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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Hornets49%91102
25Nets51%9294
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 26.7
31.4
32.6
10
60%
7
5
1
2
0
0
1
6
2-3
67%
1-4
4-8
25%
47%
2-3
67%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 26.0
30.9
23.7
20
77%
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-7
3-5
57%
47%
4-6
67%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 28.4
30.8
34.1
16
54%
5
6
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
4-8
5-10
50%
49%
2-6
33%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 29.9
28.7
35.4
20
72%
2
2
1
1
2
4
1
1
2-2
100%
9-13
8-16
69%
48%
0-0
-
Gustavo Ayon
· 6'10" 250 · 27.0
28.4
28.6
8
50%
9
3
1
1
1
2
5
4
0-0
-
4-8
4-7
50%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 26.0
20.7
7.5
6
33%
5
2
0
0
0
3
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
1-2
33%
49%
0-0
-
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 25.2
19.8
24.5
6
44%
5
9
1
1
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
2-5
3-5
40%
49%
0-1
0%
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 23.9
18.0
17.6
10
85%
3
0
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
4-5
2-4
80%
49%
0-0
-
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.5
16.6
19.2
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
Xavier Henry
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 21.0
14.7
10.4
4
52%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
46%
0-0
-
Emeka Okafor
C · 6'10" 255 · 29.5
8.9
0
1-2
56%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 28.5
5.7
0
1-2
52%
Jeff Foote
C-F · 7'0" 265 · 24.7
5.1
0
1-1
50%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 23.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.1
39.3
31.1
8
37%
16
1
0
1
1
4
5
11
2-2
100%
3-10
5-9
30%
49%
0-0
-
Gerald Wallace
F · 6'7" 220 · 29.7
36.8
31.3
11
51%
3
3
0
1
3
3
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.7
36.7
10.2
20
42%
2
12
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
7-17
1-3
41%
49%
2-7
29%
Shelden Williams
C-F · 6'9" 250 · 28.4
28.4
22.2
7
102%
6
0
2
1
1
2
2
4
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
MarShon Brooks
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 23.1
22.5
26.4
10
54%
2
3
1
1
0
0
1
1
3-5
60%
2-5
3-7
40%
47%
1-2
50%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.5
24.7
24.6
20
77%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
3-6
44%
48%
4-4
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 26.1
24.7
23.4
16
58%
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
4-9
4-7
44%
55%
2-4
50%
Jerry Smith
G · 6'2" 190 · 24.5
11.3
16.9
2
25%
4
1
2
1
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
42%
0-1
0%
Johan Petro
C · 7'0" 247 · 26.1
9.6
25.2
0
0%
3
1
0
1
0
1
2
1
0-0
-
0-2
3-6
0%
45%
0-0
-
Jordan Williams
C · 6'10" 260 · 21.4
5.9
12.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
DeShawn Stevenson
F-G · 6'5" 218 · 31.0
19.8
0
0-1
39%
Sundiata Gaines
G · 6'1" 200 · 25.9
19.7
1
2-5
44%
Jordan Farmar
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
17.6
1
2-4
46%
Damion James
F · 6'7" 225 · 24.4
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 24.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.