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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics36%9691
10Nuggets64%10198
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 26.1
43.9
34.5
12
55%
5
16
1
2
1
6
2
3
0-0
-
6-11
5-11
55%
48%
0-0
-
Ray Allen
G · 6'5" 205 · 36.7
41.8
33.1
7
34%
4
1
3
1
1
2
0
4
1-1
100%
3-4
3-6
75%
49%
0-6
0%
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 35.8
32.9
29.9
22
80%
9
5
1
1
0
3
1
8
4-4
100%
9-12
6-11
75%
50%
0-0
-
Paul Pierce
F · 6'7" 235 · 34.4
31.0
33.5
22
60%
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
3
3-3
100%
5-10
5-10
50%
48%
3-7
43%
Brandon Bass
F · 6'8" 250 · 26.9
27.5
33.0
6
30%
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
2-9
6-11
22%
49%
0-0
-
Marquis Daniels
F · 6'6" 200 · 31.2
19.9
4.3
8
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-5
1-1
60%
47%
0-0
-
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 21.3
14.6
13.0
8
69%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
45%
0-0
-
Mickael Pietrus
F · 6'6" 215 · 30.1
13.4
18.2
2
33%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Greg Stiemsma
C · 6'11" 260 · 26.5
9.0
16.4
4
40%
1
0
1
0
3
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
1-3
40%
46%
0-0
-
Keyon Dooling
G · 6'3" 195 · 31.9
5.9
10.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
43%
0-0
-
Sasha Pavlovic
G-F · 6'7" 235 · 28.3
6.2
0
0-1
43%
JaJuan Johnson
F · 6'10" 221 · 23.1
4.4
0
1-2
47%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 23.1
2.1
0
0-0
42%
Chris Wilcox
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 29.5
Jermaine O'Neal
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 33.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 24.4
34.8
33.9
7
60%
5
10
2
1
0
3
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
4-8
33%
53%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 23.6
32.1
27.8
20
69%
5
3
1
1
0
2
1
4
7-8
88%
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
3-5
60%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 26.4
30.2
31.2
15
49%
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
2-3
67%
5-9
3-7
56%
50%
1-5
20%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 22.3
23.6
20.1
18
106%
16
1
1
1
1
2
6
10
8-8
100%
5-5
3-6
100%
51%
0-0
-
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 25.7
19.1
9.2
8
67%
4
1
1
0
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
50%
0-0
-
Al Harrington
F · 6'9" 245 · 32.1
28.1
26.6
11
40%
4
1
0
1
0
2
2
2
2-4
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
51%
1-5
20%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 36.0
22.7
23.5
2
12%
2
2
2
1
0
5
2
0
0-1
0%
1-7
3-6
14%
48%
0-1
0%
Rudy Fernandez
· 6'6" 185 · 27.0
17.9
14.0
3
50%
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 26.0
17.1
16.9
8
59%
0
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
2-4
50%
3-5
2-5
60%
47%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 23.1
14.5
11.6
6
55%
7
0
0
0
2
1
3
4
0-1
0%
3-5
2-3
60%
52%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.7
13.6
0
2-3
56%
Jordan Hamilton
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 21.4
3.0
0
0-1
45%
Julyan Stone
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
1.6
0
0-0
47%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 24.2
Ronny Turiaf
C · 6'10" 249 · 29.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.