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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
30Bobcats10%8696
7Mavericks90%103101
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.3
35.3
23.8
12
47%
2
4
0
1
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
41%
2-6
33%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
31.3
22.6
21
54%
2
2
1
0
0
3
0
2
9-10
90%
3-11
3-8
27%
44%
2-4
50%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
28.4
29.3
12
48%
1
2
1
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
4-10
5-11
40%
43%
1-2
50%
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
28.4
16.7
14
80%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
4-4
100%
5-7
2-6
71%
41%
0-0
-
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.5
24.2
29.0
2
14%
11
0
1
1
2
1
1
10
0-0
-
1-7
3-6
14%
43%
0-0
-
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
19.6
19.6
7
50%
1
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-4
25%
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.5
16.8
19.4
6
60%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
3-5
60%
48%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
16.4
24.1
12
64%
5
4
1
1
0
2
1
4
2-3
67%
2-5
3-7
40%
38%
2-3
67%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
15.9
13.4
4
50%
3
0
2
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-1
100%
46%
0-2
0%
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
13.0
15.7
2
25%
3
2
1
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
10.7
17.8
4
67%
3
1
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-7
67%
43%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.1
5.1
0
0-1
40%
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.5
4.4
0
0-1
40%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 33.7
33.4
29.5
27
56%
6
5
0
1
0
1
0
6
6-7
86%
6-14
6-12
43%
54%
3-7
43%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 35.1
31.4
22.5
11
45%
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
1-5
2-5
20%
50%
2-6
33%
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 33.9
27.1
30.6
4
25%
6
4
0
1
1
2
1
5
0-0
-
2-7
5-9
29%
53%
0-1
0%
Jason Kidd
G · 6'4" 210 · 39.0
24.0
21.4
7
60%
3
3
2
1
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
0-1
100%
44%
1-4
25%
Brendan Haywood
C · 7'0" 263 · 32.3
15.2
14.9
6
51%
8
0
0
0
2
0
4
4
0-2
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
58%
0-0
-
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 34.5
30.3
30.7
18
61%
5
2
0
1
2
3
1
4
3-4
75%
3-8
4-8
38%
52%
3-5
60%
Rodrigue Beaubois
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.1
25.2
26.6
14
78%
4
3
2
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
7-9
4-7
78%
53%
0-0
-
Ian Mahinmi
C · 6'11" 262 · 25.4
20.0
21.6
8
75%
5
0
0
1
0
1
3
2
2-3
67%
3-4
3-4
75%
59%
0-0
-
Lamar Odom
F · 6'10" 230 · 32.4
18.6
19.1
2
25%
5
2
0
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
3-5
50%
54%
0-2
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 24.4
12.7
8.3
4
50%
4
0
1
0
2
0
3
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
58%
0-0
-
Brian Cardinal
F · 6'8" 240 · 34.9
1.1
3.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
Dominique Jones
G · 6'5" 215 · 23.4
1.0
8.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Yi Jianlian
F · 7'0" 250 · 24.4
4.1
0
1-1
45%
Delonte West
G · 6'3" 180 · 28.6
Sean Williams
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 25.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.