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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
March 15, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Timberwolves45%102105
19Jazz55%104111
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
41.0
33.6
25
46%
16
1
0
1
0
2
2
14
5-10
50%
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
2-8
25%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
37.7
34.8
18
70%
2
13
3
1
2
4
1
1
2-2
100%
5-8
4-8
63%
49%
2-4
50%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
36.9
21.3
10
69%
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
5-5
100%
1-2
2-3
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
36.5
33.5
20
64%
9
2
0
1
0
1
4
5
6-8
75%
7-12
6-12
58%
55%
0-0
-
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
36.0
23.1
9
46%
5
0
1
1
2
1
1
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
1-5
20%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
18.1
17.9
11
62%
0
4
0
0
0
5
0
0
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
2-3
67%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
17.8
18.9
4
34%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
0-1
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
16.5
25.5
3
38%
6
0
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
3-7
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
12.5
2.8
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
12.0
4.9
5
43%
1
1
3
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-5
1-2
40%
48%
0-0
-
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
9.7
0
1-3
48%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
2.2
0
0-1
45%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.5
0
0-0
48%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
37.6
32.4
16
44%
11
4
8
1
2
2
2
9
2-3
67%
7-17
6-12
41%
52%
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
33.0
31.2
12
41%
13
0
2
1
0
0
4
9
2-4
50%
5-13
8-16
38%
49%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.0
32.1
20.0
18
53%
1
4
0
1
0
2
0
1
5-7
71%
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
3-7
43%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
21.8
25.1
10
39%
2
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
2-2
100%
4-11
4-8
36%
45%
0-1
0%
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
15.3
21.7
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
46%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
37.7
25.2
26
65%
3
3
1
1
0
1
0
3
6-7
86%
7-14
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
31.2
7.4
15
77%
2
2
1
0
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
6-7
1-3
86%
46%
0-1
0%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
22.6
18.6
4
22%
16
1
0
0
4
2
8
8
0-0
-
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
0-0
-
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
20.9
13.0
6
60%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
42%
0-0
-
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
12.9
10.0
2
20%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-3
20%
48%
0-0
-
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
20.9
1
3-6
46%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
2.8
0
0-1
55%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.