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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
March 17, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Warriors35%9992
20Jazz65%10499
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dorell Wright
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 26.3
43.8
30.2
13
60%
10
0
2
1
1
0
1
9
2-2
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
47%
1-4
25%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 28.9
39.4
34.0
18
55%
7
2
0
1
1
3
0
7
2-3
67%
8-15
7-14
53%
51%
0-0
-
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 22.1
38.7
32.4
17
49%
2
2
3
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
4-8
4-9
50%
45%
2-8
25%
Nate Robinson
G · 5'9" 180 · 27.8
34.9
30.9
19
54%
3
4
2
1
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
4-9
4-8
44%
47%
2-6
33%
Andris Biedrins
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.0
23.9
14.2
2
100%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
55%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 31.7
37.9
27.5
9
26%
7
3
0
1
1
2
2
5
4-7
57%
1-7
1-3
14%
44%
1-7
14%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.7
22.2
28.9
4
114%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
4-4
100%
0-0
2-4
-
45%
0-0
-
Charles Jenkins
G · 6'3" 215 · 23.0
13.7
8.9
6
60%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
46%
0-0
-
Dominic McGuire
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
10.7
25.3
4
50%
2
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
43%
0-0
-
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
6.3
0
1-1
49%
Chris Wright
F · 6'9" 226 · 23.5
4.9
0
0-1
48%
Jeremy Tyler
F · 6'10" 250 · 20.7
4.0
0
1-1
48%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 27.3
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 27.1
39.5
32.5
13
34%
12
3
1
1
2
3
3
9
1-2
50%
6-18
7-13
33%
54%
0-0
-
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 20.7
33.8
18.9
23
68%
17
2
1
0
1
2
6
11
9-9
100%
7-13
3-6
54%
52%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 29.1
30.1
22.7
12
43%
4
5
1
1
0
3
0
4
1-2
50%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
1-5
20%
Josh Howard
F-G · 6'7" 210 · 31.9
24.1
23.0
4
33%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
4-8
40%
47%
0-1
0%
CJ Miles
G · 6'6" 220 · 25.0
17.2
15.0
4
40%
0
1
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 22.0
35.8
27.6
12
46%
6
4
1
1
1
0
3
3
0-0
-
6-13
3-7
46%
52%
0-0
-
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 20.7
28.9
14.3
9
36%
5
1
0
0
1
2
2
3
1-1
100%
4-8
2-5
50%
49%
0-4
0%
Jamaal Tinsley
G · 6'3" 188 · 34.0
22.9
14.5
13
65%
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
1-3
63%
44%
1-2
50%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 19.8
19.9
10.3
4
29%
13
1
0
0
0
0
4
9
0-0
-
2-7
2-3
29%
50%
0-0
-
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 24.4
12.9
2.2
5
51%
5
0
1
0
1
1
2
3
1-2
50%
2-4
0-0
50%
58%
0-0
-
Raja Bell
G · 6'5" 210 · 35.5
19.0
0
1-2
48%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 25.6
1.0
0
0-0
48%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 27.2
Earl Watson
G · 6'1" 199 · 32.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.