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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 16, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Timberwolves20%9592
3Lakers80%10697
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
39.5
32.8
20
43%
12
0
1
1
1
3
7
5
8-12
67%
6-18
6-11
33%
53%
0-0
-
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
37.4
35.1
27
52%
15
0
1
1
0
1
5
10
3-4
75%
9-18
6-13
50%
47%
2-6
33%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
33.5
26.4
12
67%
5
4
1
1
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
2-4
50%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
30.7
33.9
12
45%
4
11
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-3
67%
5-10
3-7
50%
47%
0-2
0%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
22.1
27.0
2
25%
1
0
1
1
1
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
23.0
7.1
0
0%
5
1
2
0
0
0
1
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
46%
0-3
0%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
18.9
20.8
6
50%
6
2
1
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-5
75%
47%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
17.6
17.2
8
40%
5
2
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-7
2-4
57%
43%
0-3
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
17.4
17.4
5
46%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
8.1
0
1-3
45%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
7.5
0
1-2
45%
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
1.9
0
0-0
40%
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.4
0
0-0
45%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andrew Bynum
C · 7'0" 285 · 24.4
38.6
39.3
15
45%
14
2
1
1
2
3
4
10
7-8
88%
4-13
8-13
31%
58%
0-0
-
Kobe Bryant
F-G · 6'6" 212 · 33.6
38.1
40.3
28
61%
4
3
1
1
2
4
0
4
5-7
71%
4-12
9-18
33%
49%
5-8
63%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 31.7
32.4
36.3
17
54%
11
2
0
1
3
1
4
7
5-6
83%
6-13
6-12
46%
53%
0-0
-
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 32.1
28.6
21.6
0
0%
2
6
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
43%
0-2
0%
Metta World Peace
F · 6'7" 260 · 32.3
28.5
30.0
6
30%
2
0
2
1
2
1
0
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
1-4
25%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 32.0
19.9
16.9
17
86%
3
1
2
1
1
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
3-4
75%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 25.9
19.4
22.5
7
51%
4
5
0
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-5
3-7
60%
44%
0-1
0%
Troy Murphy
F-C · 6'11" 245 · 31.9
16.2
12.0
3
150%
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Andrew Goudelock
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
9.9
4.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 25.0
8.4
5.0
4
50%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
2-3
0-1
67%
55%
0-1
0%
Devin Ebanks
F · 6'9" 215 · 22.4
2.0
0
0-0
49%
Darius Morris
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.2
1.3
0
0-0
48%
Christian Eyenga
F · 6'7" 210 · 22.7
Jordan Hill
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.