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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Knicks48%98102
17Pacers52%9988
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.6
33.5
27.6
19
70%
7
6
1
2
1
2
0
7
7-8
88%
6-9
4-8
67%
45%
0-1
0%
Tyson Chandler
C · 7'1" 240 · 29.5
31.9
27.3
8
68%
9
3
2
1
3
1
5
4
2-2
100%
3-5
3-5
60%
62%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.3
31.6
28.5
16
69%
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
8-8
100%
4-8
5-11
50%
50%
0-0
-
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 27.8
29.7
27.0
16
50%
4
3
0
1
0
3
0
4
3-7
43%
5-9
5-10
56%
45%
1-4
25%
Landry Fields
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 23.7
20.2
28.1
9
51%
3
0
1
1
0
1
1
2
3-4
75%
3-5
3-6
60%
53%
0-2
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 26.5
29.6
21.6
11
46%
3
0
1
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
46%
3-8
38%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 21.7
22.4
21.7
6
33%
3
3
1
1
0
0
1
2
4-7
57%
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 28.8
16.4
19.2
6
50%
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
48%
2-6
33%
Jared Jeffries
F · 6'11" 240 · 30.3
14.9
11.4
6
44%
5
0
0
0
2
1
4
1
4-4
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
45%
0-0
-
Mike Bibby
G · 6'2" 195 · 33.8
9.8
4.7
5
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
42%
1-2
50%
Baron Davis
G · 6'3" 212 · 32.9
13.6
1
1-3
44%
Josh Harrellson
F-C · 6'10" 275 · 23.1
8.9
0
1-1
47%
Jerome Jordan
C · 7'0" 253 · 25.5
2.9
0
0-1
47%
Henry Walker
F · 6'6" 235 · 24.4
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 24.6
39.0
26.3
15
42%
6
3
0
1
0
2
2
4
3-4
75%
6-15
3-6
40%
47%
0-1
0%
Danny Granger
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 28.9
36.2
27.8
11
37%
4
1
1
1
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
4-8
44%
45%
1-6
17%
Roy Hibbert
C · 7'2" 270 · 25.3
35.6
26.8
24
71%
12
2
0
0
2
2
5
7
8-9
89%
8-13
4-9
62%
48%
0-0
-
Paul George
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
31.6
23.9
18
59%
4
4
2
1
2
3
0
4
4-5
80%
4-8
3-6
50%
49%
2-5
40%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 31.5
26.1
25.0
3
31%
5
3
0
1
1
2
2
3
1-2
50%
1-4
5-9
25%
50%
0-0
-
George Hill
G · 6'3" 188 · 25.9
28.2
21.0
4
25%
3
1
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-5
20%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 26.4
15.9
23.0
5
56%
1
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
1-1
100%
2-4
3-8
50%
43%
0-0
-
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 29.3
9.7
13.5
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
AJ Price
G · 6'2" 195 · 25.4
9.0
19.3
4
30%
3
0
0
1
0
1
0
3
2-4
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-2
0%
Dahntay Jones
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 31.2
8.7
20.8
4
100%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 21.5
7.1
0
1-2
45%
Jeff Ayres
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 24.9
4.9
0
1-1
50%
Jeff Foster
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 35.2
3.7
0
0-1
49%
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 29.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.