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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
March 18, 2012
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
19Trail Blazers26%9695
4Thunder74%105111
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 23.3
40.0
31.1
6
43%
6
2
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
4-7
75%
50%
0-3
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 26.7
37.9
35.1
15
35%
6
2
1
1
1
3
1
5
3-5
60%
6-19
8-16
32%
49%
0-0
-
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 25.4
34.8
30.1
16
62%
1
1
4
1
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
3-9
2-5
33%
47%
3-3
100%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 27.7
34.4
28.8
19
73%
3
7
2
1
0
4
1
2
5-7
71%
4-7
3-7
57%
45%
2-3
67%
Joel Przybilla
C · 7'1" 245 · 32.4
23.6
15.4
6
75%
11
0
0
0
2
1
3
8
0-0
-
3-4
1-2
75%
53%
0-0
-
Jamal Crawford
G · 6'5" 185 · 32.0
29.3
19.4
23
52%
2
1
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
7-13
2-5
54%
44%
3-9
33%
Nolan Smith
G · 6'2" 185 · 23.6
13.6
12.7
8
67%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-5
1-3
80%
41%
0-1
0%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 22.7
11.4
10.7
2
33%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Kurt Thomas
F · 6'9" 240 · 39.5
7.8
11.3
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-0
-
Craig Smith
F · 6'7" 265 · 28.4
7.3
7.8
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
53%
0-0
-
Jonny Flynn
G · 6'0" 185 · 23.1
12.6
0
1-3
40%
Hasheem Thabeet
C · 7'3" 263 · 25.1
1.8
0
0-0
48%
Shawne Williams
F · 6'10" 230 · 26.1
Elliot Williams
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.7
Mehmet Okur
C · 6'11" 260 · 32.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 23.5
40.6
37.6
26
68%
7
6
3
1
1
3
0
7
4-5
80%
5-12
6-12
42%
52%
4-5
80%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 23.3
34.8
37.2
28
59%
3
5
0
2
1
0
1
2
2-6
33%
10-18
8-16
56%
48%
2-3
67%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 22.5
30.8
24.5
8
58%
8
0
0
0
4
2
3
5
0-2
0%
4-6
4-7
67%
53%
0-0
-
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 27.4
27.2
21.3
6
60%
6
2
3
0
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
1-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 27.9
15.0
11.6
11
110%
5
2
0
0
0
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
51%
3-3
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 22.6
33.0
32.1
14
53%
4
7
1
1
0
2
0
4
11-14
79%
0-3
3-6
0%
56%
1-4
25%
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 24.9
20.1
10.7
5
83%
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
43%
1-2
50%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 31.4
15.7
22.2
7
102%
2
1
0
1
0
4
2
0
1-1
100%
3-3
2-3
100%
57%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 21.9
13.2
11.5
4
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Nazr Mohammed
C · 6'10" 250 · 34.5
8.8
10.0
2
33%
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
0-0
-
Lazar Hayward
F · 6'6" 225 · 25.3
0.4
4.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Cole Aldrich
C · 6'11" 253 · 23.4
0.4
3.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
52%
0-0
-
Royal Ivey
G · 6'4" 200 · 30.2
14.9
1
1-1
42%
Eric Maynor
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.8
Ryan Reid
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.