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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Pistons46%99124
23Kings54%101112
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Stuckey
G · 6'5" 205 · 25.9
41.8
35.0
35
75%
5
6
0
1
0
1
1
4
11-12
92%
6-12
6-12
50%
47%
4-6
67%
Brandon Knight
G · 6'2" 182 · 20.3
38.2
31.2
10
50%
5
11
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
5-7
3-7
71%
45%
0-3
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 32.0
36.6
30.8
28
67%
5
7
1
0
2
2
1
4
1-2
50%
9-17
5-10
53%
47%
3-3
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 21.8
35.1
28.2
32
75%
11
3
0
1
0
2
6
5
2-3
67%
15-20
6-11
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 29.1
28.9
26.9
9
70%
5
0
0
1
0
0
0
5
1-1
100%
4-6
4-7
67%
50%
0-0
-
Ben Gordon
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.9
16.7
24.4
6
61%
0
1
1
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 25.0
15.3
19.4
4
50%
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-5
50%
53%
0-0
-
Damien Wilkins
· 6'6" 225 · 32.2
14.6
15.2
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Ben Wallace
F-C · 6'9" 240 · 37.5
12.9
17.5
0
0%
4
1
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
48%
0-0
-
Will Bynum
G · 6'0" 185 · 29.2
3.8
0
1-1
46%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 27.6
3.2
0
0-1
48%
Austin Daye
F · 6'11" 220 · 23.8
3.0
0
0-1
42%
Walker Russell
G · 6'0" 170 · 29.4
1.8
0
0-0
41%
Vernon Macklin
F · 6'10" 227 · 25.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.6
40.0
18.6
21
79%
15
4
1
0
1
2
5
10
1-3
33%
10-12
2-5
83%
51%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
36.9
25.0
21
61%
3
4
0
1
1
2
1
2
4-7
57%
7-9
2-5
78%
45%
1-5
20%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
33.8
30.6
9
48%
5
6
1
1
0
0
1
4
1-1
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
49%
2-4
50%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
27.8
31.1
23
60%
3
2
2
1
1
2
2
1
5-5
100%
9-16
6-12
56%
47%
0-1
0%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
27.7
31.4
14
40%
7
2
2
1
1
2
3
4
4-6
67%
5-14
7-14
36%
46%
0-1
0%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
28.5
20.6
6
38%
2
5
0
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-3
0%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
23.4
14.1
6
77%
1
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
14.9
21.3
12
75%
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
49%
2-4
50%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.0
7.2
18.1
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
44%
0-1
0%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
13.1
0
1-3
50%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
9.7
0
1-3
47%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
6.9
0
1-2
43%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
3.5
0
1-1
51%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.