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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Timberwolves51%10499
24Kings49%103115
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Martell Webster
F-G · 6'7" 230 · 25.3
32.9
28.4
14
76%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
5-5
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-2
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 23.5
32.7
35.5
21
46%
11
3
1
1
1
4
4
7
6-6
100%
6-15
7-13
40%
50%
1-5
20%
Luke Ridnour
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.1
29.9
32.2
13
47%
5
2
2
1
0
5
0
5
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
50%
1-3
33%
Wesley Johnson
F · 6'7" 215 · 24.7
28.3
24.8
2
17%
5
2
0
1
3
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-3
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 26.7
6.3
6.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
0-0
-
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.8
32.9
20.0
16
82%
9
2
0
1
0
0
2
7
4-4
100%
3-3
3-5
100%
51%
2-5
40%
Michael Beasley
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.2
26.3
15.4
13
41%
7
2
0
0
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
5-12
3-5
42%
48%
1-4
25%
Anthony Randolph
· 6'10" 225 · 22.7
20.4
5.9
10
63%
9
2
1
0
0
3
6
3
0-0
-
5-8
1-2
63%
48%
0-0
-
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.7
14.4
17.1
6
43%
1
4
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-2
0%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 24.3
8.6
17.1
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-1
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 26.8
3.7
12.6
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Malcolm Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 21.8
3.7
1.6
0
0%
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-0
-
Brad Miller
C-F · 7'0" 261 · 35.9
1.2
0
0-0
45%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 21.4
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 24.8
39.4
35.4
24
53%
5
4
4
1
0
1
0
5
6-6
100%
6-12
5-9
50%
48%
2-8
25%
John Salmons
F · 6'6" 210 · 32.3
33.9
28.5
15
54%
1
3
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
6-12
2-5
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 23.1
27.9
28.8
18
83%
2
2
1
1
0
1
1
1
2-2
100%
2-4
3-6
50%
46%
4-6
67%
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 25.7
26.6
28.2
13
89%
10
2
1
1
0
2
2
8
3-3
100%
5-6
4-7
83%
51%
0-0
-
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 21.6
20.8
27.9
9
42%
2
2
1
1
1
3
0
2
5-6
83%
2-8
6-13
25%
45%
0-0
-
Chuck Hayes
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 28.8
27.2
14.3
12
76%
8
2
1
1
2
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-7
1-3
71%
49%
0-0
-
Donte Greene
F · 6'11" 226 · 24.1
21.4
10.3
11
61%
7
0
0
0
1
0
2
5
0-0
-
4-4
1-2
100%
49%
1-5
20%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 23.1
20.1
12.7
6
27%
1
4
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-6
1-2
50%
42%
0-5
0%
Travis Outlaw
F · 6'9" 207 · 27.5
18.2
10.6
5
25%
6
2
1
0
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
2-7
1-2
29%
42%
0-2
0%
Tyler Honeycutt
F · 6'8" 188 · 21.7
4.5
4.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
46%
0-0
-
Francisco Garcia
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 30.2
19.0
1
1-3
48%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 23.5
5.2
0
1-2
46%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 22.8
3.1
0
0-1
49%
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 22.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.