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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Raptors26%92114
13Grizzlies74%100110
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
45.7
34.7
18
51%
1
4
1
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
7-15
6-12
47%
45%
0-1
0%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
43.6
30.9
28
67%
6
9
3
1
1
3
1
5
7-9
78%
6-12
3-7
50%
43%
3-5
60%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
39.2
29.0
18
43%
7
1
0
0
0
5
2
5
8-9
89%
2-12
5-11
17%
46%
2-5
40%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
28.5
23.7
14
83%
7
1
4
1
2
5
1
6
1-1
100%
5-7
3-7
71%
46%
1-1
100%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
14.9
13.3
2
50%
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
25.9
23.4
9
92%
5
0
1
1
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
4-4
3-5
100%
56%
0-0
-
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
22.1
10.8
20
72%
4
2
0
0
0
1
1
3
7-11
64%
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
1-1
100%
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
19.5
17.2
2
20%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
14.8
3.5
3
52%
0
0
0
0
1
3
0
0
1-2
50%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
10.8
22.6
0
0%
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
23.3
1
2-5
47%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.2
0
0-0
38%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
0.6
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 27.1
46.1
35.6
28
65%
8
1
1
1
3
4
4
4
6-10
60%
11-17
6-12
65%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
44.6
37.4
8
37%
3
10
2
2
1
3
1
2
6-9
67%
1-4
4-8
25%
48%
0-3
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 25.6
39.6
23.4
26
60%
11
2
1
1
1
4
2
9
3-4
75%
7-15
4-9
47%
50%
3-5
60%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 30.2
19.4
19.5
2
53%
0
1
0
1
1
2
0
0
2-2
100%
0-1
3-6
0%
52%
0-0
-
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 24.6
8.3
29.2
1
17%
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-2
5-11
0%
49%
0-0
-
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.4
33.3
31.4
10
46%
6
4
3
1
1
3
0
6
2-2
100%
1-6
4-7
17%
47%
2-4
50%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 30.7
24.6
22.8
25
62%
9
1
2
1
0
0
6
3
7-14
50%
9-14
4-9
64%
50%
0-0
-
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
22.4
25.1
2
17%
2
0
3
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
51%
0-4
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 24.9
21.7
16.7
6
44%
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
2-4
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Hamed Haddadi
C · 7'2" 265 · 26.8
4.9
6.9
2
57%
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
2-4
50%
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Josh Selby
G · 6'2" 183 · 21.0
1.7
0
0-0
47%
Jeremy Pargo
G · 6'2" 219 · 26.0
1.3
0
0-0
45%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.