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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
28Nets18%9170
6Magic82%10386
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
28.3
14.6
6
22%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
1-2
50%
1-8
1-3
13%
43%
1-5
20%
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
25.8
26.9
2
9%
3
1
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-8
3-7
13%
46%
0-3
0%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
22.5
36.9
4
26%
3
0
1
1
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
0-6
5-11
0%
48%
0-0
-
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
20.7
23.4
4
50%
5
0
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
17.9
21.2
11
92%
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
38%
3-5
60%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
31.8
21.4
8
57%
7
4
2
1
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
43%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
27.1
23.5
6
25%
1
5
1
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
3-10
2-5
30%
46%
0-2
0%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
25.3
22.7
14
71%
4
1
2
1
0
5
0
4
1-2
50%
5-7
3-7
71%
52%
1-2
50%
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
21.1
6.7
10
56%
6
0
2
0
0
0
3
3
2-2
100%
4-8
1-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Jerry Smith
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
19.7
14.9
5
36%
2
3
2
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
39%
1-3
33%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
26.4
1
3-6
45%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
11.6
0
2-3
47%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
7.9
0
2-4
48%
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.6
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jason Richardson
G · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
35.6
29.1
10
56%
5
3
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
2-5
40%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 23.9
34.8
32.3
12
47%
11
2
1
1
2
2
2
9
3-4
75%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
1-7
14%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.3
32.4
38.4
18
80%
6
2
1
1
3
1
0
6
2-3
67%
8-10
8-14
80%
61%
0-0
-
Hedo Turkoglu
F · 6'10" 220 · 33.0
30.5
30.8
10
51%
2
6
0
1
0
4
0
2
3-4
75%
2-3
2-4
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 30.1
27.1
30.5
13
81%
4
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
3-4
75%
JJ Redick
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 27.7
27.0
32.2
6
38%
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
47%
1-5
20%
Glen Davis
F-C · 6'9" 289 · 26.2
21.1
18.9
13
69%
5
0
0
1
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
6-8
3-6
75%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris Duhon
G · 6'1" 190 · 29.5
20.9
16.0
2
33%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Earl Clark
F · 6'10" 234 · 24.2
7.6
6.1
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-0
-
DeAndre Liggins
G · 6'6" 209 · 24.0
2.9
7.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Quentin Richardson
F · 6'6" 228 · 31.9
16.1
0
1-1
45%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 23.7
1.9
0
0-0
45%
Daniel Orton
C · 6'10" 275 · 21.6
1.3
0
0-0
52%
Justin Harper
F · 6'10" 225 · 22.5
Von Wafer
G · 6'5" 209 · 26.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.