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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Celtics67%10095
26Kings33%94120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
34.9
33.0
19
50%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
9-9
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
50%
0-5
0%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.1
33.4
35.4
4
22%
3
12
1
2
0
4
3
0
0-0
-
2-9
5-11
22%
50%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
33.3
33.4
26
75%
4
1
1
1
0
1
0
4
3-3
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
51%
5-10
50%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
32.5
34.1
16
67%
1
1
2
1
1
0
1
0
2-2
100%
7-11
6-12
64%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
27.8
31.4
10
50%
9
3
1
1
2
4
0
9
0-0
-
5-10
6-12
50%
52%
0-0
-
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
15.9
16.8
0
0%
4
1
0
1
3
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
14.9
20.5
9
104%
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
2-2
1-2
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
14.6
11.7
5
32%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
2-7
2-3
29%
48%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
14.3
8.5
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
7.7
4.7
2
25%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
45%
0-2
0%
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
6.4
2.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.1
4.5
3.7
2
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
50%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
2.1
0
0-0
45%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
44.9
31.0
36
68%
4
4
5
1
0
1
1
3
5-6
83%
8-14
4-8
57%
47%
5-10
50%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
39.7
22.9
7
51%
3
4
1
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
45%
0-1
0%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
33.8
25.5
21
85%
15
4
1
0
0
1
4
11
3-3
100%
9-11
3-7
82%
50%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
30.8
28.4
13
55%
3
10
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
2-6
57%
44%
1-4
25%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
25.5
29.7
20
56%
7
4
0
1
1
5
1
6
2-2
100%
9-16
6-14
56%
44%
0-1
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
20.5
4.8
11
71%
4
0
1
0
1
1
0
4
4-4
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
41%
1-3
33%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
10.3
14.1
3
150%
1
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
1-1
100%
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
10.3
9.6
7
72%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
1-1
100%
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
10.3
16.9
0
0%
5
0
0
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
9.9
1.0
2
33%
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
43%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
3.9
2.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
29.6
1
5-12
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
6.9
0
1-2
45%
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.