.5 +13.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
58.5%
ORL 44.4%
SAS 62.8% +18.4%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
ORL 3.3% +1.1%
SAS 2.2%
BLK %
6.7%
6.7%
ORL 12.3% +7.2%
SAS 5.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.6%
54.9%
ORL 57.2%
SAS 63.5% +6.3%
Rim FG%
57.7%
60.6%
ORL 63.9% +3.9%
SAS 60.0%
Mid FG%
34.8%
41.4%
ORL 47.8% +6.9%
SAS 40.9%
3P %
37.5%
39.3%
ORL 40.7%
SAS 50.0% +9.3%
FT %
66.0%
74.8%
ORL 62.5%
SAS 85.2% +22.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.4%
36.1%
ORL 41.9%
SAS 42.2% +0.3%
Mid Att. %
29.0%
38.2%
ORL 26.7%
SAS 26.5% −0.2%
3P Att. %
34.6%
25.7%
ORL 31.4% +0.1%
SAS 31.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3 and 3.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9191
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points111122
Rebounds3845
Assists2027
Steals32
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)6 (2)6 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)11 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)34 (2)
Field Goals45-8643-83
At-the-Rim FG23-3621-35
Midrange FG11-239-22
2-Point FG34-5930-57
3-Point FG11-2713-26
Free Throws10-1623-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 265 · 26
38.8
22
58%
12
1
2
3
3
2
2
10
4-10
40%
9-16
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 33
38.1
17
53%
4
4
0
1
1
1
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
2-7
29%
F · 6'10" 240 · 24
35.0
19
63%
8
2
1
2
0
4
4
4
1-1
100%
6-10
60%
2-5
40%
G · 6'4" 200 · 28
33.8
6
38%
2
1
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 30
31.8
25
78%
5
7
0
1
0
5
0
5
2-2
100%
4-8
50%
5-7
71%
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26
18.9
4
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 190 · 30
16.2
7
88%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 228 · 32
15.2
5
83%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 209 · 24
12.2
6
75%
1
2
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 234 · 24
G · 6'0" 175 · 24
C · 6'10" 275 · 22
F · 6'10" 225 · 23
#1 · G · 6'5" 209 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#23 · G · 6'6" 225 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
57%
38
20
3
7
6
0
8
30
10-16
63%
34-59
58%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.