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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Jazz38%99111
15Suns62%103120
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
34.1
31.8
18
52%
10
3
3
1
0
1
3
7
2-3
67%
8-15
6-12
53%
52%
0-1
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
28.9
33.1
18
48%
7
1
0
1
1
0
2
5
2-2
100%
8-18
8-16
44%
49%
0-0
-
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
26.2
24.9
6
25%
6
0
1
1
1
2
3
3
0-0
-
3-10
4-8
30%
45%
0-2
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
20.5
22.6
7
88%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
46%
1-2
50%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
16.6
22.0
7
72%
0
2
0
1
0
3
0
0
1-2
50%
0-1
2-4
0%
48%
2-3
67%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
27.5
23.9
13
73%
1
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
1-1
100%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
23.0
6.5
11
69%
3
8
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
4-7
0-1
57%
42%
1-1
100%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
22.0
20.0
9
58%
3
0
2
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
3-3
3-6
100%
46%
0-3
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
21.4
17.0
14
72%
3
1
0
0
1
1
0
3
2-4
50%
6-8
3-6
75%
50%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
11.3
8.9
8
80%
5
0
0
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
48%
0-0
-
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
8.4
20.0
0
0%
3
5
1
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
9.7
0
2-3
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
3.5
0
0-1
55%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 28.8
37.5
29.8
26
71%
9
2
1
1
4
2
1
8
1-1
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
47%
5-10
50%
Steve Nash
G · 6'3" 178 · 38.1
35.7
33.0
12
80%
4
16
0
1
0
5
1
3
8-8
100%
2-4
4-7
50%
55%
0-0
-
Grant Hill
F · 6'8" 225 · 39.4
35.0
31.8
12
53%
7
3
2
1
1
0
1
6
2-3
67%
5-10
4-9
50%
49%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 26.7
34.7
34.8
21
65%
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
5-7
71%
2-7
4-8
29%
55%
4-6
67%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 28.1
34.4
26.8
25
76%
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
5-10
50%
10-11
5-9
91%
56%
0-1
0%
Shannon Brown
G · 6'3" 215 · 26.3
17.2
23.1
5
46%
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
2-5
3-7
40%
46%
0-0
-
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 24.0
13.6
17.2
5
73%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-3
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Sebastian Telfair
G · 6'0" 170 · 26.8
12.3
13.2
8
74%
1
2
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-4
1-3
100%
43%
0-1
0%
Hakim Warrick
F · 6'9" 219 · 29.7
10.4
7.1
2
33%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
50%
0-0
-
Michael Redd
G · 6'6" 215 · 32.6
9.1
3.8
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
0-1
50%
47%
0-1
0%
Markieff Morris
F · 6'10" 245 · 22.5
13.0
0
2-4
44%
Josh Childress
F-G · 6'8" 210 · 28.7
3.2
0
0-1
58%
Ronnie Price
G · 6'2" 190 · 28.7
3.2
0
0-1
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.