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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
24Raptors54%97103
30Bobcats46%96107
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
39.4
33.5
29
80%
2
6
4
1
0
4
0
2
4-5
80%
5-10
4-8
50%
46%
5-6
83%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 22.6
36.3
36.8
20
58%
2
2
1
1
0
5
0
2
8-12
67%
6-10
6-13
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
27.9
31.2
11
51%
3
1
2
0
0
7
0
3
2-2
100%
3-8
6-11
38%
49%
1-2
50%
Aaron Gray
C · 7'0" 270 · 27.3
13.8
13.4
6
60%
6
0
2
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 25.1
13.0
24.3
0
0%
2
1
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
3-7
0%
49%
0-0
-
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 22.8
32.2
18.1
7
54%
12
4
0
1
1
1
5
7
1-1
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Linas Kleiza
F · 6'8" 234 · 27.2
27.3
17.5
13
72%
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
2-4
83%
50%
1-3
33%
Gary Forbes
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
26.7
14.3
9
45%
3
1
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
1-5
20%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 24.9
18.3
23.4
6
109%
3
4
1
1
3
2
2
1
4-4
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
59%
0-0
-
Jamaal Magloire
C · 6'11" 265 · 33.8
5.2
7.5
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 30.5
16.9
1
2-3
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 32.8
1.3
0
0-0
44%
Solomon Alabi
C · 7'1" 252 · 24.0
0.9
0
0-0
48%
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 24.3
40.4
28.6
24
81%
3
2
1
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
11-13
5-10
85%
47%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 24.4
35.7
27.1
23
77%
2
11
3
1
0
5
1
1
9-9
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
45%
2-5
40%
Corey Maggette
F · 6'6" 225 · 32.3
35.2
25.0
21
61%
4
3
0
1
0
1
1
3
14-14
100%
2-10
4-8
20%
48%
1-1
100%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 19.6
31.2
26.9
9
51%
9
1
0
1
0
1
1
8
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Tyrus Thomas
F · 6'10" 225 · 25.6
30.4
20.1
11
61%
4
1
2
1
0
3
1
3
5-7
71%
3-6
3-7
50%
45%
0-0
-
DJ White
F · 6'9" 250 · 25.5
17.6
14.5
8
57%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
4-7
2-5
57%
52%
0-0
-
Derrick Brown
F · 6'8" 233 · 24.5
12.8
18.3
2
100%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
3-5
100%
53%
0-0
-
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 21.9
12.3
21.2
2
14%
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-6
3-6
17%
43%
0-1
0%
Eduardo Najera
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.7
10.0
13.8
5
83%
2
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Reggie Williams
F · 6'6" 205 · 25.5
7.7
19.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
52%
0-0
-
Byron Mullens
C · 7'0" 275 · 23.1
6.8
15.2
2
33%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Carroll
G · 6'6" 212 · 31.6
3.3
0
0-1
44%
Cory Higgins
G · 6'5" 180 · 22.8
1.9
0
0-1
42%
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 30.1
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 29.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.