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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 14, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
16Hawks32%9382
8Clippers68%9996
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 30.7
39.0
35.7
19
57%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
5-8
5-10
63%
47%
2-7
29%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 23.8
36.9
36.6
10
37%
3
5
1
2
0
0
0
3
4-6
67%
3-7
4-9
43%
47%
0-4
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 31.2
35.0
31.3
4
34%
5
2
0
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
45%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 28.1
34.9
33.1
12
68%
10
1
0
1
0
1
3
7
2-2
100%
5-8
3-7
63%
48%
0-0
-
Josh Smith
· 6'9" 225 · 26.3
32.9
35.4
18
57%
6
4
3
1
1
3
3
3
4-4
100%
4-10
7-15
40%
48%
2-4
50%
Tracy McGrady
G-F · 6'8" 225 · 32.8
24.9
6.2
9
65%
4
3
1
0
0
4
1
3
1-2
50%
1-3
1-1
33%
44%
2-3
67%
Jannero Pargo
G · 6'1" 185 · 32.4
15.2
12.9
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
40%
2-4
50%
Jerry Stackhouse
F · 6'6" 218 · 37.4
13.5
5.2
2
25%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
0-2
0%
Erick Dampier
C · 6'11" 265 · 36.7
7.8
4.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
56%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 25.7
25.6
1
2-5
45%
Vladimir Radmanovic
F · 6'10" 235 · 31.3
10.6
0
0-1
43%
Ivan Johnson
F · 6'8" 255 · 27.9
9.6
0
1-3
46%
Willie Green
G · 6'3" 205 · 30.6
6.1
0
1-1
47%
Jason Collins
C · 7'0" 255 · 33.3
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 25.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Blake Griffin
F · 6'10" 251 · 23.0
33.4
34.9
12
56%
10
4
0
1
0
3
2
8
2-4
50%
5-9
8-15
56%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Paul
G · 6'0" 175 · 26.9
31.4
36.2
13
72%
2
9
2
2
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
6-11
50%
51%
3-5
60%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 32.0
25.0
26.4
13
63%
1
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
46%
1-1
100%
DeAndre Jordan
C · 6'11" 265 · 23.6
21.6
18.9
8
100%
6
0
0
0
2
1
1
5
0-0
-
4-4
2-4
100%
63%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 28.5
18.9
25.6
5
83%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-5
100%
44%
1-2
50%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 29.2
30.8
30.7
25
63%
2
3
2
1
1
3
0
2
4-4
100%
6-13
3-7
46%
46%
3-5
60%
Bobby Simmons
F · 6'6" 235 · 31.8
21.3
22.2
0
0%
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
43%
0-4
0%
Reggie Evans
C-F · 6'8" 245 · 31.8
20.9
18.4
6
68%
10
0
0
1
0
2
4
6
0-1
0%
3-4
1-2
75%
46%
0-0
-
Kenyon Martin
F · 6'9" 225 · 34.2
20.2
10.9
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Eric Bledsoe
G · 6'1" 205 · 22.3
16.6
8.1
14
75%
0
0
4
0
2
1
0
0
2-3
67%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
2-3
67%
Ryan Gomes
F · 6'7" 245 · 29.5
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Trey Thompkins
F · 6'10" 245 · 21.8
1.1
0
0-0
46%
Brian Cook
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 31.3
0.7
0
0-0
43%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 35.5
Travis Leslie
· 6'4" 205 · 22.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.